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Type 2 DiabetesNCT05214573

Second-line Therapies for Patients With Type 2 Diabetes and Moderate Cardiovascular Disease Risk

An observational study of Type 2 Diabetes and Cardiac Disease, run by Mayo Clinic at 1 site in United States.

Completed

Finished. The study has ended and is not enrolling. Results may be posted on the official record.

Official record
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Trial summary

We will use the target trial framework for causal inference to conduct this observational retrospective cohort study that uses claims data of adults with type 2 diabetes (T2D) included in the de-identified datasets of OptumLabs Data Warehouse (OLDW) and Medicare fee-for-service. Read more about this study

Who is it for?
Ages 21 years and older
Conditions the study is for
Type 2 Diabetes, Cardiac Disease
What is being tested?
Glucagon like peptide 1 receptor agonist, Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor and Dipeptidyl Peptidase 4 Inhibitor
How many people
386,301 participants
Where
1 siteUnited States
Study dates
1 Dec 2021to 22 Jul 2025
Phase
Observational
Are there results?
Yes, posted in the registrySummary in the doctors' view

Key requirements

Who can take part, as listed by the sponsor. Only the study team can confirm whether you are eligible, so take this list to your doctor.

  • Ages 21 years and older
  • All sexes
  • No healthy volunteers
  • Adult, Older adult

Study population: Aims 1, 2B, 3: De-identified data sets using laboratory results, electronic health record and mortality data from the OptumLabs Data Warehouse (OLDW) and Medicare fee-for-service data. Aim 2A: Adults with Type 2 diabetes receiving care from primary care and endocrinology practices in Mayo Clinic Rochester, MN or Mayo Clinic Health System in Minnesota and Wisconsin.

Who may be able to join

  • ≥ 21 years old.
  • Diagnosis of Type 2 diabetes.
  • Use of ≥ 1 study drug (GLP-1RA, SGLT2i, DPP-4i, SU).

Who cannot join

  • Fill for any study drug during the baseline period or simultaneous (within 30 days) start of ≥2 study drugs
  • Insulin use
  • Type 1 diabetes
  • High risk of CVD
  • Pregnancy
  • Metastatic cancer
Show all 11Show fewer
  • Insulin use.
  • Cognitive impairment.
  • Terminal or advanced illness.
  • Non-English speaking.
  • Residency in a long-term care setting.

Trial locations and contacts

1 site in 1 country.

United States1 site
  • Mayo Clinic Rochester

    Rochester, Minnesota, 55905

Other trials in United States

About this study

We will use the target trial framework for causal inference to conduct this observational retrospective cohort study that uses claims data of adults with type 2 diabetes (T2D) included in the de-identified datasets of OptumLabs Data Warehouse (OLDW) and Medicare fee-for-service.

In Aim 1, we will emulate a target trial comparing the effectiveness of glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1RA), sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i), dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP-4i), and sulfonylureas (SU) in adults with T2D at moderate risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) with regard to major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), expanded MACE, microvascular complications, severe hypoglycemia, and other adverse events.

Read more

In Aim 2, we will compare these four drug classes in the same population of adults with T2D included in OLDW and Medicare fee-for-service data with respect to a set of composite outcomes identified by a group of patients with T2D as being most important to them. Specifically, in Aim 2A, we will prospectively elicit patient preferences toward various treatment outcomes (e.g., hospitalization, kidney disease) using a participatory ranking exercise, then use these rankings to generate individually weighted composite outcomes. Then, in Aim 2B, we will estimate patient-centered treatment effects of four different second-line T2D medications that reflect the patient's value for each outcome.

In Aim 3, we will compare different medications within each of the four therapeutic classes with respect to MACE.

Read the detailed description

Study Design: We will use the target trial framework for causal inference to conduct this observational cohort study.

Comparators: Aims 1-2 compare the GLP-1RA, SGLT2i, DPP-4i, and SU classes, while Aim 3 compares the individual drugs within each therapeutic class.

Population: Using data from OptumLabs Data Warehouse linked to 100% Medicare FFS claims, we will identify adults (≥21 years) with T2D at moderate risk for CVD who started a GLP-1RA, SGLT2i, DPP-4i, or SU

Outcomes: In AIMs 1 and 3, the primary outcome will be time to MACE (non-fatal MI, non-fatal stroke, all-cause mortality). Secondary outcomes will include times to expanded MACE (MACE, HF hospitalizations, revascularization procedures) and its components, lower extremity complications, severe hypoglycemia, microvascular complications, and other significant adverse events. In AIM 2A, we will elicit patient preferences toward various treatment outcomes using a participatory ranking exercise, use these rankings to generate individually weighted composite outcomes, and then estimate patient-centered treatment effects of GLP-1RA, SGLT2i, DPP4i, and SU reflecting the patient values for each of the outcomes.

Timeframe: January 1, 2014 to December 31, 2021.

Methods: Inverse probability weighting will be used to emulate baseline randomization for pairwise comparisons between the drug classes (AIMs 1-2) and individual drugs within each class (AIM 3). Causal cumulative incidence rates will be estimated in the weighted sample using the targeted maximum likelihood estimator adjusting for time-dependent confounding and loss-to-follow-up.

Being tested
Glucagon like peptide 1 receptor agonist, Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor, Dipeptidyl Peptidase 4 Inhibitor, Sulfonylurea
Keywords
Diabetes, Type 2 diabetes, Cardiovascular disease, Comparative effectiveness
Medical subject headings
Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2, Heart Diseases, Diabetes Mellitus, Cardiovascular Diseases

What participants receive

What participants receive. In a randomised study each person is assigned to one group by chance.

  • Glucagon like peptide 1 receptor agonistDrug

    Patients in the data who filled a glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist medication

  • Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitorDrug

    Patients in the data who filled a sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor

  • Dipeptidyl Peptidase 4 InhibitorDrug

    Patients in the data who filled a dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor

  • SulfonylureaDrug

    Patients in the data who filled a sulfonylurea

Study groups in NCT05214573
Study groupRoleWhat they receive
Aims 1, 2B, and 3 GroupsDe-identified administrative claims with linked laboratory results, electronic health record (EHR), and mortality data from the OptumLabs Data Warehouse (OLDW) and Medicare fee-for-service data (Medicare parts A, B, D) will be utilized to identify adults (≥21 years) with T2D (established using validated Healthcare Effectiveness Data and Information Set criteria) who first filled any study drug GLP-1RA, SGLT2i, DPP-4i, or SU between 1/1/2014-12/31/2021. This arm was exempt from Mayo Clinic Institutional Review Board review and informed consent requirements were not applicable as this arm used deidentified administrative claims data.
Receives: Drug: Glucagon like peptide 1 receptor agonist; Drug: Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor; Drug: Dipeptidyl Peptidase 4 Inhibitor; Drug: Sulfonylurea
Aim 2A GroupAdults with Type 2 diabetes treated with one or more of the study medications (GLP-1RA, SGLT2i, DPP-4i, or SU) and not treated with insulin who receive medical care at Mayo Clinic Rochester or Mayo Clinic Health System in Minnesota or Wisconsin. This arm was not exempt from Mayo Clinic Institutional Review Board review and informed consent requirements were applicable as this arm collected prospective data.

What is being measured

The primary outcome is the main question the study is designed to answer.

  1. 3-point Major Adverse Cardiovascular Event (MACE)

    The probability of 3-point MACEs experienced by subjects treated with DPP4i, GLP-1RA, SGLT2i, or Sulfonylureas (SU) defined as non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI), non-fatal stroke, and mortality. The probability was calculated and reported as the hazard ratio.

    Measured: Retrospective Data between 1/1/2014 - 12/31/2022, up to 8 years, collected over a 2-year period

  2. Expanded Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events (MACE) and Its Components

    The probability of 3-point MACEs (non-fatal MI, non-fatal stroke, mortality) plus heart failure hospitalization and revascularization procedure events experienced by subjects treated with DPP4i, GLP-1RA, SGLT2i, or Sulfonylureas (SU). The probability was calculated and reported as the hazard ratio.

    Measured: Retrospective Data between 1/1/2014 - 12/31/2022, up to 8 years, collected over a 2-year period

  3. Patient Preferences for Second-line Type 2 Diabetes Medication Treatment Outcomes

    Patients ranked treatment outcomes using a participatory ranking questionnaire. The questionnaire included a list of 16 health outcomes and eight medication attributes, with opportunities for participants to add outcomes and attributes into the ranking lists. During the exercise, participants were asked to assign each outcome and attribute to one of three mutually exclusive categories: "very important," "somewhat important," or "not very important," based on the degree to which each outcome or attribute would influence their choice of medication. Results shown below reflect the health outcomes/medication attributes that were ranked "very important" by patients.

    Measured: 1 hour

Secondary outcomes (7)
  1. Non-fatal Myocardial Infarction (MI)

    The probability of a non-fatal MI experienced by subjects treated with DPP4i, GLP-1RA, SGLT2i, or Sulfonylureas (SU). The probability was calculated and reported as the hazard ratio.

    Measured: Retrospective Data between 1/1/2014 - 12/31/2022, up to 8 years, collected over a 2-year period

  2. Non-fatal Stroke Events

    The probability of non-fatal stroke events experienced by subjects treated with DPP4i, GLP-1RA, SGLT2i, or Sulfonylureas (SU). The probability was calculated and reported as the hazard ratio.

    Measured: Retrospective Data between 1/1/2014 - 12/31/2022, up to 8 years, collected over a 2-year period

  3. All-cause Mortality

    The probability of all-cause mortality events experienced by subjects treated with DPP4i, GLP-1RA, SGLT2i, Sulfonylureas (SU). The probability was calculated and reported as the hazard ratio.

    Measured: Retrospective Data between 1/1/2014 - 12/31/2022, up to 8 years, collected over a 2-year period

  4. Severe Hypoglycemia

    The probability of emergency department visits or hospitalization for hypoglycemia experienced by subjects treated with DPP4i, GLP-1RA, SGLT2i, or Sulfonylurea (SU). The probability was calculated and reported as the hazard ratio.

    Measured: Retrospective Data between 1/1/2014 - 12/31/2022, up to 8 years, collected over a 2-year period

  5. Incident End-stage Kidney Disease

    The probability of a new diagnosis of stage 5 or end-stage kidney disease experienced by subjects treated with DPP4i, GLP-1RA, SGLT2i, or Sulfonylurea (SU). The probability was calculated and reported as the hazard ratio.

    Measured: Retrospective Data between 1/1/2014 - 12/31/2022, up to 8 years, collected over a 2-year period

  6. Treatment for Diabetic Retinopathy or Macular Edema

    The probability of treatment for diabetic retinopathy and/or macular edema experienced by subjects treated with DPP4i, GLP-1RA, SGLT2i, or Sulfonylurea (SU). The probability was calculated and reported as the hazard ratio.

    Measured: Retrospective Data between 1/1/2014 - 12/31/2022, up to 8 years, collected over a 2-year period

  7. Lower Extremity Complications

    The probability of foot and/or leg amputation, osteomyelitis, ulcer, abscess or Charcot arthropathy experienced by subjects treated with DPP4i, GLP-1RA, SGLT2i, or Sulfonylurea (SU). The probability was calculated and reported as the hazard ratio.

    Measured: Retrospective Data between 1/1/2014 - 12/31/2022, up to 8 years, collected over a 2-year period

Timeline

From the start of the study to its completion; the mark is today. Estimated dates are the sponsor’s plan.

  1. First posted28 Jan 2022
  2. Study start1 Dec 2021
  3. Primary completion30 Sep 2023
  4. Study completion22 Jul 2025

Resources

More details

For doctors and researchers: how the study is designed, who runs it, and its registry IDs.

Study design
Study type
Observational
Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Retrospective
Enrolment
386,301 participants (actual)
IDs, dates and publications
ClinicalTrials.gov ID
NCT05214573
Sponsor's protocol ID
21-007688
Status last verified
Sep 2025
First submitted
26 Jan 2022
Last updated
10 Oct 2025
Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No

Publications

  • Sklepinski S, Ratzki-Leewing AA, Herrin J, Swarna KS, Deng Y, Polley EC, Neumiller JJ, Galindo RJ, Umpierrez GE, Ross JS, Brito JP, Montori VM, Mickelson MM, McCoy RG. Comparative effectiveness of sulfonylureas on kidney outcomes in adults with type 2 diabetes and moderate cardiovascular risk: a target trial emulation. BMJ Open Diabetes Res Care. 2026 May 21;14(3):e005775. doi: 10.1136/bmjdrc-2025-005775.

    PubMed 42167878
  • Brito JP, Herrin J, Swarna KS, Singh Ospina NM, Montori VM, Toro-Tobon D, Umpierrez GE, Galindo RJ, Deng Y, Mickelson MM, Shao H, Polley EC, McCoy RG. GLP-1RA Use and Thyroid Cancer Risk. JAMA Otolaryngol Head Neck Surg. 2025 Mar 1;151(3):243-252. doi: 10.1001/jamaoto.2024.4852.

    PubMed 39847346
  • Neumiller JJ, Herrin J, Swarna KS, Polley EC, Galindo RJ, Umpierrez GE, Deng Y, Ross JS, Mickelson MM, McCoy RG. Kidney Outcomes with Glucagon-Like Peptide-1 Receptor Agonists, Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter 2 Inhibitors, Dipeptidyl Peptidase-4 Inhibitors, and Sulfonylureas in Type 2 Diabetes and Moderate Cardiovascular Risk. Clin J Am Soc Nephrol. 2025 Feb 1;20(2):206-217. doi: 10.2215/CJN.0000000587. Epub 2024 Oct 8.

    PubMed 39729347
  • McCoy RG, Herrin J, Swarna KS, Deng Y, Kent DM, Ross JS, Umpierrez GE, Galindo RJ, Crown WH, Borah BJ, Montori VM, Brito JP, Neumiller JJ, Mickelson MM, Polley EC. Effectiveness of glucose-lowering medications on cardiovascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes at moderate cardiovascular risk. Nat Cardiovasc Res. 2024 Apr;3(4):431-440. doi: 10.1038/s44161-024-00453-9. Epub 2024 Apr 3.

    PubMed 38846711

Questions about this trial

What is this clinical trial studying?

An observational study of Type 2 Diabetes and Cardiac Disease, run by Mayo Clinic at 1 site in United States.

The full registered description is in the About this study section and the official record.

Who may be eligible to take part?

The sponsor lists 3 inclusion and 11 exclusion criteria. Eligibility is decided by the study team after screening, so read the full criteria and contact a listed site.

Is this clinical trial currently recruiting?

The record says: finished, as of the sponsor's last update on 10 Oct 2025. Status can change between updates, so confirm with the study contact before making plans.

Where is the study taking place?

The record lists 1 site in United States. Whether a site is taking part right now should be confirmed with that site. See every site.

What are the possible benefits and risks?

They depend on the study and the treatment, and no study can promise a benefit. The study team explains the known risks during informed consent, before anyone joins; the record itself does not list them.

Are results available for this study?

Yes. Results are posted in the registry (first posted 10 Oct 2025). A summary is in the For doctors view, and the full results are on ClinicalTrials.gov.

How can a doctor refer a patient or contact the research team?

The record lists no contact. The official record names the sponsor, who can be asked directly. AzTrials does not enrol participants or take referrals.

What does the primary outcome measure?

3-point Major Adverse Cardiovascular Event (MACE) (time frame: Retrospective Data between 1/1/2014 - 12/31/2022, up to 8 years, collected over a 2-year period). The study lists 3 primary outcomes in all. It is what the study was designed to measure, not a finding.

Where can I read the original study information?

On the ClinicalTrials.gov record for NCT05214573, which also lists 4 linked publications.

Does a listing mean the treatment is approved or proven to work?

No. A listing means the study is registered. It does not show that the treatment is safe, works, or is approved by a regulator.

How often is this information updated?

AzTrials copies changed records from ClinicalTrials.gov every night and reloads the whole registry every week. The sponsor last updated this record on 10 Oct 2025.

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