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Pulmonary Disease, Chronic ObstructiveNCT03240315

Personalized Prediction Strategy for Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

An observational study of Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive, run by Guangzhou Institute of Respiratory Disease at 1 site in China.

Active, not recruiting

Under way, not looking for participants. Everyone needed has enrolled. The study is still running.

Official record
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Trial summary

This is a 3-year longitudinal study designed to establish a personalized prediction and prevention system for acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD). Read more about this study

Who is it for?
Ages 40 years and older
Conditions the study is for
Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive
Type of treatment
Injection or infusion
How many people
442 participants
Where
1 siteChina
Study dates
1 Aug 2016to 30 Dec 2026
Phase
Observational
Are there results?
Not yet: the study is under way

Key requirements

Who can take part, as listed by the sponsor. Only the study team can confirm whether you are eligible, so take this list to your doctor.

  • Ages 40 years and older
  • All sexes
  • No healthy volunteers
  • Adult, Older adult

Study population: COPD subjects in China

Who may be able to join

  • Patients was diagnosed as COPD according to Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) guidelines older than 40 years old.
  • A signed and dated written informed consent is obtained prior to participation.
  • Able to comply with the requirements of the protocol and be available for study visits over 3 years.

Who cannot join

  • A COPD subject will not be eligible for inclusion in this study if any of the following criteria apply:
  • Known respiratory disorders, or disorders identified at screening/visit 1 (including identification on the first CT scan), other than COPD (e.g.: lung cancer, sarcoidosis, tuberculosis, lung fibrosis, cystic fibrosis)
  • Known history of significant inflammatory disease, other than COPD (e.g. rheumatoid arthritis and Lupus)
  • Known to be severely alpha-1-antitrypsin deficient
  • Has experienced a moderate or severe exacerbation (requiring oral corticosteroid, antibiotics or hospitalisation) within the last 4 weeks
  • Having undergone lung surgery (e.g. lung reduction, lung transplant)
Show all 11Show fewer
  • Have cancer or have had cancer in the 5 years prior to study entry
  • Having received a blood transfusion in the 4 weeks prior to study start
  • Inability to walk
  • Taking part in a blinded drug study
  • Having therapy with systemic corticosteroids at inclusion.

Trial locations and contacts

1 site in 1 country.

China1 site
  • Guangzhou Institute of Respiratory Health,The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University

    Guangzhou, Guangdong, 510120

Other trials in China

About this study

Official title: Establishment of Individualized Prediction System for Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Based on Cloud Platform

This is a 3-year longitudinal study designed to establish a personalized prediction and prevention system for acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD). Data will be prospectively collected from patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and healthy control participants, including clinical characteristics, pathophysiological parameters, etiological factors, and immunological information. These data will be analyzed using data mining approaches combined with Internet-based technologies.

Medical subject headings
Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive

What participants receive

What participants receive. In a randomised study each person is assigned to one group by chance.

Study groups in NCT03240315
Study groupRoleWhat they receive
COPD subjectsSubjects with GOLD stage I-IV COPD
Healthy control subjectsAges 40 to 90, with no history of lung disease and no history of acute illness or medication use within the past month.

What is being measured

The primary outcome is the main question the study is designed to answer.

  1. Establishment of prediction platform for COPD exacerbation

    The patients with chronic obstruction pulmonary disease will be followed up at intervals of 3 months for 3 years by the Modified British Medical Research Council (mMRC) score scale,spirometric analysis, sputum smear,questionnaire and so on. An exacerbation of COPD was diagnosed according to GOLD guidelines. Time to the first acute exacerbation and average number of acute exacerbations per year in COPD subjects will be record.Research of AECOPD Risk factors based on complex network analysis.Identification and validation of COPD exacerbations risk stratification and predictive markers based on data mining.

    Measured: 3 years

Secondary outcomes (3)
  1. Developing new protein chips for AECOPD

    Systemic and airway autoantibody profiles and cytokine profiles will be measured using commercial multiplex bead-based assay to screen out a set of ideal AECOPD-related markers.

    Measured: 3 years

  2. Detection of immune repertoire in COPD/AECOPD

    Immune status of COPD patients will be investigated by using the immune repertoire technique and its relationship with the pathophysiology of AECOPD will be identified.

    Measured: 3 years

  3. Pathogenic microorganism and drug resistance monitoring for COPD exacerbation

    Dynamics of pathogenic microorganism and drug resistance in natural course of COPD will be investigated by using the metagenome technique and the culture technique.

    Measured: 3 years

Timeline

From the start of the study to its completion; the mark is today. Estimated dates are the sponsor’s plan.

  1. First posted7 Aug 2017
  2. Study start1 Aug 2016
  3. Primary completion30 Sep 2026 (estimated)
  4. Study completion30 Dec 2026 (estimated)

Resources

More details

For doctors and researchers: how the study is designed, who runs it, and its registry IDs.

Study design
Study type
Observational
Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrolment
442 participants (actual)
IDs, dates and publications
ClinicalTrials.gov ID
NCT03240315
Sponsor's protocol ID
201604020012
Other IDs
2017YFC1310600
Status last verified
Jan 2026
First submitted
31 Jul 2017
Last updated
12 Jan 2026
Results posted
No
Individual data sharing
No

Publications

  • He W, Li X, Huang H, Tang Z, Zhu J, Yang Y, Chen Z, Miao C, Yang H, Zha S, Zhou Z, Liu J, Liang Z, Chen R, Wang F. The relevance of sputum galectin-7 levels to clinical and prognostic factors in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: a prospective cohort study from China. BMC Pulm Med. 2026 Feb 27;26(1):156. doi: 10.1186/s12890-026-04171-9.

    PubMed 41761148
  • Li X, Feng S, Yang Y, Liang Z, Song A, Chen J, Guo Z, Chen Z, Miao C, Yang H, He W, Zhou Z, Drummond MB, Chen R, Wang F. Association Between Airway Mucus Plugs and Risk of Moderate-to-Severe Exacerbations in Patients With COPD: Results From a Chinese Prospective Cohort Study. Chest. 2025 Sep;168(3):627-638. doi: 10.1016/j.chest.2025.03.026. Epub 2025 Apr 8.

    PubMed 40210091
  • Cass SP, Yang Y, Xiao J, McGrath JJC, Fantauzzi MF, Thayaparan D, Wang F, Liang Z, Long F, Stevenson CS, Chen R, Stampfli MR. Current smoking status is associated with reduced sputum immunoglobulin M and G expression in COPD. Eur Respir J. 2021 Feb 4;57(2):1902338. doi: 10.1183/13993003.02338-2019. Print 2021 Feb. No abstract available.

    PubMed 32883677

Questions about this trial

What is this clinical trial studying?

An observational study of Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive, run by Guangzhou Institute of Respiratory Disease at 1 site in China.

The full registered description is in the About this study section and the official record.

Who may be eligible to take part?

The sponsor lists 3 inclusion and 11 exclusion criteria. Eligibility is decided by the study team after screening, so read the full criteria and contact a listed site.

Is this clinical trial currently recruiting?

The record says: under way, not looking for participants, as of the sponsor's last update on 12 Jan 2026. Status can change between updates, so confirm with the study contact before making plans.

Where is the study taking place?

The record lists 1 site in China. Whether a site is taking part right now should be confirmed with that site. See every site.

What are the possible benefits and risks?

They depend on the study and the treatment, and no study can promise a benefit. The study team explains the known risks during informed consent, before anyone joins; the record itself does not list them.

Are results available for this study?

This study is still under way. Results are not available in the source record yet.

How can a doctor refer a patient or contact the research team?

The record lists no contact. The official record names the sponsor, who can be asked directly. AzTrials does not enrol participants or take referrals.

What does the primary outcome measure?

Establishment of prediction platform for COPD exacerbation (time frame: 3 years). It is what the study was designed to measure, not a finding.

Where can I read the original study information?

On the ClinicalTrials.gov record for NCT03240315, which also lists 3 linked publications.

Does a listing mean the treatment is approved or proven to work?

No. A listing means the study is registered. It does not show that the treatment is safe, works, or is approved by a regulator.

How often is this information updated?

AzTrials copies changed records from ClinicalTrials.gov every night and reloads the whole registry every week. The sponsor last updated this record on 12 Jan 2026.

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