COVID-19NCT05102708
Study of COVID-19 Prognostic Factors in Hospitalized Patients
An observational study of COVID-19, run by Fundació Institut de Recerca de l'Hospital de la Santa Creu i Sant Pau at 1 site in Spain.
Trial summary
Severe COVID-19 prognostic factors have been studied worldwide throughout the pandemic, but there is considerable variability. Therefore, the investigators will summarize the identified prognostic factors in the international literature and will conduct a retrospective cohort study to identify the prognostic factors… Read more about this study
- Who is it for?
- Ages 18 years and older
- Conditions the study is for
- COVID-19
- What is being tested?
- Prognostic factors of severe COVID-19
- How many people
- 3,725 participants
- Where
- 1 siteSpain
- Study dates
- 25 Nov 2021to 28 May 2022
- Phase
- Observational
- Are there results?
- None posted in the registry
Key requirements
Who can take part, as listed by the sponsor. Only the study team can confirm whether you are eligible, so take this list to your doctor.
- Ages 18 years and older
- All sexes
- No healthy volunteers
- Adult, Older adult
Study population: Adult COVID-19 patients hospitalized at the San Pau Hospital of Barcelona between March 2020 and February 2021.
Who may be able to join
- Equal or older than 18 years old
- Hospitalized between March 1st, 2020, and February 28th, 2021.
- Be diagnosed with COVID-19 disease
Who cannot join
- Underaged patients
- > 16h stay in the Emergency Unit
Trial locations and contacts
1 site in 1 country.
About this study
Severe COVID-19 prognostic factors have been studied worldwide throughout the pandemic, but there is considerable variability. Therefore, the investigators will summarize the identified prognostic factors in the international literature and will conduct a retrospective cohort study to identify the prognostic factors of severe COVID-19 in hospitalized patients of the Hospital de la Santa Creu i Sant Pau in Barcelona (Spain) between March 2020 and February 2021, compare them with those mentioned in the international literature and establish those most adequate to our population.
Read the detailed description
Background: Spain is one of the European countries most affected by the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, with a fatality rate of 2.2%. Faced with the significant number of patients requiring intensive care, the number of beds increased considerably in the span of 11 months to respond to the situation. There is still no drug treatment or specific prognostic factors for COVID-19 that allow its proper management.
Objective: To study the prognostic factors of severity due to COVID-19 in hospitalized patients at Hospital de la Santa Creu i Sant Pau, and their comparison with the prognostic factors identified in the literature review.
Methods: In a first phase, the published studies will be reviewed to identify the existing prognostic factors through various platforms (MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane). A retrospective cohort study will subsequently be carried out to determine the patients' characteristics and to identify the prognostic factors of severity. Patients over 18 years of age, diagnosed with COVID-19 and hospitalized between March 01, 2020 and February 28, 2021 will be included. A descriptive analysis of the cohort will firstly be performed, followed by an analysis of the possible prognostic factors through bivariate tests and multivariate analyzes. The occurrence of admission to intensive care, mortality, and hospital stay > 30 days will be calculated with logistic regression (p <0.05, a = 0.05, 95% confidence interval). Finally, the prognostic factors identified in the literature review will be compared with those determined in the cohort.
- Conditions
- COVID-19
- Being tested
- Prognostic factors of severe COVID-19
- Keywords
- Prognostic Factors, COVID-19, Hospitalization, Critical care, All-cause mortality
- Medical subject headings
- COVID-19
What participants receive
What participants receive. In a randomised study each person is assigned to one group by chance.
Prognostic factors of severe COVID-19Other
prognostic factors: patients´ epidemiological characteristics (such as age, sex), comorbidities, length of hospitalization, critical care admission, treatments received, laboratory results, vital signs.
What is being measured
The primary outcome is the main question the study is designed to answer.
All cause mortality
All cause mortality of COVID-19 inpatients
Measured: one year
Critical care admission
Critical care admission of COVID-19 inpatients
Measured: one year
Length of stay
length of hospital stay equal or longer than 30 days
Measured: one year
30-day all cause mortality
30-day all cause mortality of COVID-19 inpatients
Measured: one year
Timeline
From the start of the study to its completion; the mark is today. Estimated dates are the sponsor’s plan.
- First posted1 Nov 2021
- Study start25 Nov 2021
- Primary completion31 Dec 2021
- Study completion28 May 2022
Resources
- Official record on ClinicalTrials.govThe registry entry this page is built from, with its full change history.
- Publications (20)Papers the sponsor has linked to this study.
- Other trials for COVID-19Studies of the same condition, open and under way.
- More trials run by Fundació Institut de Recerca de l'Hospital de la Santa Creu i Sant PauThe sponsor's other registered studies.
- What the trial phases meanHow a treatment moves from first tests in people to approval.
More details
For doctors and researchers: how the study is designed, who runs it, and its registry IDs.
Study design
- Study type
- Observational
- Observational model
- Cohort
- Time perspective
- Retrospective
- Enrolment
- 3,725 participants (actual)
Sponsor and investigators
- Sponsor type
- University, hospital or other
- Responsible party
- Sponsor
- Investigators
- Teresa Puig, MD, PhD, MSC, Principal investigator, Fundació Institut de Recerca de l'Hospital de la Santa Creu i Sant Pau
IDs, dates and publications
- ClinicalTrials.gov ID
- NCT05102708
- Sponsor's protocol ID
- IIBSP-COV-2021-75
- Status last verified
- Aug 2022
- First submitted
- 27 Oct 2021
- Last updated
- 6 Sep 2022
- Results posted
- No
- Individual data sharing
- Undecided
Publications
Cevik M, Tate M, Lloyd O, Maraolo AE, Schafers J, Ho A. SARS-CoV-2, SARS-CoV, and MERS-CoV viral load dynamics, duration of viral shedding, and infectiousness: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Lancet Microbe. 2021 Jan;2(1):e13-e22. doi: 10.1016/S2666-5247(20)30172-5. Epub 2020 Nov 19.
PubMed 33521734Wang Y, Tian H, Zhang L, Zhang M, Guo D, Wu W, Zhang X, Kan GL, Jia L, Huo D, Liu B, Wang X, Sun Y, Wang Q, Yang P, MacIntyre CR. Reduction of secondary transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in households by face mask use, disinfection and social distancing: a cohort study in Beijing, China. BMJ Glob Health. 2020 May;5(5):e002794. doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2020-002794.
PubMed 32467353Kronbichler A, Kresse D, Yoon S, Lee KH, Effenberger M, Shin JI. Asymptomatic patients as a source of COVID-19 infections: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Int J Infect Dis. 2020 Sep;98:180-186. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.06.052. Epub 2020 Jun 17.
PubMed 32562846Chen N, Zhou M, Dong X, Qu J, Gong F, Han Y, Qiu Y, Wang J, Liu Y, Wei Y, Xia J, Yu T, Zhang X, Zhang L. Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of 99 cases of 2019 novel coronavirus pneumonia in Wuhan, China: a descriptive study. Lancet. 2020 Feb 15;395(10223):507-513. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30211-7. Epub 2020 Jan 30.
PubMed 32007143Nussbaumer-Streit B, Mayr V, Dobrescu AI, Chapman A, Persad E, Klerings I, Wagner G, Siebert U, Christof C, Zachariah C, Gartlehner G. Quarantine alone or in combination with other public health measures to control COVID-19: a rapid review. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2020 Apr 8;4(4):CD013574. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD013574.
PubMed 32267544Chu DK, Akl EA, Duda S, Solo K, Yaacoub S, Schunemann HJ; COVID-19 Systematic Urgent Review Group Effort (SURGE) study authors. Physical distancing, face masks, and eye protection to prevent person-to-person transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Lancet. 2020 Jun 27;395(10242):1973-1987. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)31142-9. Epub 2020 Jun 1.
PubMed 32497510Piechotta V, Chai KL, Valk SJ, Doree C, Monsef I, Wood EM, Lamikanra A, Kimber C, McQuilten Z, So-Osman C, Estcourt LJ, Skoetz N. Convalescent plasma or hyperimmune immunoglobulin for people with COVID-19: a living systematic review. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2020 Jul 10;7(7):CD013600. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD013600.pub2.
PubMed 32648959Jain V, Yuan JM. Predictive symptoms and comorbidities for severe COVID-19 and intensive care unit admission: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Int J Public Health. 2020 Jun;65(5):533-546. doi: 10.1007/s00038-020-01390-7. Epub 2020 May 25.
PubMed 32451563Zhou Y, Yang Q, Chi J, Dong B, Lv W, Shen L, Wang Y. Comorbidities and the risk of severe or fatal outcomes associated with coronavirus disease 2019: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Int J Infect Dis. 2020 Oct;99:47-56. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.07.029. Epub 2020 Jul 25.
PubMed 32721533Hatmi ZN. A Systematic Review of Systematic Reviews on the COVID-19 Pandemic. SN Compr Clin Med. 2021;3(2):419-436. doi: 10.1007/s42399-021-00749-y. Epub 2021 Jan 26.
PubMed 33521564Reddy RK, Charles WN, Sklavounos A, Dutt A, Seed PT, Khajuria A. The effect of smoking on COVID-19 severity: A systematic review and meta-analysis. J Med Virol. 2021 Feb;93(2):1045-1056. doi: 10.1002/jmv.26389. Epub 2020 Aug 13.
PubMed 32749705Moreno G, Carbonell R, Bodi M, Rodriguez A. Systematic review of the prognostic utility of D-dimer, disseminated intravascular coagulation, and anticoagulant therapy in COVID-19 critically ill patients. Med Intensiva (Engl Ed). 2021 Jan-Feb;45(1):42-55. doi: 10.1016/j.medin.2020.06.006. Epub 2020 Jun 17.
PubMed 32646669Lazarus G, Audrey J, Wangsaputra VK, Tamara A, Tahapary DL. High admission blood glucose independently predicts poor prognosis in COVID-19 patients: A systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis. Diabetes Res Clin Pract. 2021 Jan;171:108561. doi: 10.1016/j.diabres.2020.108561. Epub 2020 Dec 9.
PubMed 33310127Martha JW, Wibowo A, Pranata R. Prognostic value of elevated lactate dehydrogenase in patients with COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Postgrad Med J. 2022 Jun;98(1160):422-427. doi: 10.1136/postgradmedj-2020-139542. Epub 2021 Jan 15.
PubMed 33452143Martha JW, Wibowo A, Pranata R. Hypocalcemia is associated with severe COVID-19: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Diabetes Metab Syndr. 2021 Jan-Feb;15(1):337-342. doi: 10.1016/j.dsx.2021.01.003. Epub 2021 Jan 18.
PubMed 33493853
Study at a glance
From the registry record, last updated by the sponsor on 6 Sep 2022. Recruitment status is as the sponsor reported it: confirm with the study team.
- Official title
- Study of COVID-19 Prognostic Factors in Hospitalized Patients
- ClinicalTrials.gov ID
- NCT05102708
- Acronym / sponsor ID
- IIBSP-COV-2021-75
- Conditions
- COVID-19
- Keywords
- Prognostic Factors, COVID-19, Hospitalization, Critical care, All-cause mortality
- Study type
- Observational
- Recruitment status
- Completed
- Enrolment
- 3,725 participants (actual)
- Lead sponsor
- Fundació Institut de Recerca de l'Hospital de la Santa Creu i Sant PauUniversity, hospital or other
- Study start
- 25 Nov 2021 (actual)
- Primary completion
- 31 Dec 2021 (actual)
- Study completion
- 28 May 2022 (actual)
- First posted
- 1 Nov 2021 (actual)
- Results
- Not posted in the source record
Clinical summary
The research question as the sponsor registered it. This describes what the study plans to test, not what it found.
Severe COVID-19 prognostic factors have been studied worldwide throughout the pandemic, but there is considerable variability. Therefore, the investigators will summarize the identified prognostic factors in the international literature and will conduct a retrospective cohort study to identify the prognostic factors of severe COVID-19 in hospitalized patients of the Hospital de la Santa Creu i Sant Pau in Barcelona (Spain) between March 2020 and February 2021, compare them with those mentioned in the international literature and establish those most adequate to our population.
Detailed description
Background: Spain is one of the European countries most affected by the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, with a fatality rate of 2.2%. Faced with the significant number of patients requiring intensive care, the number of beds increased considerably in the span of 11 months to respond to the situation. There is still no drug treatment or specific prognostic factors for COVID-19 that allow its proper management.
Objective: To study the prognostic factors of severity due to COVID-19 in hospitalized patients at Hospital de la Santa Creu i Sant Pau, and their comparison with the prognostic factors identified in the literature review.
Methods: In a first phase, the published studies will be reviewed to identify the existing prognostic factors through various platforms (MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane). A retrospective cohort study will subsequently be carried out to determine the patients' characteristics and to identify the prognostic factors of severity. Patients over 18 years of age, diagnosed with COVID-19 and hospitalized between March 01, 2020 and February 28, 2021 will be included. A descriptive analysis of the cohort will firstly be performed, followed by an analysis of the possible prognostic factors through bivariate tests and multivariate analyzes. The occurrence of admission to intensive care, mortality, and hospital stay > 30 days will be calculated with logistic regression (p <0.05, a = 0.05, 95% confidence interval). Finally, the prognostic factors identified in the literature review will be compared with those determined in the cohort.
Study design
- Observational model
- Cohort
- Time perspective
- Retrospective
Who may qualify
- Ages
- 18 years and older
- Sex
- All
- Healthy volunteers
- Not accepted
- Age groups
- Adult, Older adult
- Study population
- Adult COVID-19 patients hospitalized at the San Pau Hospital of Barcelona between March 2020 and February 2021.
Key inclusion criteria (3 listed)
- Equal or older than 18 years old
- Hospitalized between March 1st, 2020, and February 28th, 2021.
- Be diagnosed with COVID-19 disease
Key exclusion criteria (2 listed)
- Underaged patients
- > 16h stay in the Emergency Unit
Eligibility is decided by the study team after screening; this overview does not establish that a patient qualifies. Full inclusion and exclusion criteria.
Interventions
| Intervention | Type | Arms |
|---|---|---|
| Prognostic factors of severe COVID-19prognostic factors: patients´ epidemiological characteristics (such as age, sex), comorbidities, length of hospitalization, critical care admission, treatments received, laboratory results, vital signs. | Other | – |
Primary outcome
All cause mortality
Time frame: one year
All cause mortality of COVID-19 inpatients
Critical care admission
Time frame: one year
Critical care admission of COVID-19 inpatients
Length of stay
Time frame: one year
length of hospital stay equal or longer than 30 days
30-day all cause mortality
Time frame: one year
30-day all cause mortality of COVID-19 inpatients
Results and safety
The study is completed, but results are not available in the source record. That does not mean the treatment did or did not work.
Research links
- Official record on ClinicalTrials.govLast updated by the sponsor 6 Sep 2022.
- Background: PubMed 33521734Cevik M, Tate M, Lloyd O, Maraolo AE, Schafers J, Ho A. SARS-CoV-2, SARS-CoV, and MERS-CoV viral load dynamics, duration of viral shedding, and infectiousness: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Lancet Microbe. 2021 Jan;2(1):e13-e22. doi: 10.1016/S2666-5247(20)30172-5. Epub 2020 Nov 19.
- Background: PubMed 32467353Wang Y, Tian H, Zhang L, Zhang M, Guo D, Wu W, Zhang X, Kan GL, Jia L, Huo D, Liu B, Wang X, Sun Y, Wang Q, Yang P, MacIntyre CR. Reduction of secondary transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in households by face mask use, disinfection and social distancing: a cohort study in Beijing, China. BMJ Glob Health. 2020 May;5(5):e002794. doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2020-002794.
- Background: PubMed 32562846Kronbichler A, Kresse D, Yoon S, Lee KH, Effenberger M, Shin JI. Asymptomatic patients as a source of COVID-19 infections: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Int J Infect Dis. 2020 Sep;98:180-186. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.06.052. Epub 2020 Jun 17.
- Background: PubMed 32007143Chen N, Zhou M, Dong X, Qu J, Gong F, Han Y, Qiu Y, Wang J, Liu Y, Wei Y, Xia J, Yu T, Zhang X, Zhang L. Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of 99 cases of 2019 novel coronavirus pneumonia in Wuhan, China: a descriptive study. Lancet. 2020 Feb 15;395(10223):507-513. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30211-7. Epub 2020 Jan 30.
- Background: PubMed 32267544Nussbaumer-Streit B, Mayr V, Dobrescu AI, Chapman A, Persad E, Klerings I, Wagner G, Siebert U, Christof C, Zachariah C, Gartlehner G. Quarantine alone or in combination with other public health measures to control COVID-19: a rapid review. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2020 Apr 8;4(4):CD013574. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD013574.
- Background: PubMed 32497510Chu DK, Akl EA, Duda S, Solo K, Yaacoub S, Schunemann HJ; COVID-19 Systematic Urgent Review Group Effort (SURGE) study authors. Physical distancing, face masks, and eye protection to prevent person-to-person transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Lancet. 2020 Jun 27;395(10242):1973-1987. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)31142-9. Epub 2020 Jun 1.
- Background: PubMed 32648959Piechotta V, Chai KL, Valk SJ, Doree C, Monsef I, Wood EM, Lamikanra A, Kimber C, McQuilten Z, So-Osman C, Estcourt LJ, Skoetz N. Convalescent plasma or hyperimmune immunoglobulin for people with COVID-19: a living systematic review. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2020 Jul 10;7(7):CD013600. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD013600.pub2.
- Background: PubMed 32451563Jain V, Yuan JM. Predictive symptoms and comorbidities for severe COVID-19 and intensive care unit admission: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Int J Public Health. 2020 Jun;65(5):533-546. doi: 10.1007/s00038-020-01390-7. Epub 2020 May 25.
- Background: PubMed 32721533Zhou Y, Yang Q, Chi J, Dong B, Lv W, Shen L, Wang Y. Comorbidities and the risk of severe or fatal outcomes associated with coronavirus disease 2019: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Int J Infect Dis. 2020 Oct;99:47-56. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.07.029. Epub 2020 Jul 25.
- Background: PubMed 33521564Hatmi ZN. A Systematic Review of Systematic Reviews on the COVID-19 Pandemic. SN Compr Clin Med. 2021;3(2):419-436. doi: 10.1007/s42399-021-00749-y. Epub 2021 Jan 26.
- Background: PubMed 32749705Reddy RK, Charles WN, Sklavounos A, Dutt A, Seed PT, Khajuria A. The effect of smoking on COVID-19 severity: A systematic review and meta-analysis. J Med Virol. 2021 Feb;93(2):1045-1056. doi: 10.1002/jmv.26389. Epub 2020 Aug 13.
- Background: PubMed 32646669Moreno G, Carbonell R, Bodi M, Rodriguez A. Systematic review of the prognostic utility of D-dimer, disseminated intravascular coagulation, and anticoagulant therapy in COVID-19 critically ill patients. Med Intensiva (Engl Ed). 2021 Jan-Feb;45(1):42-55. doi: 10.1016/j.medin.2020.06.006. Epub 2020 Jun 17.
- World Health OrganizationLink provided by the sponsor.
- COVID-19: timeline of WHO actionLink provided by the sponsor.
- Opening address by the WHO Director-General at the press conference on COVID-19 held on March 11, 2020Link provided by the sponsor.
- World Health Organization - COVID-19 Weekly Epidemiological UpdateLink provided by the sponsor.
- WHO Coronavirus (COVID-19) DashboardLink provided by the sponsor.
- COVID-19 - UpToDateLink provided by the sponsor.
- Individual participant dataSharing planned: Undecided
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Referral and contact
AzTrials does not enrol participants or take referrals. Contact the study team or a site listed below; they decide who can take part. This study is not recruiting at the moment.
Teresa Puig, MD, PhD, MSC principal investigator
Fundació Institut de Recerca de l'Hospital de la Santa Creu i Sant Pau
1 site in 1 country: see every site and its status.
Questions about this trial
What is this clinical trial studying?
An observational study of COVID-19, run by Fundació Institut de Recerca de l'Hospital de la Santa Creu i Sant Pau at 1 site in Spain.
The full registered description is in the About this study section and the official record.
Who may be eligible to take part?
The sponsor lists 3 inclusion and 2 exclusion criteria. Eligibility is decided by the study team after screening, so read the full criteria and contact a listed site.
Is this clinical trial currently recruiting?
The record says: finished, as of the sponsor's last update on 6 Sep 2022. Status can change between updates, so confirm with the study contact before making plans.
Where is the study taking place?
The record lists 1 site in Spain. Whether a site is taking part right now should be confirmed with that site. See every site.
What are the possible benefits and risks?
They depend on the study and the treatment, and no study can promise a benefit. The study team explains the known risks during informed consent, before anyone joins; the record itself does not list them.
Are results available for this study?
The study is completed, but results are not available in the source record. That does not mean the treatment did or did not work.
How can a doctor refer a patient or contact the research team?
The record lists no contact. The official record names the sponsor, who can be asked directly. AzTrials does not enrol participants or take referrals.
What does the primary outcome measure?
All cause mortality (time frame: one year). The study lists 4 primary outcomes in all. It is what the study was designed to measure, not a finding.
Where can I read the original study information?
On the ClinicalTrials.gov record for NCT05102708, which also lists 20 linked publications.
Does a listing mean the treatment is approved or proven to work?
No. A listing means the study is registered. It does not show that the treatment is safe, works, or is approved by a regulator.
How often is this information updated?
AzTrials copies changed records from ClinicalTrials.gov every night and reloads the whole registry every week. The sponsor last updated this record on 6 Sep 2022.