Complete Pathologic Response Rectal Cancers

Prospectus. The COmplete pathologic ReSponse rectal Cancers EYSAC.1 Study (CORSiCA) proposed by Dr Lorenzon will be conducted at the Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli in Rome in partnership with the European Society of Surgical Oncology (ESSO) - Young Alumni Club, and it will focus on rectal cancer patients who underwent neo-adjuvant treatment followed by surgical resection and had a final pathologic diagnosis of absence of residual viable tumoral cells within the rectal wall specimen (pathologic complete response, pCR - ypT0).

Background. With about 135.000 new European cases each year, rectal cancer is a major European issue representing also a field of major investigations. Indeed, over the last 3 decades important advances have been made in the clinical/surgical management of these patients: the most significant ones were the introduction of total mesorectal excision (TME) and the use of neo-adjuvant (chemo)radiation treatments (neoCHT-RT) which changed dramatically the state of art and the multimodal approach to this disease. Currently, the latest international guidelines recommend performing a neoCHT-RT in locally advanced, non-metastatic rectal cancers, clinically staged as ≥T3 any N, anyT N+ or if the circumferential resection margin (CRM) is less than 1 mm, since this approach results in less local recurrences, tumor down-sizing and down-staging. In line with all the improvements made so far, the ultimate effect of neoCHT-RT is the achievement of a complete response, which may be defined as clinical (absence of residual primary tumor clinically detectable, cT0) or pathological. ypT0 occurs in about 20% of patients who underwent neoCHT-RT. Of note, neoadjuvant treatment modalities include a short-course radiotherapy (short RT) followed by immediate surgery or a long course chemo-radiotherapy (CHT-RT) followed by surgery delayed after an interval of at least 4 weeks. Literature about complete responders is quite recent and started to emerge just over the last 15 years. Although very few large retrospective studies or systematic reviews/meta-analyses have been published so far, results are still at an early stage, mostly because there are no robust markers predictive of pCR (molecular, clinical or radiological), a number of surgical approaches have been considered (from local excisions to abdominoperianel resection) and there is no consensus regarding the adjuvant treatment following surgical resection. However, the management of response following neoCHT-RT is the challenge of our times. A key issue in relation to pCR, is the presence of residual cancerous cells within lymph-nodes harvested in the surgical specimen (ypT0N+). These patients account for the 6.7-17.4% of ypT0 and are seldom analyzed. Nevertheless, literature published so far documented that a clinical nodal positivity before neoCHT-RT has been correlated with nodal metastases. An accurate prediction of the nodal status, however, would be crucial in order to tailor surgical choices. A number of pathways have been investigated including DNA repairs, apoptosis and growth signaling. Few studies investigated KRAS and p53 mutations, microRNAs', EGFR and VEGF expressions in relation to response, but despite the intensive research, results are quite scant. The most promising results came from studies using microarray technology, however, these studies have been conducted on a relative small number of patients and not always with a comparative purpose. Of note, a hallmark in the field of colorectal cancer (CRC) molecular profile is the consensus conducted that identified 4 cancer molecular subtypes (CMS) with distinct molecular features, classified as: MSI Immune, Canonical, Metabolic and Mesenchymal. It seems important to highlight that, since this classification has been just introduced, no one investigated ypT0N0/N+ patients in relation to the CMS sub-groups. Standard surgical approach for rectal cancer after neoCHT-RT include low anterior resection or abdominoperinal resection (if the sphincter is involved) with TME and an harvest of at least 12 nodes. Currently, a full thickness local excision (LE) can be proposed in high selected cases, if patients refuse a permanent stoma creation, if there are severe co-morbilities (patients unfit for major surgery) after a risk assessment of recurrences using validate criteria including nomograms. As expected, ypT0 patients have been reported with favorable outcomes, however, few issues need still to be delineated; however, survivals were not analyzed according to the ypT0-N status. Moreover, it has been reported that pCR did not show additional benefits from adjuvant chemotherapy with the endpoint of survivals, but ypT0N0/N+ were not stratified.

Preliminary Investigation. Dr Lorenzon is the PI of a preliminary study conducted on behalf of Italian Society of Surgical Oncology (SICO), young Board (YSICO) focused on ypT0 patients (Eur J Surg Oncol 2017;43:1472-1480). The study collected data of ypT0 patients treated at 13 centres (19 Italians and 2 Spanish) over the last 10 years independently from the neoCHT-RT performed, type of surgical approach or the nodal status. Each centre participated with a Y-SICO investigator (junior member) for data collection and a senior supervising member for mentorship and quality data validation. Dr Lorenzon analyzed data from 260 ypT0 patients (8.7% were ypT0N+). In line with the literature concerns, the majority of the patients did not perform adjuvant chemotherapy following surgery. At a mean follow-up of 47.6 months, 22 of the patients presented recurrences, 91% of them localized at distant site, mainly at the liver. Finally, results from uni/multivariate analyses documented that a nodal positivity was an independent variable correlated with survival. Although highly promising, these results should be further validated by a larger and powered analysis.

Study Rational and Hypothesis. So far, literature on ypT0 is encouraging but lacks of evidences. Accordingly, and on the basis of: A) The critical issues highlighted; B) The lack of validated features in particular regarding the ypT0N+ subgroup and C) The preliminary investigation and the impact that ypN+ had on survival, the rational of this study is to investigate a large number of ypT0 patients in relation to the nodal status, in order to define their clinical, radiological and molecular characteristics and to further validate survival outcomes. The two main hypotheses to test are whether we can distinguish ypT0N0 vs ypT0N+ and if the nodal positivity is a confirmed as an independent prognostic factor. Additionally, we will outline the pattern of recurrences and will assess the benefits and the compliance that these 2 groups have with adjuvant chemotherapy treatment. The results of this study would dramatically impact surgical and oncological choices for responders.

Specific Aim 1. To create a large Database of ypT0 patients from multiple institutions by involvement of young researchers (short-term aim) Specific Aim 2. To compare ypT0N0 vs ypT0N+ patients with respect of their clinical and molecular features (mid-term aim) Specific Aim 3. To define pattern and timing of relapses and to conduct a multivariate analysis of survivals which would include the N status and the use of adjuvant treatment (long-term aim) Methodology. The CORSiCA project is a multi-centre, multidisciplinary, observational study that will have a retrospective and a prospective line of research. The retrospective investigation will collect clinical, pathological and radiological data of patients >18 years with a final diagnosis of ypT0 in the surgical specimen treated over the last 5 years, independently from the neoCHT-RT performed (long course CHT-RT, short course RT), type of surgical resection (LE or TME) or nodal status. The prospective line of research will be conducted with the same inclusion criteria for 6 months plus 2 years of follow-up. Patients will be excluded if presenting with metastasis at diagnosis (clinical Stage IV), if treated exclusively with neo-adjuvant chemotherapy or if presenting peri-operative mortality.

Database creation (short term Aim 1). Clinical data will be acquired using a Database (DB). Patients' data will be uploaded anonymously in the DB with a consecutive number. Participants will be blinded to the other centres enrollment and exclusively the PI will be provided with the password for general data analysis. A case report form (eCRF) will be designed adhering to the quality standards in surgical research and in accordance with the STROBE Statement for collection, interpretation and divulgation of results. CRF will collect demographics (age, sex), tumoral features (distance from the anal verge, presence of stenosis, diameter), imaging staging modalities and assessment before and after neoCHT-RT (CT, MRI and PET scans), neoadjuvant scheme and radiation dose, weeks of interval to surgery, surgical procedures, peri-operative outcome (stoma creation, Clavien's co-morbility, hospital stay), pathologic data (mesorectal integrity, lymph node harvested, number of positive nodes, R status, pathologic N stage) and finally long term outcomes; also DICOM MRI and PET data will be uploaded for the further radiological analyses. Moreover, the availability of a pre-neoCHT-RT biopsy will be reported. Deliverables at this stage will include: DB design, study registration, centres recruitment and ethical board approval along with the starts of quality checks. Milestone: achievement of the 5 years of retrospective patients enrollment.

ypT0N0 vs ypT0N+ Sub-groups comparison (mid-term Aim 2). Patients presenting nodal positivity on TME specimens will be compared to the nodal negative patients for statistical purpose. Comparison will aim to define clinical, radiological and molecular features.

Statistics. ypT0N+ patients will be matched with ypT0N0 patients for statistical purpose using the propensity score matching method (PSM) and the following covariates: age, distance from the anal verge, clinical Stage, neoadjuvant approach. Continuous variables will be analyzed using means and standard deviations, whereas categorical variables will be analyzed using frequencies and percents. The groups will be compared using the T-test and Chi-square tests. All tests will be performed two-tailed and a p value <0.05 will be considered as statistically significant. A multivariate logistic regression will be performed with the end-point of nodal positivity (dependent variable) investigating the following putative independent variables: distance from the anal verge, tumor diameter, pre-treatment clinical stage (cT, cN, CRM), re-staging assessment (radiological major vs partial/absence of response), neo-adjuvant scheme (long-course CHT-RT vs short term RT). Although no limits of enrollment will be fixed for DB registration, we estimated power for 1000 patients uploaded, on the basis of the differences documented in the preliminary investigation, given an alpha error of 0.05. The computed calculation for a two-tailed T-test (independent groups) with an effect size of 0.3 estimated a power 1-beta of 0.811; on the other hand, both the computed calculations for a two-tailed Chi-square test with an effect size 0.01 and Kaplan Meier curves, estimated a power 1-beta>0.9. Statistical analyses will be obtained using SPSS Software and a bio-statistician will be enrolled for data analyses.

ypT0 vs ypT0N+ Molecular Analysis. Gene expression profiling (GEP) by microarray analysis will be performed using the NanoString nCounter Platform. Analyses will be conducted using the nCounter® PanCancer Progression Panel which can investigate 776 genes on a variety of sample types, including formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded (FFPE) tumor sections. Molecular GEP will be performed on FFPE tumoral endoscopic biopsies obtained before beginning of neo-adjuvant treatment of ypN+ patients matched by PSM with the ones obtained before neoCHT-RT of ypN0 patients; analyses will be conducted by a pathologist. FFPE biopsies will be transported from centres to the PI HI according to standard recommendations.

GEP power and Statistics. Given 776 genes of the Progression Panel, with 0.2 acceptable number of false positive, a desired fold difference of 1.8, a desired power of 0.9 and a standard deviation of 0.7, the investigation should be conducted on two groups of 35 patients. The correlation between genes expressions the clinical and pathological features of patients will be evaluated with the Spearman correlation coefficient also in relation to the CMS classification.

Deliverables of this stage will include: clinical, radiological and molecular analyses along with the quality data validation. Milestones: conclusion of the 6 months of prospective enrollment and the publication of mid-term results.

Oncological Outcome (long-term Aim 3). ypT0N0 patients and ypT0N+ patients will be compared with the end-points of overall survival (OS, any cause of death), disease free survival (DFS, first recurrence after surgical resection) and disease specific survival (DSS, death related to colorectal cancer) at 2 years of follow up, using the Kaplan Meier method; Cox regression model will investigate the impact that different variables (including nodal positivity and adjuvant treatment) have on survivals. We will evaluate also the quality of life of ypT0 patients using validated questionnaires. Data analyses will be conducted with a radiotherapist and an oncologist. Deliverables of this stage will include: survivals and quality of life analyses. Milestone: final analyses and publication of long-term results.