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AdiposityNCT04245826

Meta-analysis of Low-calorie Sweetened Beverages and Cardiometabolic Outcomes

An observational study of Adiposity and Metabolic Syndrome, run by University of Toronto at 1 site in Canada.

Unknown status

Status not confirmed. The sponsor has not verified this record for over two years, so it may be out of date.

Official record
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Trial summary

We propose to conduct a systematic literature review and meta-analysis to assess the association of low-calorie sweetened beverages (LCSBs) on cardiometabolic outcomes in prospective cohort studies. Read more about this study

Who is it for?
Any ageHealthy volunteers can take part
Conditions the study is for
Adiposity, Metabolic Syndrome, Type 2 Diabetes
What is being tested?
Change in LCSBs Intake and Substitute LCSBs for SSBs or Water
How many people
1 participants
Where
1 siteCanada
Study dates
16 May 2019to 1 May 2020
Phase
Observational
Are there results?
None posted in the registry

Key requirements

Who can take part, as listed by the sponsor. Only the study team can confirm whether you are eligible, so take this list to your doctor.

  • Ages Any age
  • All sexes
  • Healthy volunteers accepted
  • Child, Adult, Older adult

Study population: Varies

Who may be able to join

  • Prospective cohorts studies
  • Duration: more than 1 year follow-up
  • Exposure: LCSBs
  • Change analysis or substitution analysis of exposure

Who cannot join

  • Non-human studies
  • Less than 1 year follow-up
  • Analysis of baseline or prevalent intake of exposure only

Trial locations and contacts

1 site in 1 country.

Canada1 site
  • Clinical Nutrition and Risk Factor Modification Centre, St. Michael's Hospital

    Toronto, Ontario, M5C 2T2

Other trials in Canada

About this study

Official title: Changing or Substituting Low-calorie Sweetened Beverages for Sugar-Sweetened Beverages or Water and Cardiometabolic Outcomes: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Prospective Cohort Studies

We propose to conduct a systematic literature review and meta-analysis to assess the association of low-calorie sweetened beverages (LCSBs) on cardiometabolic outcomes in prospective cohort studies. We will be using methodological approaches (change in LCSBs intake, and/or substitution analysis) that attempt to overcome the issue of reverse causality associated with studies of LCSBs and cardiometabolic disease. Ten cardiometabolic outcomes will be assessed:

  1. Global adiposity - body weight
  2. Global adiposity - BMI
  3. Global adiposity - body fat
  4. Abdominal adiposity - waist circumference
  5. Overweight/obesity incidence
  6. Metabolic syndrome incidence
  7. Type 2 diabetes incidence
  8. Cardiovascular disease incidence
  9. Cardiovascular disease mortality
  10. Total mortality
Read the detailed description

Background:

Low-calorie sweetened beverages (LCSBs) may provide a potentially important means for displacing excess calories from free sugars in the diet. However, prospective cohort studies suggest that the use of LCSBs may contribute to an increased risk of obesity and diabetes. These findings are likely due to methodological limitations of study design and analysis that do not account for reverse causality, where higher risk of cardiometabolic outcomes may lead to people to switch to LCSBs. There is a need for a systematic review and meta-analysis (SRMA) of prospective cohort studies to overcome these methodological limitations.

Objective:

We will conduct a SRMA of prospective cohort studies in human subjects that have assessed cardiometabolic outcomes using two analytical strategies:

  1. Assessment of change in intake of LCSBs with change in outcome (change analysis) ii) Assessment of substitution of LCSBs for sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) or water.

Design:

We will conduct a SRMA according to the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions and report the findings according to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) and Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (MOOSE) guidelines.

Data sources:

MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library databases will be searched using appropriate search terms, supplemented by hand searches of references of included studies. No restriction will be placed on language.

Study selection:

Prospective cohort studies reporting (a) change analysis (change in intake of LCSBs with the change in outcome), and/or (b) substitution analysis (substitution of SSBs with LCSBs or water) with more than 1-year of follow-up will be used. Cohort studies that have a follow-up duration <1 year, do not report assessment of exposure, or do not provide viable outcome data by level of exposure will be excluded.

Data extraction

Two or more investigators will independently extract relevant data and assess risk of bias using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) for prospective cohorts. All disagreements will be resolved by consensus. Risk ratios (RRs), odds ratios (ORs) and hazard ratios (HRs) for clinical outcomes in the prospective cohort studies will be extracted or derived from clinical event data across exposure categories.

Outcomes:

Ten cardiometabolic health outcomes will be assessed:

  1. Global adiposity - body weight
  2. Global adiposity - BMI
  3. Global adiposity - body fat
  4. Abdominal adiposity - waist circumference
  5. Overweight/obesity incidence
  6. Metabolic syndrome incidence
  7. Type 2 diabetes incidence
  8. Cardiovascular disease incidence
  9. Cardiovascular disease mortality
  10. Total mortality

Data synthesis:

Natural log-transformed RRs or HRs of clinical outcomes, comparing extreme quantiles (the highest exposure versus the lowest exposure or reference group), will be pooled separately using the generic inverse variance method with random effects models and expressed as RRs with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Heterogeneity will be tested by Cochran's Q statistic and quantified by the I2 statistic. To explore sources of heterogeneity, we will conduct sensitivity analyses, in which each study is systematically removed. If ≥10 cohort comparisons are available, then we will perform an a-priori subgroup analyses by meta-regression for follow-up (<10 years vs. ≥10 years), sex (males vs. females, males vs. mixed, females vs. mixed), study quality (NOS <6 vs. ≥6) and funding source. Significant unexplained heterogeneity will be investigated by additional post hoc subgroup analyses and influence analysis. A study will be considered influential if it changes the direction or significance of the pooled estimates or the evidence of heterogeneity. Dose response estimates will be pooled using one-stage linear mixed model. When ≥10 studies are available, publication bias will be investigated by inspection of funnel plots and formal testing using the Egger and Begg tests. If publication bias is suspected, we will attempt to adjust for funnel plot asymmetry by imputing the missing study data using the Duval and Tweedie trim and fill method.

Evidence assessment:

The overall certainty of evidence for each outcome will be assessed using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluations (GRADE).

Knowledge translation plan:

The results will be disseminated through interactive presentations at local, national, and international scientific meetings and publication in high impact factor journals. Target audiences will include the public health and scientific communities with interest in nutrition, diabetes, obesity, and cardiovascular disease. Feedback will be incorporated and used to improve the public health message and key areas for future research will be defined. Applicant/Co-applicant Decision Makers will network among opinion leaders to increase awareness and participate directly as committee members in the development of future guidelines.

Significance:

The proposed project will aid in knowledge translation to the role of the LCSBs role as a replacement strategy for SSBs, strengthening the evidence-base for guidelines and improving health outcomes by educating healthcare providers and patients, stimulating industry innovation, and guiding future research design.

Being tested
Change in LCSBs Intake, Substitute LCSBs for SSBs or Water
Keywords
body weight, BMI, waist circumference, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, metabolic syndrome, mortality, overweight incidence, obesity incdience
Medical subject headings
Obesity, Metabolic Syndrome, Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2, Cardiovascular Diseases, Body Weight, Diabetes Mellitus

What participants receive

What participants receive. In a randomised study each person is assigned to one group by chance.

  • Change in LCSBs IntakeOther

    Effect of changing LCSBs intake

  • Substitute LCSBs for SSBs or WaterOther

    Effect of substituting LCSBs for SSBs or Water

Study groups in NCT04245826
Study groupRoleWhat they receive
Low-calorie Sweetened Beverages (LCSBs)Beverages exclusively using zero-energy (e.g., acesulfame-potassium, aspartame, cyclamate, saccharin, sucralose, advantame, neotame), and /or reduced-energy food additives (e.g., stevia, monk fruit).
Receives: Other: Change in LCSBs Intake; Other: Substitute LCSBs for SSBs or Water

What is being measured

The primary outcome is the main question the study is designed to answer.

  1. Global measures of adiposity with established clinical relevance - body weight

    Change in body weight

    Measured: More than 1 year

  2. Global measures of adiposity with established clinical relevance - BMI

    Change in body mass index (BMI)

    Measured: More than 1 year

  3. Global measures of adiposity with established clinical relevance - body fat

    Change in body fat

    Measured: More than 1 year

  4. Abdominal measures of adiposity with established clinical relevance - waist circumference

    Change in waist circumference

    Measured: More than 1 year

  5. Overweight/obesity incidence

    Risk ratio of Overweight/obesity incidence

    Measured: More than 1 year

  6. Metabolic syndrome incidence

    Risk ratio of metabolic syndrome incidence

    Measured: More than 1 year

  7. Type 2 diabetes incidence

    Risk ratio of type 2 diabetes incidence

    Measured: More than 1 year

  8. Cardiovascular disease incidence

    Risk ratio of cardiovascular disease incidence

    Measured: More than 1 year

  9. Cardiovascular disease mortality

    Risk ratio of Cardiovascular disease mortality

    Measured: More than 1 year

  10. Total mortality

    Risk ratio of total mortality

    Measured: More than 1 year

Timeline

From the start of the study to its completion; the mark is today. Estimated dates are the sponsor’s plan.

  1. First posted29 Jan 2020
  2. Study start16 May 2019
  3. Primary completion1 Mar 2020 (estimated)
  4. Study completion1 May 2020 (estimated)

Resources

More details

For doctors and researchers: how the study is designed, who runs it, and its registry IDs.

Study design
Study type
Observational
Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrolment
1 participants (estimated)
IDs, dates and publications
ClinicalTrials.gov ID
NCT04245826
Sponsor's protocol ID
DNSG-LCSBs (cohorts)
Status last verified
Feb 2020
First submitted
23 Jan 2020
Last updated
25 Feb 2020
Results posted
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No

Publications

  • Khan TA, Malik VS, Sievenpiper JL. Letter by Khan et al Regarding Article, "Artificially Sweetened Beverages and Stroke, Coronary Heart Disease, and All-Cause Mortality in the Women's Health Initiative". Stroke. 2019 Jun;50(6):e167-e168. doi: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.119.025571. Epub 2019 May 16. No abstract available.

    PubMed 31092156
  • Malik VS. Non-sugar sweeteners and health. BMJ. 2019 Jan 3;364:k5005. doi: 10.1136/bmj.k5005. No abstract available.

    PubMed 30606710
  • Johnson RK, Lichtenstein AH, Anderson CAM, Carson JA, Despres JP, Hu FB, Kris-Etherton PM, Otten JJ, Towfighi A, Wylie-Rosett J; American Heart Association Nutrition Committee of the Council on Lifestyle and Cardiometabolic Health; Council on Cardiovascular and Stroke Nursing; Council on Clinical Cardiology; Council on Quality of Care and Outcomes Research; and Stroke Council. Low-Calorie Sweetened Beverages and Cardiometabolic Health: A Science Advisory From the American Heart Association. Circulation. 2018 Aug 28;138(9):e126-e140. doi: 10.1161/CIR.0000000000000569.

    PubMed 30354445
  • Toews I, Lohner S, Kullenberg de Gaudry D, Sommer H, Meerpohl JJ. Association between intake of non-sugar sweeteners and health outcomes: systematic review and meta-analyses of randomised and non-randomised controlled trials and observational studies. BMJ. 2019 Jan 2;364:k4718. doi: 10.1136/bmj.k4718.

    PubMed 30602577
  • Azad MB, Abou-Setta AM, Chauhan BF, Rabbani R, Lys J, Copstein L, Mann A, Jeyaraman MM, Reid AE, Fiander M, MacKay DS, McGavock J, Wicklow B, Zarychanski R. Nonnutritive sweeteners and cardiometabolic health: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials and prospective cohort studies. CMAJ. 2017 Jul 17;189(28):E929-E939. doi: 10.1503/cmaj.161390.

    PubMed 28716847
  • Imamura F, Fretts A, Marklund M, Ardisson Korat AV, Yang WS, Lankinen M, Qureshi W, Helmer C, Chen TA, Wong K, Bassett JK, Murphy R, Tintle N, Yu CI, Brouwer IA, Chien KL, Frazier-Wood AC, Del Gobbo LC, Djousse L, Geleijnse JM, Giles GG, de Goede J, Gudnason V, Harris WS, Hodge A, Hu F; InterAct Consortium; Koulman A, Laakso M, Lind L, Lin HJ, McKnight B, Rajaobelina K, Riserus U, Robinson JG, Samieri C, Siscovick DS, Soedamah-Muthu SS, Sotoodehnia N, Sun Q, Tsai MY, Uusitupa M, Wagenknecht LE, Wareham NJ, Wu JH, Micha R, Forouhi NG, Lemaitre RN, Mozaffarian D; Fatty Acids and Outcomes Research Consortium (FORCE). Fatty acid biomarkers of dairy fat consumption and incidence of type 2 diabetes: A pooled analysis of prospective cohort studies. PLoS Med. 2018 Oct 10;15(10):e1002670. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1002670. eCollection 2018 Oct.

    PubMed 30303968
  • Rogers PJ, Hogenkamp PS, de Graaf C, Higgs S, Lluch A, Ness AR, Penfold C, Perry R, Putz P, Yeomans MR, Mela DJ. Does low-energy sweetener consumption affect energy intake and body weight? A systematic review, including meta-analyses, of the evidence from human and animal studies. Int J Obes (Lond). 2016 Mar;40(3):381-94. doi: 10.1038/ijo.2015.177. Epub 2015 Sep 14.

    PubMed 26365102
  • Lee JJ, Khan TA, McGlynn N, Malik VS, Hill JO, Leiter LA, Jeppesen PB, Rahelic D, Kahleova H, Salas-Salvado J, Kendall CWC, Sievenpiper JL. Relation of Change or Substitution of Low- and No-Calorie Sweetened Beverages With Cardiometabolic Outcomes: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Prospective Cohort Studies. Diabetes Care. 2022 Aug 1;45(8):1917-1930. doi: 10.2337/dc21-2130.

    PubMed 35901272

Questions about this trial

What is this clinical trial studying?

An observational study of Adiposity and Metabolic Syndrome, run by University of Toronto at 1 site in Canada.

The full registered description is in the About this study section and the official record.

Who may be eligible to take part?

The sponsor lists 4 inclusion and 3 exclusion criteria. Eligibility is decided by the study team after screening, so read the full criteria and contact a listed site.

Is this clinical trial currently recruiting?

The record says: status not confirmed, as of the sponsor's last update on 25 Feb 2020. Status can change between updates, so confirm with the study contact before making plans.

Where is the study taking place?

The record lists 1 site in Canada. Whether a site is taking part right now should be confirmed with that site. See every site.

What are the possible benefits and risks?

They depend on the study and the treatment, and no study can promise a benefit. The study team explains the known risks during informed consent, before anyone joins; the record itself does not list them.

Are results available for this study?

Results are not available in the source record.

How can a doctor refer a patient or contact the research team?

The record lists no contact. The official record names the sponsor, who can be asked directly. AzTrials does not enrol participants or take referrals.

What does the primary outcome measure?

Global measures of adiposity with established clinical relevance - body weight (time frame: More than 1 year). The study lists 10 primary outcomes in all. It is what the study was designed to measure, not a finding.

Where can I read the original study information?

On the ClinicalTrials.gov record for NCT04245826, which also lists 8 linked publications.

Does a listing mean the treatment is approved or proven to work?

No. A listing means the study is registered. It does not show that the treatment is safe, works, or is approved by a regulator.

How often is this information updated?

AzTrials copies changed records from ClinicalTrials.gov every night and reloads the whole registry every week. The sponsor last updated this record on 25 Feb 2020.

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