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Heart Valve DiseasesNCT03724123

Machine Learning-Based Risk Profile Classification of Patients Undergoing Elective Heart Valve Surgery

An observational study of Heart Valve Diseases and Surgery--Complications, run by Kepler University Hospital.

Completed

Finished. The study has ended and is not enrolling. Results may be posted on the official record.

Official record
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Trial summary

Machine learning methods potentially provide a highly accurate and detailed assessment of expected individual patient risk before elective cardiac surgery. Correct anticipation of this risk allows for improved counseling of patients and avoidance of possible complications. Read more about this study

Who is it for?
Ages 18 years and older
Conditions the study is for
Heart Valve Diseases, Surgery--Complications
How many people
2,229 participants
Where
No sites listed yet
Study dates
1 Jan 2008to 31 Dec 2014
Phase
Observational
Are there results?
None posted in the registry

Key requirements

Who can take part, as listed by the sponsor. Only the study team can confirm whether you are eligible, so take this list to your doctor.

  • Ages 18 years and older
  • All sexes
  • No healthy volunteers
  • Adult, Older adult

Study population: Patients who underwent heart valve surgery of any kind between 2008-01-01 and 2014-12-31 were included.

Who may be able to join

  • Patients who underwent heart valve surgery of any kind between 2008-01-01 and 2014-12-31 were included.

Who cannot join

  • re-operation of the same patient
  • patients that needed anterograde cerebral perfusion due to aortic arch surgery
  • patients with grown-up congenital heart disease

About this study

Machine learning methods potentially provide a highly accurate and detailed assessment of expected individual patient risk before elective cardiac surgery. Correct anticipation of this risk allows for improved counseling of patients and avoidance of possible complications. The investigators therefore investigate the benefit of modern machine learning methods in personalized risk prediction in patients undergoing elective heart valve surgery.

Read the detailed description

The investigators performe a monocentric retrospective study in patients who underwent elective heart valve surgery between January 1, 2008, and December 31, 2014 at our center. The investigators use random forests, artificial neural networks, and support vector machines to predict the 30-days mortality from a subset of demographic and preoperative parameters. Exclusion criteria were re-operation of the same patient, patients that needed anterograde cerebral perfusion due to aortic arch surgery, and patients with grown up congenital heart disease.

Keywords
random forests, heart valve surgery, support vector machines, artificial neural networks
Medical subject headings
Heart Valve Diseases

What is being measured

The primary outcome is the main question the study is designed to answer.

  1. Area under the curve for different prediction models

    Three different predictions models will be used.

    Measured: Patients will included from 01.01.2008 - 31.12.2014

Timeline

From the start of the study to its completion; the mark is today. Estimated dates are the sponsor’s plan.

  1. First posted30 Oct 2018
  2. Study start1 Jan 2008
  3. Primary completion31 Dec 2014
  4. Study completion31 Dec 2014

Resources

More details

For doctors and researchers: how the study is designed, who runs it, and its registry IDs.

Study design
Study type
Observational
Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Retrospective
Enrolment
2,229 participants (actual)
IDs, dates and publications
ClinicalTrials.gov ID
NCT03724123
Sponsor's protocol ID
K-82-15
Status last verified
Oct 2018
First submitted
25 Oct 2018
Last updated
30 Oct 2018
Results posted
No
Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No

Publications

  • Bodenhofer U, Haslinger-Eisterer B, Minichmayer A, Hermanutz G, Meier J. Machine learning-based risk profile classification of patients undergoing elective heart valve surgery. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg. 2021 Dec 1;60(6):1378-1385. doi: 10.1093/ejcts/ezab219.

    PubMed 34050368

Questions about this trial

What is this clinical trial studying?

An observational study of Heart Valve Diseases and Surgery--Complications, run by Kepler University Hospital.

The full registered description is in the About this study section and the official record.

Who may be eligible to take part?

The sponsor lists 1 inclusion and 3 exclusion criteria. Eligibility is decided by the study team after screening, so read the full criteria and contact a listed site.

Is this clinical trial currently recruiting?

The record says: finished, as of the sponsor's last update on 30 Oct 2018. Status can change between updates, so confirm with the study contact before making plans.

What are the possible benefits and risks?

They depend on the study and the treatment, and no study can promise a benefit. The study team explains the known risks during informed consent, before anyone joins; the record itself does not list them.

Are results available for this study?

The study is completed, but results are not available in the source record. That does not mean the treatment did or did not work.

How can a doctor refer a patient or contact the research team?

The record lists no contact. The official record names the sponsor, who can be asked directly. AzTrials does not enrol participants or take referrals.

What does the primary outcome measure?

Area under the curve for different prediction models (time frame: Patients will included from 01.01.2008 - 31.12.2014). It is what the study was designed to measure, not a finding.

Where can I read the original study information?

On the ClinicalTrials.gov record for NCT03724123, which also lists 1 linked publication.

Does a listing mean the treatment is approved or proven to work?

No. A listing means the study is registered. It does not show that the treatment is safe, works, or is approved by a regulator.

How often is this information updated?

AzTrials copies changed records from ClinicalTrials.gov every night and reloads the whole registry every week. The sponsor last updated this record on 30 Oct 2018; AzTrials last refreshed its copy on 29 Oct 2026.

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