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covid19MI-COVIDNCT04427345

Predictive Factors COVID-19 Patients

An observational study of covid19, run by University of Milano Bicocca at 1 site in Italy.

Withdrawn

Withdrawn. The study stopped before anyone enrolled.

Official record
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Trial summary

This is a monocentric retro-prospective observational study that will be conducted on all COVID19 positive patients hospitalized at the S. Gerardo Hospital in Monza. Read more about this study

Who is it for?
Ages 18 years and older
Conditions the study is for
covid19
What is being tested?
Predictive factors for clinical response in patients with COVID-19.
How many people
0 participants
Where
1 siteItaly
Study dates
30 Apr 2020to 12 May 2022
Phase
Observational
Are there results?
None posted in the registry

Key requirements

Who can take part, as listed by the sponsor. Only the study team can confirm whether you are eligible, so take this list to your doctor.

  • Ages 18 years and older
  • All sexes
  • No healthy volunteers
  • Adult, Older adult

Study population: The study involves patients admitted to San Gerardo Hospital from March 1, 2020 to May 31, 2020. The minimum expected follow-up will be one year for all patients. Given the nature of the study, no formal calculation of the sample size was made, nor was a sample size predefined. However, given the recruiting potential of the center which in March saw on average 30-60 hospitalizations due to SARS-CoV-2 per day, even considering a progressive decrease in access, it is assumed that the proportion of patients who will be included in the study will exceed 1000 units.

Who may be able to join

  • Patients 18 years old or above
  • Diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia

Who cannot join

  • Explicit refusal to participate in the study

Trial locations and contacts

1 site in 1 country.

Italy1 site
  • ASST Monza-Ospedale San Gerardo

    Monza

Other trials in Italy

About this study

Official title: Predictive Clinical Response Factors in COVID-19 Patients

This is a monocentric retro-prospective observational study that will be conducted on all COVID19 positive patients hospitalized at the S. Gerardo Hospital in Monza.

Read the detailed description

BACKGROUND:

The Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome-Coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic is severely testing the health systems of the most advanced countries. Clinicians are faced with a new pathology of an emerging virus. There is therefore an urgent need to collect real-time clinical data that informs about outcome predictive variables. Furthermore, there are currently no antiviral drugs approved for the treatment of SARS-CoV-2 infection, off-label therapies are being used with drugs already in use for other pathologies that have shown some efficacy in vitro, and some treatments obtained for compassionate use with other drugs that are being tested.

It is more than ever necessary to collect clinical practice data both retrospectively on the work done so far, and in a longitudinal perspective, and analyze them quickly to optimize current treatments and define protocols for the future. Having a good clinical data base also offers the possibility of collaborating with numerous international networks on translational research, which aims to correlate clinical data with virological and immunological data, aimed at the rapid identification of possible specific viral virulence factors, or particular immune structures of the guests who once again define the final clinical outcome.

STUDY DESIGN:

All COVID19 positive patients admitted to San Gerardo Hospital will be enrolled in the study.

After patient signs the informed consent, the following data will be collected:

  • birth data
  • sex
  • demographic data
  • comorbidity
  • blood chemistry data at the entrance

A series of variables will then be collected relating to the treatment procedure, the therapies, the team's choice to maximize the care ceiling in the individual patient and the entire clinical study of the patient.

STATISTICAL ANALISYS:

Central tendency and dispersion measurements will be used for descriptive analysis of continuous variables while absolute and relative frequencies will be used to describe categorical variables.

Conditions
covid19
Being tested
Predictive factors for clinical response in patients with COVID-19.
Keywords
Coronavirus, sars-covid-2, coronavirus infection
Medical subject headings
COVID-19, Coronavirus Infections

What participants receive

What participants receive. In a randomised study each person is assigned to one group by chance.

  • Predictive factors for clinical response in patients with COVID-19.Other

    Identify the risk factors for intra-hospital mortality in patients hospitalized in the COVID + hospital wards of the San Gerardo hospital and build a prognostic score through which it is possible to define a stratification that immediately guides the therapeutic choices and the intensity of care .

Study groups in NCT04427345
Study groupRoleWhat they receive
Covid19 infection related patientsPatients admitted to COVID wards of the S. Gerardo Hospital of Monza, including Intensive Care wards.
Receives: Other: Predictive factors for clinical response in patients with COVID-19.

What is being measured

The primary outcome is the main question the study is designed to answer.

  1. Identify risk factors for intra-hospital mortality.

    Identify risk factors for intra-hospital mortality in patients admitted to the COVID + hospital wards of San Gerardo hospital.

    Measured: Until patient discharge from the hospital (approximately 1 year)

  2. Identify risk factors to build a prognostic score.

    Identify the risk factors to build a prognostic score through which it is possible to define a stratification that immediately guides the therapeutic choices.

    Measured: Until patient discharge from the hospital (approximately 1 year)

  3. Identify risk factors to build a prognostic score.

    Identify the risk factors to build a prognostic score through which it is possible to define a stratification that immediately directs towards the right intensity of care.

    Measured: Until patient discharge from the hospital (approximately 1 year)

Secondary outcomes (5)
  1. Predictive factors for the hospitalization duration.

    Description of the predictive factors for the hospitalization duration.

    Measured: Until patient discharge from the hospital (approximately 1 year)

  2. Predictive factors for clinical status patients based on "Ordinal Scale for Clinical Improvement"

    Description of the predictive factors for the clinical status of patients based on "Ordinal Scale for Clinical Improvement" defined by OMS (

    Measured: Until patient discharge from the hospital (approximately 1 year)

  3. Describe the anti-viral therapies used commonly in this emergency in terms of efficacy

    Description of efficacy of the anti-viral therapies used today without particular restrictions, but on which solid clinical functioning tests are lacking.

    Measured: Until patient discharge from the hospital (approximately 1 year).

  4. Describe the anti-viral therapies used commonly used in this emergency in terms of safety

    Description of safety of the anti-viral therapies used today without particular restrictions, but on which solid clinical functioning tests are lacking.

    Measured: Until patient discharge from the hospital (approximately 1 year).

  5. Monitor the clinical course of the disease in discharged patients.

    Description of the disease clinical course in patients 12 months after discharge (mortality, neurological, respiratory and cardiac outcomes).

    Measured: 12 month after discharge

Timeline

From the start of the study to its completion; the mark is today. Estimated dates are the sponsor’s plan.

  1. First posted11 Jun 2020
  2. Study start30 Apr 2020
  3. Primary completionMay 2021 (estimated)
  4. Study completion12 May 2022

Why it stopped: This study has been included in another trial within the same Sponsor

Resources

More details

For doctors and researchers: how the study is designed, who runs it, and its registry IDs.

Study design
Study type
Observational
Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Retrospective
Enrolment
0 participants (actual)
IDs, dates and publications
ClinicalTrials.gov ID
NCT04427345
Sponsor's protocol ID
MI-COVID
Acronym
MI-COVID
Status last verified
May 2022
First submitted
4 Jun 2020
Last updated
26 May 2022
Results posted
No
Data monitoring committee
Yes
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
Individual data sharing
No

Publications

  • Rosenbaum L. Facing Covid-19 in Italy - Ethics, Logistics, and Therapeutics on the Epidemic's Front Line. N Engl J Med. 2020 May 14;382(20):1873-1875. doi: 10.1056/NEJMp2005492. Epub 2020 Mar 18. No abstract available.

    PubMed 32187459
  • Chen N, Zhou M, Dong X, Qu J, Gong F, Han Y, Qiu Y, Wang J, Liu Y, Wei Y, Xia J, Yu T, Zhang X, Zhang L. Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of 99 cases of 2019 novel coronavirus pneumonia in Wuhan, China: a descriptive study. Lancet. 2020 Feb 15;395(10223):507-513. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30211-7. Epub 2020 Jan 30.

    PubMed 32007143
  • Wang D, Hu B, Hu C, Zhu F, Liu X, Zhang J, Wang B, Xiang H, Cheng Z, Xiong Y, Zhao Y, Li Y, Wang X, Peng Z. Clinical Characteristics of 138 Hospitalized Patients With 2019 Novel Coronavirus-Infected Pneumonia in Wuhan, China. JAMA. 2020 Mar 17;323(11):1061-1069. doi: 10.1001/jama.2020.1585.

    PubMed 32031570
  • Wu C, Chen X, Cai Y, Xia J, Zhou X, Xu S, Huang H, Zhang L, Zhou X, Du C, Zhang Y, Song J, Wang S, Chao Y, Yang Z, Xu J, Zhou X, Chen D, Xiong W, Xu L, Zhou F, Jiang J, Bai C, Zheng J, Song Y. Risk Factors Associated With Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome and Death in Patients With Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pneumonia in Wuhan, China. JAMA Intern Med. 2020 Jul 1;180(7):934-943. doi: 10.1001/jamainternmed.2020.0994.

    PubMed 32167524
  • Wu Z, McGoogan JM. Characteristics of and Important Lessons From the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Outbreak in China: Summary of a Report of 72 314 Cases From the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention. JAMA. 2020 Apr 7;323(13):1239-1242. doi: 10.1001/jama.2020.2648. No abstract available.

    PubMed 32091533
  • Guan WJ, Ni ZY, Hu Y, Liang WH, Ou CQ, He JX, Liu L, Shan H, Lei CL, Hui DSC, Du B, Li LJ, Zeng G, Yuen KY, Chen RC, Tang CL, Wang T, Chen PY, Xiang J, Li SY, Wang JL, Liang ZJ, Peng YX, Wei L, Liu Y, Hu YH, Peng P, Wang JM, Liu JY, Chen Z, Li G, Zheng ZJ, Qiu SQ, Luo J, Ye CJ, Zhu SY, Zhong NS; China Medical Treatment Expert Group for Covid-19. Clinical Characteristics of Coronavirus Disease 2019 in China. N Engl J Med. 2020 Apr 30;382(18):1708-1720. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa2002032. Epub 2020 Feb 28.

    PubMed 32109013

Questions about this trial

What is this clinical trial studying?

An observational study of covid19, run by University of Milano Bicocca at 1 site in Italy.

The full registered description is in the About this study section and the official record.

Who may be eligible to take part?

The sponsor lists 2 inclusion and 1 exclusion criteria. Eligibility is decided by the study team after screening, so read the full criteria and contact a listed site.

Is this clinical trial currently recruiting?

The record says: withdrawn, as of the sponsor's last update on 26 May 2022. Status can change between updates, so confirm with the study contact before making plans.

Where is the study taking place?

The record lists 1 site in Italy. Whether a site is taking part right now should be confirmed with that site. See every site.

What are the possible benefits and risks?

They depend on the study and the treatment, and no study can promise a benefit. The study team explains the known risks during informed consent, before anyone joins; the record itself does not list them.

Are results available for this study?

The study was withdrawn before enrolling participants, so there are no results.

How can a doctor refer a patient or contact the research team?

The record lists no contact. The official record names the sponsor, who can be asked directly. AzTrials does not enrol participants or take referrals.

What does the primary outcome measure?

Identify risk factors for intra-hospital mortality. (time frame: Until patient discharge from the hospital (approximately 1 year)). The study lists 3 primary outcomes in all. It is what the study was designed to measure, not a finding.

Where can I read the original study information?

On the ClinicalTrials.gov record for NCT04427345, which also lists 6 linked publications.

Does a listing mean the treatment is approved or proven to work?

No. A listing means the study is registered. It does not show that the treatment is safe, works, or is approved by a regulator.

How often is this information updated?

AzTrials copies changed records from ClinicalTrials.gov every night and reloads the whole registry every week. The sponsor last updated this record on 26 May 2022.

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