Myopia Control With Novel Eye Drops

6.1. NULL HYPOTHESES

There is no difference in the rate of progression of myopia as determined by change in spherical equivalent refractive error over time between PX using test eye drops compared to PX in the control arm.

There is no difference in the rate of progression of myopia as determined by change in axial length over time between PX using test eye drops compared to PX in the control arm.

6.2. DESCRIPTION Statistical analysis is planned to commence on completion of trial monitoring and the submission of the data analysis request form. Any interim analysis will be conducted as described in this section unless a documented request is received from the Sponsor and approved by the trial PI.

Data stored in relational databases will be imported into SPSS / STATA software for statistical purposes. Data will be investigated for quality using range checks and frequency distribution. Underlying distributions of variables will be tested. In general, variables measured on an interval scale with a sufficiently large sample size will be considered to follow a normal distribution. Outputs from the statistical analysis such as statistical tables will be copied over to Excel. All statistical results will be reported in Excel format.

6.3. NUMBER OF PARTICIPANTS Prior studies indicated that the annual progression of refractive error in Asian children using single-vision spectacles was -0.70 ± 0.45D. Thus approximately a minimum of 35 successfully enrolled subjects are required in each study group in order to demonstrate a statistically significant 50% difference in myopia progression (0.35 ± 0.45D) between test and control groups at the 5% level of significance with 80% power, using a 2-tailed distribution and assuming 20% dropouts. The detectable difference of 0.35±0.45 equates to an effect size of 0.78. G*power was used to compute the sample size.

6.4. SIGNIFICANCE A p-value less than or equal to 5% will be considered to be statistically significant.

6.5. INTERIM ANALYSIS The clinical trial will employ at least one interim analysis. Statistical adjustments to the level of significance for interim analysis will be based on an alpha spending function where the information fraction of the annual data at the time of the interim analysis will be multiplied by 5%. However, the interim analysis used to justify the need for study termination will set the statistical significance to 1%.

6.6. ANALYSIS Participants who have commenced the clinical trial treatment will be included in the analysis dataset. Reasons and frequency distribution of participants discontinued at baseline will be reported. The analysis of efficacy variables such as subjective ratings will employ only scheduled and evaluable visits. The analysis of safety variables such as adverse responses will include all visits, including all unscheduled visits. The trial PI can request an analysis of only those participants who have completed the trial. The default type of analysis will follow an Intent-to-Treat principle. The analysis plan for each primary and secondary endpoint is described here.

6.6.1. Primary Endpoint: Myopic progression using cycloplegic spherical equivalent Spherical equivalent will be recorded on an interval scale as obtained directly from the instrument. Progression of spherical equivalent defined as the change from baseline for each participant-eye will be computed and summarised as means ± standard deviations for each visit. Progression will be analysed using the intent to treat principle by linear mixed model. This model will account for the intra-subject correlation due to eye specific data and repeated visits by using subject random intercepts. The fixed effects will include treatment groups and visits. Subjects will be factored as random effects. The model will also include confounding demographic factors and baseline readings to obtain unbiased estimates. Estimated means and its confidence limits will be reported based on the model.

Progression of spherical equivalent will also be converted to a binary format using a progression value such as -0.5D. Binary outcome variables will be analysed using logistic regression. Robust estimator of variance will be used to account for within subject correlation due to eye specific data.

6.6.2. Secondary Endpoint: Myopic progression based on axial length change Axial length will be recorded on an interval scale as obtained directly from the respective instruments. Progression of axial length defined as the change from baseline for each participant-eye will be computed and summarised as means ± standard deviations for each visit. Progression in axial length will be analysed using the intent to treat principle by linear mixed model. This model will account for the intra-subject correlation due to eye specific data and repeated visits by using subject random intercepts. The fixed effects will include treatment groups and visits. Subjects will be factored as random effects. The model will also include confounding demographic factors and baseline readings to obtain unbiased estimates. Estimated means and its confidence limits will be reported based on the model.

6.6.3. Adverse Events Adverse events will be recorded on a binary scale of 0 and 1, where 1 denotes the incidence of a new event. Data will be summarised as incidence over participant-time and as a percentage of participant or participant-eyes. Incidence of the event over participant or participant-eyes will be compared between trial groups using logistic regression.

6.6.4. Other Variables Data will be summarised as means ± standard deviations for variables measured on an interval scale and median ± interquartile range for ordinal variables and percentages for those that are categorical. Other commonly used tests of significance at each visit may include paired t-tests and group t-test for parametric data and Wilcoxon signed-rank test and rank sum test for non-parametric data. Test of other variables may also include Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) and repeated measures ANOVA to test for between-participant and within-participant factors. Test of other categorical variables may include McNemar's, Fisher's Exact and Chi-Square tests for within- and between-participant factors

6.6.5. Statistical Adjustments Difference between trial groups will be ascertained at the baseline visit. If there are significant differences, the baseline value can be used as a covariate adjustment in the statistical model. Difference from baseline can also be computed and used for further statistical analysis. If the differences are statistically significant, but of low clinical significance, the analysis can be conducted without these adjustments. However, the clinical relevance of the baseline differences will be discussed with the trial PI.

Simultaneous multiple group comparisons in a post-hoc analysis will be corrected using Bonferroni correction. No adjustments will be made for testing multiple endpoints such as multiple subjective ratings.

6.6.6. Deviations from Statistical Plan The end of study analysis will be conducted as described in the protocol. Any changes to this plan will be documented in the data analysis request form and will need to be duly authorised by the study principal investigator. The data analysis request form will be retained along with other study documentation.

6.7. SUB GROUP ANALYSIS The planned sub group analysis will be used only to investigate further hypotheses and not to make any conclusive inferences.

6.8. CRITERIA FOR TERMINATION OF THE TRIAL FOR FINAL DATA ANALYSIS The trial will be terminated upon completion of the final visit by the last active participant or if any of the conditions of Section 6.4 (Participant Withdrawal) are met. An active participant is one who is enrolled in the clinical trial and has not been discontinued.

6.9. PROTOCOL DEVIATION PROCESS AND ACCOUNTABILITY OF DATA

The clinical trial team will bring deviations to the attention of the PI who, pending the significance of the deviation, will discuss with the Biostatistician, and with the Sponsor, as required.

When applicable, at the end of each protocol, protocol deviations will be reviewed (masked) to determine whether any data should be excluded from the final analysis. A list of protocol deviations and a recommendation of the PI as to how to use the data collected at the respective visit will be given to the Sponsor for approval prior to data analysis.

Individual datapoints that are missing will be excluded from analysis involving only those specific variables. A participant's complete visit data will not be excluded if some of the observations are missing. Data from unscheduled visits will be used only for adverse response analysis. Inclusion of outliers in the analysis will be based on the magnitude of change in test statistics with and without the outliers. Outliers will preferably be retained unless there is significant change in test results.

The Clinical Ophthalmologist, in conjunction with the PI (Research Ophthalmologist), may label the clinic visit as "non evaluable" on any deviations as deemed appropriate. This would then be used to exclude the clinical trial visit from the analysis. Any other variable-specific exclusion will be listed in the analysis request form and approved by the trial PI.

A list is generated of all protocol deviations reported, and this information and any subsequent analysis and comment, is included in the final "Clinical Investigation - End of Clinical trial Report".

QUALITY CONTROL AND QUALITY ASSURANCE 7.1. CRTC MONITORING A monitor will ensure all essential documents are in place prior to study commencement and that all participants have signed the participant informed consent form prior to any study procedures being performed. No other monitoring will be performed due to the scale of the project.

7.2. PROTOCOL AMENDMENTS Protocol amendments will be submitted to the Sponsor and HREC for review and approval prior to implementation, unless the change required is to eliminate an immediate hazard to participants, or involves only administrative and/or logistical aspects of the studies (e.g. change in contact numbers).

7.3. PROTOCOL DEVIATIONS The Investigator will not deviate from the protocol except if the deviation affects Participants' rights, safety and well-being. Any deviation from the protocol shall be recorded together with an explanation, including corrective and preventive actions and reported to the required bodies within the specified timeframe. The Sponsor is responsible for analysing and assessing the significance of the deviation and determining if data will be excluded.

7.4. MAINTENANCE AND CALIBRATION OF EQUIPMENT Equipment will be monitored regularly for maintenance and calibration as per relevant Institute / CRTC SOPs, company and product manuals.

ETHICAL CONSIDERATIONS The protocols require HREC approval prior to start and will be conducted as per the applicable regulatory requirements.

The Investigator is to ensure that the protocol, PI/ICF, Investigator Brochure, available safety information, information about payment and compensation to participants, advertising or any clinical trial-specific information provided to participants (including potential participants), the Investigator's CV and/or evidence of appropriate qualifications and any other documentation they may request are submitted, reviewed and approved by the HREC. Any subsequent amendments will be reviewed and approved by an HREC prior to implementation.

8.1. CONFIDENTIALITY Confidentiality will be maintained throughout the studies by all parties involved in accordance with guidelines under Section 95 of the Privacy Act 1998, and guidelines approved under Section 95a of the Privacy Act 1998 (December 2001). Data will be secured against unauthorised access.

Privacy and confidentiality of information about each participant will be preserved in the reports and any publication of the clinical trial data.

8.2. INFORMED CONSENT The informed consent process and documentation to be used for the trial will be reviewed and approved by the HREC prior to use.

The informed consent process provides the participant with ongoing explanations that will allow them to make educated decisions about whether to begin or continue participating in the trial. The Investigator will discuss the trial with the participant and the participant will have the opportunity to ask questions before, during and after the trial. The participant will be informed that at any time during their involvement in the trial, they have the opportunity to withdraw this consent.

The PI/ICF provides a summary of the trial, including its purpose, procedures and schedule, potential risks and benefits, and alternative treatments. It also explains the participant's rights once in the trial. The participant is given sufficient time to consider whether or not to participate and if they agree to voluntarily take part, they give their consent by signing the PI/ICF.