COPDICECOLDERICNCT00706602
Predicting the Course of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) in Primary Care
An observational study of COPD, run by University of Zurich at 1 site in Switzerland.
Trial summary
Background: COPD is a systemic illness; morbidity and mortality due to this disease are on the increase, and it has great impact on patients' lives. Most COPD patients are managed by general practitioners (GP). Read more about this study
- Who is it for?
- Ages 40 years and older
- Conditions the study is for
- COPD
- How many people
- 450 participants
- Where
- 1 siteSwitzerland
- Study dates
- May 2008to Aug 2014
- Phase
- Observational
- Are there results?
- None posted in the registry
Key requirements
Who can take part, as listed by the sponsor. Only the study team can confirm whether you are eligible, so take this list to your doctor.
- Ages 40 years and older
- All sexes
- No healthy volunteers
- Adult, Older adult
Study population: COPD patients from primary care. Patients are identified through electronic or paper-based patient charts and by participating general practitioners.
Who may be able to join
- Patients ≥40 years of age with COPD in GOLD stage II to IV (postbronchodilator FEV1/FVC≤0.70, postbronchodilator FEV1≤80% predicted) are eligible if in- or outpatient treatment of their last exacerbation ended ≥4 weeks ago.
Who cannot join
- Patients who received mechanical ventilation in the previous 12 months (because of extremely poor prognosis), patients with co-morbidities associated with a life expectancy of ≤12 months, patients diagnosed with dementia, psychosis or other psychiatric illness that invalidate assessment of patient-reported parameters and patients who cannot complete thr baseline assessment due to language difficulties.
Trial locations and contacts
1 site in 1 country.
Switzerland1 site
Institute for primary care, University of Zurich
Zurich, Canton of Zurich, 8091
About this study
Official title: International Collaborative Effort on Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease: Exacerbation Risk Index Cohorts
Background: COPD is a systemic illness; morbidity and mortality due to this disease are on the increase, and it has great impact on patients' lives. Most COPD patients are managed by general practitioners (GP). GPs base their initial assessment of patients' disease severity mainly on lung function and then inform patients about adequate treatment. However, lung function correlates poorly with COPD-specific health-related quality of life and exacerbation frequency. Preventive cardiology embraced risk index-guided treatment successfully. COPD disease severity indices that better represent the clinical manifestations of COPD are needed that can be used to guide risk-stratified treatment.
Objectives: (1) The development and validation of a practical COPD disease severity index to predict the course of health-related quality of life over time. (2) The validation of the ADO-Index (Age, Dyspnea, Obstruction) to predict 3-year mortality in COPD patients in primary care. (3) Link evidence on treatment effects to the COPD risk indices to guide COPD treatment selection.
Read more
Methods: We are in the process of conducting two linked prospective cohort studies with 413 COPD patients (GOLD stages 2-4) from GPs in Switzerland and the Netherlands. We performed a sound baseline assessment including detailed patient history, lung function, measurement of exercise capacity and blood sampling. During the follow-up of at least five years, we update the patients' profile by registering health status, exacerbations and health-related quality of life and, after 2 years, lung function and measurement of exercise capacity. For aim 1, we will identify the best combination of variables predicting the course of health-related quality of life over time using multivariable regression analysis. For aim 2, we will assess discrimination and calibration of the ADO index to predict 3-year mortality. For aim 3, we will estimate treatment effects for individual patient profiles using complex statistical models such as Markov models.
Significance of project: After this study, different risk scores will be available for use in primary care so that general practitioners can estimate what impact COPD will have on the patients. By linking these risk scores to evidence form treatment studies, it will be possible to show for an individual patient how COPD and different treatments impacts on mortality, symptoms and exacerbations. Thereby, patients and physicians can make more informed treatment decisions balancing the benefits and downsides of different treatments.
- Conditions
- COPD
- Keywords
- COPD, prognosis, prediction rule, health-related quality of life, risk factors, derivation, validation, exacerbation, mortality, primary care, treatment, decision making
- Medical subject headings
- Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive
What participants receive
What participants receive. In a randomised study each person is assigned to one group by chance.
| Study group | Role | What they receive |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swiss COPD cohort | |
| 2 | Dutch COPD cohort |
What is being measured
The primary outcome is the main question the study is designed to answer.
Chronic Respiratory Questionnaire
Measured: At least 5 years
Secondary outcomes (1)
Exacerbation
Measured: At least 5 years
Timeline
From the start of the study to its completion; the mark is today. Estimated dates are the sponsor’s plan.
- First posted27 Jun 2008 (estimated)
- Study startMay 2008
- Primary completionAug 2014 (estimated)
- Study completionAug 2014 (estimated)
Resources
- Official record on ClinicalTrials.govThe registry entry this page is built from, with its full change history.
- Publications (9)Papers the sponsor has linked to this study.
- Other trials for COPDStudies of the same condition, open and under way.
- More trials run by University of ZurichThe sponsor's other registered studies.
- What the trial phases meanHow a treatment moves from first tests in people to approval.
More details
For doctors and researchers: how the study is designed, who runs it, and its registry IDs.
Study design
- Study type
- Observational
- Observational model
- Cohort
- Time perspective
- Prospective
- Enrolment
- 450 participants (estimated)
Sponsor and investigators
- Lead sponsor
- University of Zurich
- Sponsor type
- University, hospital or other
- Collaborators
- Swiss National Science Foundation, Zurich Lung League, The Netherlands Asthma Foundation
- Investigators
- Milo A Puhan, MD PhD, Principal investigator, University of Zurich, Switzerland
IDs, dates and publications
- ClinicalTrials.gov ID
- NCT00706602
- Sponsor's protocol ID
- 3233B0-115216
- Other IDs
- 3.4.07.045
- Acronym
- ICECOLDERIC
- Status last verified
- Jun 2010
- First submitted
- 25 Jun 2008
- Last updated
- 28 Jun 2010
- Results posted
- No
- Data monitoring committee
- No
Publications
Siebeling L, ter Riet G, van der Wal WM, Geskus RB, Zoller M, Muggensturm P, Joleska I, Puhan MA. ICE COLD ERIC--International collaborative effort on chronic obstructive lung disease: exacerbation risk index cohorts--study protocol for an international COPD cohort study. BMC Pulm Med. 2009 May 6;9:15. doi: 10.1186/1471-2466-9-15.
PubMed 19419546Tai AS, Liao LH, Lin SH. On the Conventional Definition of Path-specific Effects: Fully Mediated Interaction With Multiple Ordered Mediators. Epidemiology. 2022 Nov 1;33(6):817-827. doi: 10.1097/EDE.0000000000001520. Epub 2022 Jun 24.
PubMed 36220579Steurer-Stey C, Dalla Lana K, Braun J, Ter Riet G, Puhan MA. Effects of the "Living well with COPD" intervention in primary care: a comparative study. Eur Respir J. 2018 Jan 4;51(1):1701375. doi: 10.1183/13993003.01375-2017. Print 2018 Jan.
PubMed 29301921Strassmann A, Frei A, Haile SR, Ter Riet G, Puhan MA. Commonly Used Patient-Reported Outcomes Do Not Improve Prediction of COPD Exacerbations: A Multicenter 4(1/2) Year Prospective Cohort Study. Chest. 2017 Dec;152(6):1179-1187. doi: 10.1016/j.chest.2017.09.003. Epub 2017 Sep 18.
PubMed 28923760Crook S, Frei A, Ter Riet G, Puhan MA. Prediction of long-term clinical outcomes using simple functional exercise performance tests in patients with COPD: a 5-year prospective cohort study. Respir Res. 2017 Jun 2;18(1):112. doi: 10.1186/s12931-017-0598-6.
PubMed 28578705Frei A, Siebeling L, Wolters C, Held L, Muggensturm P, Strassmann A, Zoller M, Ter Riet G, Puhan MA. The Inaccuracy of Patient Recall for COPD Exacerbation Rate Estimation and Its Implications: Results from Central Adjudication. Chest. 2016 Oct;150(4):860-868. doi: 10.1016/j.chest.2016.06.031. Epub 2016 Aug 26.
PubMed 27400907Frei A, Muggensturm P, Putcha N, Siebeling L, Zoller M, Boyd CM, ter Riet G, Puhan MA. Five comorbidities reflected the health status in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: the newly developed COMCOLD index. J Clin Epidemiol. 2014 Aug;67(8):904-11. doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2014.03.005. Epub 2014 Apr 29.
PubMed 24786594Puhan MA, Siebeling L, Frei A, Zoller M, Bischoff-Ferrari H, Ter Riet G. No association of 25-hydroxyvitamin D with exacerbations in primary care patients with COPD. Chest. 2014 Jan;145(1):37-43. doi: 10.1378/chest.13-1296.
PubMed 24008868Puhan MA, Siebeling L, Zoller M, Muggensturm P, ter Riet G. Simple functional performance tests and mortality in COPD. Eur Respir J. 2013 Oct;42(4):956-63. doi: 10.1183/09031936.00131612. Epub 2013 Mar 21.
PubMed 23520321
Study at a glance
From the registry record, last updated by the sponsor on 28 Jun 2010. Recruitment status is as the sponsor reported it: confirm with the study team.
- Official title
- International Collaborative Effort on Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease: Exacerbation Risk Index Cohorts
- ClinicalTrials.gov ID
- NCT00706602
- Acronym / sponsor ID
- ICECOLDERIC / 3233B0-115216
- Conditions
- COPD
- Keywords
- COPD, prognosis, prediction rule, health-related quality of life, risk factors, derivation, validation, exacerbation
- Study type
- Observational
- Recruitment status
- Unknown status
- Enrolment
- 450 participants (estimated)
- Lead sponsor
- University of ZurichUniversity, hospital or other
- Collaborators
- Swiss National Science Foundation, Zurich Lung League, The Netherlands Asthma Foundation
- Study start
- May 2008
- Primary completion
- Aug 2014 (estimated)
- Study completion
- Aug 2014 (estimated)
- First posted
- 27 Jun 2008 (estimated)
- Results
- Not posted in the source record
Clinical summary
The research question as the sponsor registered it. This describes what the study plans to test, not what it found.
Background: COPD is a systemic illness; morbidity and mortality due to this disease are on the increase, and it has great impact on patients' lives. Most COPD patients are managed by general practitioners (GP). GPs base their initial assessment of patients' disease severity mainly on lung function and then inform patients about adequate treatment. However, lung function correlates poorly with COPD-specific health-related quality of life and exacerbation frequency. Preventive cardiology embraced risk index-guided treatment successfully. COPD disease severity indices that better represent the clinical manifestations of COPD are needed that can be used to guide risk-stratified treatment.
Objectives: (1) The development and validation of a practical COPD disease severity index to predict the course of health-related quality of life over time. (2) The validation of the ADO-Index (Age, Dyspnea, Obstruction) to predict 3-year mortality in COPD patients in primary care. (3) Link evidence on treatment effects to the COPD risk indices to guide COPD treatment selection.
Methods: We are in the process of conducting two linked prospective cohort studies with 413 COPD patients (GOLD stages 2-4) from GPs in Switzerland and the Netherlands. We performed a sound baseline assessment including detailed patient history, lung function, measurement of exercise capacity and blood sampling. During the follow-up of at least five years, we update the patients' profile by registering health status, exacerbations and health-related quality of life and, after 2 years, lung function and measurement of exercise capacity. For aim 1, we will identify the best combination of variables predicting the course of health-related quality of life over time using multivariable regression analysis. For aim 2, we will assess discrimination and calibration of the ADO index to predict 3-year mortality. For aim 3, we will estimate treatment effects for individual patient profiles using complex statistical models such as Markov models.
Significance of project: After this study, different risk scores will be available for use in primary care so that general practitioners can estimate what impact COPD will have on the patients. By linking these risk scores to evidence form treatment studies, it will be possible to show for an individual patient how COPD and different treatments impacts on mortality, symptoms and exacerbations. Thereby, patients and physicians can make more informed treatment decisions balancing the benefits and downsides of different treatments.
Study design
- Observational model
- Cohort
- Time perspective
- Prospective
- Number of arms
- 2
| Arm | Type | Receives |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | – | –Swiss COPD cohort |
| 2 | – | –Dutch COPD cohort |
Who may qualify
- Ages
- 40 years and older
- Sex
- All
- Healthy volunteers
- Not accepted
- Age groups
- Adult, Older adult
- Study population
- COPD patients from primary care. Patients are identified through electronic or paper-based patient charts and by participating general practitioners.
Key inclusion criteria (1 listed)
- Patients ≥40 years of age with COPD in GOLD stage II to IV (postbronchodilator FEV1/FVC≤0.70, postbronchodilator FEV1≤80% predicted) are eligible if in- or outpatient treatment of their last exacerbation ended ≥4 weeks ago.
Key exclusion criteria (1 listed)
- Patients who received mechanical ventilation in the previous 12 months (because of extremely poor prognosis), patients with co-morbidities associated with a life expectancy of ≤12 months, patients diagnosed with dementia, psychosis or other psychiatric illness that invalidate assessment of patient-reported parameters and patients who cannot complete thr baseline assessment due to language difficulties.
Eligibility is decided by the study team after screening; this overview does not establish that a patient qualifies. Full inclusion and exclusion criteria.
Primary outcome
Chronic Respiratory Questionnaire
Time frame: At least 5 years
1 secondary outcome
Exacerbation
Time frame: At least 5 years
Results and safety
Results are not available in the source record.
Research links
- Official record on ClinicalTrials.govLast updated by the sponsor 28 Jun 2010.
- Background: PubMed 19419546Siebeling L, ter Riet G, van der Wal WM, Geskus RB, Zoller M, Muggensturm P, Joleska I, Puhan MA. ICE COLD ERIC--International collaborative effort on chronic obstructive lung disease: exacerbation risk index cohorts--study protocol for an international COPD cohort study. BMC Pulm Med. 2009 May 6;9:15. doi: 10.1186/1471-2466-9-15.
- Derived from this study: PubMed 36220579Tai AS, Liao LH, Lin SH. On the Conventional Definition of Path-specific Effects: Fully Mediated Interaction With Multiple Ordered Mediators. Epidemiology. 2022 Nov 1;33(6):817-827. doi: 10.1097/EDE.0000000000001520. Epub 2022 Jun 24.
- Derived from this study: PubMed 29301921Steurer-Stey C, Dalla Lana K, Braun J, Ter Riet G, Puhan MA. Effects of the "Living well with COPD" intervention in primary care: a comparative study. Eur Respir J. 2018 Jan 4;51(1):1701375. doi: 10.1183/13993003.01375-2017. Print 2018 Jan.
- Derived from this study: PubMed 28923760Strassmann A, Frei A, Haile SR, Ter Riet G, Puhan MA. Commonly Used Patient-Reported Outcomes Do Not Improve Prediction of COPD Exacerbations: A Multicenter 4(1/2) Year Prospective Cohort Study. Chest. 2017 Dec;152(6):1179-1187. doi: 10.1016/j.chest.2017.09.003. Epub 2017 Sep 18.
- Derived from this study: PubMed 28578705Crook S, Frei A, Ter Riet G, Puhan MA. Prediction of long-term clinical outcomes using simple functional exercise performance tests in patients with COPD: a 5-year prospective cohort study. Respir Res. 2017 Jun 2;18(1):112. doi: 10.1186/s12931-017-0598-6.
- Derived from this study: PubMed 27400907Frei A, Siebeling L, Wolters C, Held L, Muggensturm P, Strassmann A, Zoller M, Ter Riet G, Puhan MA. The Inaccuracy of Patient Recall for COPD Exacerbation Rate Estimation and Its Implications: Results from Central Adjudication. Chest. 2016 Oct;150(4):860-868. doi: 10.1016/j.chest.2016.06.031. Epub 2016 Aug 26.
- Derived from this study: PubMed 24786594Frei A, Muggensturm P, Putcha N, Siebeling L, Zoller M, Boyd CM, ter Riet G, Puhan MA. Five comorbidities reflected the health status in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: the newly developed COMCOLD index. J Clin Epidemiol. 2014 Aug;67(8):904-11. doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2014.03.005. Epub 2014 Apr 29.
- Derived from this study: PubMed 24008868Puhan MA, Siebeling L, Frei A, Zoller M, Bischoff-Ferrari H, Ter Riet G. No association of 25-hydroxyvitamin D with exacerbations in primary care patients with COPD. Chest. 2014 Jan;145(1):37-43. doi: 10.1378/chest.13-1296.
- Derived from this study: PubMed 23520321Puhan MA, Siebeling L, Zoller M, Muggensturm P, ter Riet G. Simple functional performance tests and mortality in COPD. Eur Respir J. 2013 Oct;42(4):956-63. doi: 10.1183/09031936.00131612. Epub 2013 Mar 21.
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Referral and contact
AzTrials does not enrol participants or take referrals. Contact the study team or a site listed below; they decide who can take part. This study is not recruiting at the moment.
Milo A Puhan, MD PhD principal investigator
University of Zurich, Switzerland
1 site in 1 country: see every site and its status.
Questions about this trial
What is this clinical trial studying?
An observational study of COPD, run by University of Zurich at 1 site in Switzerland.
The full registered description is in the About this study section and the official record.
Who may be eligible to take part?
The sponsor lists 1 inclusion and 1 exclusion criteria. Eligibility is decided by the study team after screening, so read the full criteria and contact a listed site.
Is this clinical trial currently recruiting?
The record says: status not confirmed, as of the sponsor's last update on 28 Jun 2010. Status can change between updates, so confirm with the study contact before making plans.
Where is the study taking place?
The record lists 1 site in Switzerland. Whether a site is taking part right now should be confirmed with that site. See every site.
What are the possible benefits and risks?
They depend on the study and the treatment, and no study can promise a benefit. The study team explains the known risks during informed consent, before anyone joins; the record itself does not list them.
Are results available for this study?
Results are not available in the source record.
How can a doctor refer a patient or contact the research team?
The record lists no contact. The official record names the sponsor, who can be asked directly. AzTrials does not enrol participants or take referrals.
What does the primary outcome measure?
Chronic Respiratory Questionnaire (time frame: At least 5 years). It is what the study was designed to measure, not a finding.
Where can I read the original study information?
On the ClinicalTrials.gov record for NCT00706602, which also lists 9 linked publications.
Does a listing mean the treatment is approved or proven to work?
No. A listing means the study is registered. It does not show that the treatment is safe, works, or is approved by a regulator.
How often is this information updated?
AzTrials copies changed records from ClinicalTrials.gov every night and reloads the whole registry every week. The sponsor last updated this record on 28 Jun 2010.