Randomized Trial of Amoxicillin Versus Placebo for (Fast Breathing) Pneumonia

Pneumonia is a major cause of illness and death in children in low-income countries. With a view to decreasing death from pneumonia, the World Health Organization and UNICEF developed the Integrated Management of Childhood Illness (IMCI) algorithm which simplifies management of common childhood illnesses such as pneumonia and diarrhea into different levels of severity for determining the most appropriate case management by primary healthcare providers. Many pneumonia cases are categorized as non-severe pneumonia (defined as fast breathing above the specified age cut-off for respiratory rates). As there is incomplete information regarding the cause of this type of "pneumonia" from primary care settings, treatment guidelines by WHO are dictated by culture information from hospital pneumonia cases which are different in severity and cause. Current WHO guidelines advocate the use of oral antibiotics for fast breathing pneumonia. However, it is postulated that most fast breathing pneumonia not requiring hospitalization is of viral etiology, thus does not require antibiotic treatment. The cost of antibiotic treatment for all children with pneumonia is high; an estimated US$ 200 million in South Asia \& sub Saharan Africa alone. Since more than 60% of pneumonia is classified as non-severe (fast breathing), this puts a strain on already under-sourced programmes in low-income countries. Giving antibiotics where they confer no benefit also puts the child at risk of side effects and increases the risk of antimicrobial resistance in the community. This uncertainty forms the basis of the proposed study. Investigators propose to show in a clinical trial that the outcome of children diagnosed with WHO defined fast breathing pneumonia is similar regardless of whether they receive antibiotics or not. This study will be conducted in five primary health care centers located in low income communities of Karachi, Pakistan, with extensive trial experience. Children identified to have fast breathing without any danger signs will be randomized to receive either three days of the WHO recommended oral antibiotic (amoxicillin 250mg/5ml using WHO weight bands) or matching placebo (a drug that will taste and look like the amoxicillin but will not have an active ingredient) by a study physician working at the primary health center. The assignment of the antibiotic amoxicillin or placebo to a child will be done using a computer generated randomization list in a manner that at the end of the trial, there are equal numbers of children in both arms of the trial. Based on the statistical calculations for sample size, investigators need to assign 1214 children to receive amoxicillin and the same number of children to receive placebo. All children will receive the antibiotic or placebo under supervision of the primary health care physician in the morning. Evening doses will be delivered by locally hired Community Health Workers (CHWs) visiting the children at their home. All children will be assessed again on day 3 by a study physician to see if the child's presenting sign of high respiratory rate has resolved or not. All children with persistently high respiratory rate and/or development of a new clinical sign indicating illness progression will be labeled a treatment failure. There will invariably be some children with treatment failure in both the treatment arms; investigators hypothesize that there will be equal number of treatment failures in both the groups i.e. around 5%.