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Embolic Stroke of Undetermined SourceAF-ESUSNCT02766205

Prediction of AF in ESUS

An observational study of Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source, run by University of Thessaly at 3 sites in 2 countries.

Unknown status

Status not confirmed. The sponsor has not verified this record for over two years, so it may be out of date.

Official record
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Trial summary

The aim of the proposed study is to identify predictors of covert atrial fibrillation (AF) in Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source (ESUS) patients and develop a prognostic score for the identification of covert AF in this population. Read more about this study

Who is it for?
Ages 18 years and older
Conditions the study is for
Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source
How many people
500 participants
Where
3 sitesin 2 countries
Study dates
Jun 2016to Jul 2019
How long will I take part?
12 Months
Phase
Observational
Are there results?
None posted in the registry

Key requirements

Who can take part, as listed by the sponsor. Only the study team can confirm whether you are eligible, so take this list to your doctor.

  • Ages 18 years and older
  • All sexes
  • No healthy volunteers
  • Adult, Older adult

Study population: The dataset will be derived mainly from three high quality, prospective stroke registries: the Acute STroke Registry and Analysis of Lausanne (ASTRAL), the Athens Stroke Registry and the Larissa Stroke Outcome Registry (LASTRO)

Who may be able to join

  • 1. Embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS) defined as:
  • Ischemic stroke (including transient ischemic attack with positive neuroimaging) visualized by brain CT or MRI that is not lacunar (i.e., subcortical infarct ≤1.5 cm), and
  • Absence of cervical carotid atherosclerotic stenosis (or vertebral and basilar artery stenosis in case of posterior circulation stroke), that is ≥ 50%, or occlusion in arteries supplying the area of ischemia in CT or magnetic resonance (MR) angiography or ultrasound, and
  • No history of AF, no documented AF on 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) or episode of AF lasting 6 minutes or longer detected after ≥ 24-hour cardiac rhythm monitoring (Holter or telemetry), and
  • No intra-cardiac thrombus on transthoracic echocardiography, and
  • No other specific cause of stroke identified by routine clinical care (e.g., arteritis, dissection, migraine/vasospasm, drug abuse)
  • 2. Age ≥18 years
  • 3. Written informed consent

Who cannot join

  • 1. ≥ 50% luminal stenosis or occlusion in arteries supplying the area of ischemia
  • 2. History of AF
  • 3. Life expectancy less than 6 months

Trial locations and contacts

3 sites in 2 countries.

3 sites in 2 countries

Greece2 sites
  • Department of Clinical Therapeutics, University of Athens, Alexandra Hospital

    Athens

  • Medical School, University of Thessaly, Larissa University Hospital

    Larissa, 41110

Other trials in Greece

Switzerland1 site
  • Centre Cérébrovasculaire, Service de Neurologie, Département des Neurosciences Cliniques, Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Vaudois and University of Lausanne

    Lausanne

Other trials in Switzerland

About this study

Official title: Prediction of Atrial Fibrillation in Patients With Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source (AF-ESUS)

The aim of the proposed study is to identify predictors of covert atrial fibrillation (AF) in Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source (ESUS) patients and develop a prognostic score for the identification of covert AF in this population.

Read the detailed description

A new clinical entity termed Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source (ESUS) was recently introduced by the Cryptogenic Stroke/ESUS International Working Group, which describes stroke patients for whom the source of embolism remains undetected despite thorough investigation; potential embolic sources include diseases of the mitral and aortic valves, the left cardiac chambers, the proximal cerebral arteries of the aortic arch and the venous system via paradoxical embolism. ESUS has been proposed as a potential therapeutic entity with a possible indication for anticoagulation, a hypothesis which is currently tested in two randomized controlled trials.

ESUS is defined as a visualized non-lacunar brain infarct in the absence of a) extracranial or intracranial atherosclerosis causing ≥50% luminal stenosis in arteries supplying the area of ischaemia, b) major-risk cardioembolic source, and c) any other specific cause of stroke (e.g. arteritis, dissection, migraine/vasospasm, drug misuse). Major risk sources of cardioembolism include permanent or paroxysmal atrial fibrillation, sustained atrial flutter, intracardiac thrombus, prosthetic cardiac valve, atrial myxoma or other cardiac tumours, mitral stenosis, recent (<4 weeks) myocardial infarction, left ventricular ejection fraction less than 30%, valvular vegetations, or infective endocarditis.

Recently, our group presented a descriptive analysis of an ESUS population derived from the Athens Stroke Registry. Among the overall ischemic stroke population, 10% of patients were classified as ESUS. These strokes were of mild-moderate severity and covert AF was identified as the underlying etiopathogenetic mechanism in approximately 40% of ESUS patients. The mortality risk in ESUS patients is lower compared to patients with cardioembolic stroke despite similar rates of stroke recurrence.

Also, the risk of stroke recurrence is higher in ESUS patients than in patients with non-cardioembolic strokes which could be a sign that the current antithrombotic strategy of treating ESUS patients with antiplatelets is suboptimal. Indeed, currently, it is not clear whether antiplatelets or anticoagulants are the ideal antithrombotic strategy in ESUS. Recently, two international, phase III, double-blind, randomized, controlled clinical trial were launched aiming to investigate whether anticoagulant treatment is superior to antiplatelet treatment for the secondary prevention in ESUS patient : the Randomized Evaluation in Secondary stroke Prevention Comparing the Thrombin inhibitor dabigatran etexilate versus aspirin in Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source (RE-SPECT ESUS) trial and the NAVIGATE trial will compare dabigatran etexilate and rivaroxaban respectively to aspirin in ESUS patients.

It would be clinically useful to identify the predictors of covert AF in the ESUS population as this could possibly influence the choice of antithrombotic treatment, e.g. anticoagulants in ESUS patients at high risk of covert AF, and antiplatelets for ESUS patients with low risk of covert AF.

Keywords
Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source, Atrial fibrillation, prognostic score
Medical subject headings
Atrial Fibrillation

What is being measured

The primary outcome is the main question the study is designed to answer.

  1. Atrial fibrillation

    Occurrence of atrial fibrillation during follow-up assessed either by 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) or telemetry or 24-hours Holter ECG, or longer-term ECG monitoring.

    Measured: Twelve months

Timeline

From the start of the study to its completion; the mark is today. Estimated dates are the sponsor’s plan.

  1. First posted9 May 2016 (estimated)
  2. Study startJun 2016
  3. Primary completionJun 2018
  4. Study completionJul 2019 (estimated)

Resources

More details

For doctors and researchers: how the study is designed, who runs it, and its registry IDs.

Study design
Study type
Observational
Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Other
Enrolment
500 participants (estimated)
Target duration
12 Months
IDs, dates and publications
ClinicalTrials.gov ID
NCT02766205
Sponsor's protocol ID
WI211961
Acronym
AF-ESUS
Status last verified
Oct 2018
First submitted
5 May 2016
Last updated
17 Oct 2018
Results posted
No
Data monitoring committee
Yes
Individual data sharing
Undecided

Publications

  • Hart RG, Diener HC, Coutts SB, Easton JD, Granger CB, O'Donnell MJ, Sacco RL, Connolly SJ; Cryptogenic Stroke/ESUS International Working Group. Embolic strokes of undetermined source: the case for a new clinical construct. Lancet Neurol. 2014 Apr;13(4):429-38. doi: 10.1016/S1474-4422(13)70310-7.

    PubMed 24646875
  • Ntaios G, Papavasileiou V, Milionis H, Makaritsis K, Vemmou A, Koroboki E, Manios E, Spengos K, Michel P, Vemmos K. Embolic Strokes of Undetermined Source in the Athens Stroke Registry: An Outcome Analysis. Stroke. 2015 Aug;46(8):2087-93. doi: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.115.009334. Epub 2015 Jul 9.

    PubMed 26159795
  • Ntaios G, Papavasileiou V, Milionis H, Makaritsis K, Manios E, Spengos K, Michel P, Vemmos K. Embolic strokes of undetermined source in the Athens stroke registry: a descriptive analysis. Stroke. 2015 Jan;46(1):176-81. doi: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.114.007240. Epub 2014 Nov 6.

    PubMed 25378429
  • Diener HC, Easton JD, Granger CB, Cronin L, Duffy C, Cotton D, Brueckmann M, Sacco RL; RE-SPECT ESUS Investigators. Design of Randomized, double-blind, Evaluation in secondary Stroke Prevention comparing the EfficaCy and safety of the oral Thrombin inhibitor dabigatran etexilate vs. acetylsalicylic acid in patients with Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source (RE-SPECT ESUS). Int J Stroke. 2015 Dec;10(8):1309-12. doi: 10.1111/ijs.12630. Epub 2015 Sep 30.

    PubMed 26420134
  • Kitsiou A, Sagris D, Schabitz WR, Ntaios G. Validation of the AF-ESUS score to identify patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source and low risk of device-detected atrial fibrillation. Eur J Intern Med. 2021 Jul;89:135-136. doi: 10.1016/j.ejim.2021.04.003. Epub 2021 May 2. No abstract available.

    PubMed 33952425
  • Ntaios G, Weng SF, Perlepe K, Akyea R, Condon L, Lambrou D, Sirimarco G, Strambo D, Eskandari A, Karagkiozi E, Vemmou A, Korompoki E, Manios E, Makaritsis K, Vemmos K, Michel P. Data-driven machine-learning analysis of potential embolic sources in embolic stroke of undetermined source. Eur J Neurol. 2021 Jan;28(1):192-201. doi: 10.1111/ene.14524. Epub 2020 Oct 7.

    PubMed 32918305
  • Ntaios G, Perlepe K, Lambrou D, Sirimarco G, Strambo D, Eskandari A, Karagkiozi E, Vemmou A, Korompoki E, Manios E, Makaritsis K, Vemmos K, Michel P. Identification of patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source and low risk of new incident atrial fibrillation: The AF-ESUS score. Int J Stroke. 2021 Jan;16(1):29-38. doi: 10.1177/1747493020925281. Epub 2020 May 19.

    PubMed 32423317
  • Leventis I, Perlepe K, Sagris D, Sirimarco G, Strambo D, Georgiopoulos G, Eskandari A, Karagkiozi E, Vemmou A, Koroboki E, Manios E, Makaritsis K, Vemmos K, Michel P, Ntaios G. Characteristics and outcomes of Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source according to stroke severity. Int J Stroke. 2020 Oct;15(8):866-871. doi: 10.1177/1747493020909546. Epub 2020 Mar 2.

    PubMed 32122289
  • Perlepe K, Sirimarco G, Strambo D, Eskandari A, Karagkiozi E, Vemmou A, Koroboki E, Manios E, Makaritsis K, Vemmos K, Michel P, Ntaios G. Left atrial diameter thresholds and new incident atrial fibrillation in embolic stroke of undetermined source. Eur J Intern Med. 2020 May;75:30-34. doi: 10.1016/j.ejim.2020.01.002. Epub 2020 Jan 15.

    PubMed 31952983
  • Ntaios G, Perlepe K, Lambrou D, Sirimarco G, Strambo D, Eskandari A, Karagkiozi E, Vemmou A, Koroboki E, Manios E, Makaritsis K, Vemmos K, Michel P. Prevalence and Overlap of Potential Embolic Sources in Patients With Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source. J Am Heart Assoc. 2019 Aug 6;8(15):e012858. doi: 10.1161/JAHA.119.012858. Epub 2019 Jul 31.

    PubMed 31364451
  • Ntaios G, Perlepe K, Sirimarco G, Strambo D, Eskandari A, Karagkiozi E, Vemmou A, Koroboki E, Manios E, Makaritsis K, Michel P, Vemmos K. Carotid plaques and detection of atrial fibrillation in embolic stroke of undetermined source. Neurology. 2019 Jun 4;92(23):e2644-e2652. doi: 10.1212/WNL.0000000000007611. Epub 2019 May 8.

    PubMed 31068479

Questions about this trial

What is this clinical trial studying?

An observational study of Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source, run by University of Thessaly at 3 sites in 2 countries.

The full registered description is in the About this study section and the official record.

Who may be eligible to take part?

The sponsor lists 8 inclusion and 3 exclusion criteria. Eligibility is decided by the study team after screening, so read the full criteria and contact a listed site.

Is this clinical trial currently recruiting?

The record says: status not confirmed, as of the sponsor's last update on 17 Oct 2018. Status can change between updates, so confirm with the study contact before making plans.

Where is the study taking place?

The record lists 3 sites in Greece, Switzerland. Whether a site is taking part right now should be confirmed with that site. See every site.

What are the possible benefits and risks?

They depend on the study and the treatment, and no study can promise a benefit. The study team explains the known risks during informed consent, before anyone joins; the record itself does not list them.

Are results available for this study?

Results are not available in the source record.

How can a doctor refer a patient or contact the research team?

The record lists no contact. The official record names the sponsor, who can be asked directly. AzTrials does not enrol participants or take referrals.

What does the primary outcome measure?

Atrial fibrillation (time frame: Twelve months). It is what the study was designed to measure, not a finding.

Where can I read the original study information?

On the ClinicalTrials.gov record for NCT02766205, which also lists 11 linked publications.

Does a listing mean the treatment is approved or proven to work?

No. A listing means the study is registered. It does not show that the treatment is safe, works, or is approved by a regulator.

How often is this information updated?

AzTrials copies changed records from ClinicalTrials.gov every night and reloads the whole registry every week. The sponsor last updated this record on 17 Oct 2018.

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