Risk and Resiliency Factors in the RCMP: A Prospective Investigation

Contemporary programs designed to support PSP mental health focus on increasing knowledge, reducing stigma and increasing help-seeking behaviours. Most studies of PTSI among PSP use cross-sectional data with short follow-up periods and assess very small subsets of variables posited as important. The limited research suggests the extant programs produce small, time-limited, highly variable benefits, likely due to low fidelity of delivery and limited specification of the mechanisms of action for mitigating PTSI. A particularly large, robustly designed trial with serving PSP compared psychoeducation to resilience training focussed on stress reduction and mindfulness, but found no statistically significant differences between the treatment groups. The researchers recommended future programs target specific modifiable individual differences. Individual differences that have been posited as resilience factors for psychopathology include some personality traits (i.e., extroversion, conscientiousness), hope, distress tolerance, optimism, interpersonal supports and positive life activities (e.g., exercise). Environmental factors, individual differences in psychological variables and individual differences in physiological variables have also been posited as risk factors for psychopathology. Environmental risk factors for psychopathology include PPTE and stressors (e.g., adverse childhood experiences, difficult socioeconomic status), family history of psychopathology, pre-existing psychopathology, and peritraumatic experiences. Individual psychological difference risk factors for psychopathology include some personality traits (e.g., neuroticism, world view), anxiety sensitivity, fear of negative evaluation, illness/injury sensitivity, pain-related anxiety/fear, intolerance of uncertainty, rumination, maladaptive self-appraisal, dissociation, and anger. Individual physiological difference risk factors for psychopathology include autonomic nervous system dysregulation. Aversive avoidant reactions to emotions are particularly critical risk factors for developing PTSI. Greater acceptance of emotions reduces reliance on avoidant coping strategies (e.g., alcohol use, avoiding reminders of the event) that exacerbate PTSI symptoms and, paradoxically, lead to more frequent negative emotions. The UP for the transdiagnostic treatment of emotional disorders (UP) is an evidence-based cognitive behaviour intervention designed to help individuals cultivate an approach-oriented stance towards emotions. The UP was designed to reduce symptoms of diverse anxiety- and mood-related disorders. The UP is supported by considerable evidence demonstrating transdiagnostic effectiveness across several delivery formats (e.g., individual, group, self). There is preliminary support for the UP as a proactive intervention to mitigate PTSI based on a randomized trial assessing participants with elevated nonclinical symptoms of depression and anxiety. Participants found the proactive Unified Protocol training to be highly acceptable and satisfying; at 1-month follow-up, they reported using the new skills "some" to "most" of the time, and statistically significant improvements were observed from baseline to 1-month follow-up. The UP appears to have potential as a proactive intervention that can be efficiently and effectively delivered to PSP to use to protect their mental health and enhance job satisfaction.

The RCMP Study necessarily uses a longitudinal prospective sequential experimental cohort design to create a clustered randomized trial that engages individual participants for 5.5 years. The structure of the Cadet Training Program does not allow for randomizing individual participants or individual groups of participants; nevertheless, meta-analytic evidence suggests that results from studies using this design and results from true randomized controlled trials do not typically differ meaningfully or statistically significantly, and both methods produce comparable groups at baseline. The RCMP Study hypotheses were pre-registered with aspredicted.org for the RCMP Study and associated hypotheses occurred on 7 November 2019 with the name, "Risk and resiliency factors in the RCMP: A prospective investigation" (#30654). Participants will be assessed for at least 66 months, via full assessments (i.e., self-report surveys, clinical interviews), monthly assessments (i.e., ~20 minute self-report surveys), daily assessments (i.e., ~1 minute self-report surveys), and biometric assessments, to allow for sufficient time to potentially develop PTSI symptoms after deployment. The data collection time-period uses seven broad milestones (see Table 1 for a summary and the supplemental tables at http://hdl.handle.net/10294/14680 for details): pre-training (T1); pre-deployment (T2; ~26 weeks after recruitment); and each of five deployment anniversaries starting about 12 months after deployment (T3 to T7). Each milestone involves a full assessment (FA1 to FA7). Recruitment will continue until 480 ATC participants have completed FA2. Unless extended by the RCMP, FA7 concludes data collection from each participant. Participants complete their first monthly assessment (i.e., MA1) about 4 weeks after completing FA1 and do not complete a monthly assessment concordant with completion of a full assessment (i.e., maximum number of monthly assessments per participant is 65). Participants can complete their first daily assessment (i.e., DA1) on the same day as FA1 (i.e., maximum number of daily assessments per participant ~2008). Cadets cannot be enrolled into the ATC until all STC participants have deployed, creating a necessarily 26-week gap that will be used to prepare to transition the Cadet Training Program to the ATC (see supplemental tables at http://hdl.handle.net/10294/14680).

1. Mental health disorder prevalence rates at T1 for both groups, based on clinical interviews, or screening tools based on self-reported symptoms, will be comparable to the mental health disorder prevalence rates of the general population (i.e. 10.1%).
2. At T1, both groups will report individual difference scores comparable to the general population.
3. From T1 to T2, both groups will show reductions in variables associated with risk (e.g. anxiety sensitivity), increases in variables associated with resilience (e.g. distress tolerance), improvements in mental health (e.g. absolute, statistically significant or clinically significant reductions in self-reported symptoms of PTSI, reductions in proportions of participants meeting diagnostic criteria using either standardized cut-off scores, clinical interview results), as a function of the Cadet Training Program.
4. The ATC group will, but the STC participants will not, show statistically significant changes associated with more than small effect sizes.
5. Relative to the STC group, the ATC group at T2 will report statistically lower risk, greater resilience and better mental health.
6. Both groups will show statistically significant predictive relationships between completing assessments, changes to individual differences over time (i.e. inversely with risk [e.g. anxiety sensitivity], positively with resilience [e.g. hope], inversely with mental health symptoms [e.g. symptoms of major depressive disorder]) and successful completion of the Cadet Training Program.
7. Both groups will evidence statistically significant sequential predictive relationships for environmental factors or individual differences reported during the daily, monthly and full assessments.
8. Both groups will show increases in risk, decreases in resilience and reductions in mental health at T3, T4, T5, T6, and T7, relative to T2; however, the ATC group will show slower increases in risk, slower decreases in resilience and slower reductions in mental health.
9. Both groups will show a statistically significant relationship between changes in environmental factors or individual differences over time, frequency of exercise109 and other self-reported indicators of physical health.
10. Relative to the STC group, the ATC group will report fewer symptoms of and instances of mental health disorders after T1.
11. The ATC group will show a statistically significant relationship between changes in environmental factors or individual differences over time and engagement with ATC content.
12. Relative to men, women will report more difficulties with mental disorder symptoms and occupational stressors.
13. Changes in biological variables (i.e. autonomic nervous system reactivity, heart rate variability, cardiac mechanical changes) will be associated with environmental factors or individual differences.

The RCMP Study has been designed as an applied longitudinal prospective sequential experimental cohort research project. Participants, the RCMP as an organization, past, present and future RCMP and all PSP should benefit directly and indirectly from the RCMP Study. The benefits should occur irrespective of any specific RCMP Study component (i.e. risk variables, resilience variables, biological variables, the relative impact of the ATC). Through the RCMP Study, the RCMP have become global leaders in the international efforts to better support the mental health of all PSP. The current protocol paper provides details to inform and support similar efforts by other researchers.