Carotid Artery PlaquePREDICTNCT05566080
Preoperative Identification of the Histologically "Vulnerable" Plaque Using Non-invasive Imaging, Biomechanical Assessment and Baroreflex Evaluation in Patients With Severe Carotid Stenosis
An observational study of Carotid Artery Plaque and Diagnosis, run by IRCCS Policlinico S. Donato at 1 site in Italy.
Trial summary
Carotid artery stenosis due to atherosclerotic plaques accounts for an important cause of ischemic stroke. Current research seeks to risk stratify asymptomatic patients by characterizing rupture-prone plaques. Currently no single imaging modality can reliably identify those plaques before surgery. Read more about this study
- Who is it for?
- Ages 18 years and older
- Conditions the study is for
- Carotid Artery Plaque, Diagnosis
- What is being tested?
- Carotid endarterectomy
- Type of treatment
- Surgery or procedure
- How many people
- 100 participants
- Where
- 1 siteItaly
- Study dates
- 15 Mar 2021to 30 Sep 2023
- Phase
- Observational
- Are there results?
- None posted in the registry
Key requirements
Who can take part, as listed by the sponsor. Only the study team can confirm whether you are eligible, so take this list to your doctor.
- Ages 18 years and older
- All sexes
- Adult, Older adult
Study population: Patients undergoing CEA for a 70-99% asymptomatic stenosis according to ECST measurement of the internal carotid artery at Unit of Vascular Surgery, IRCCS Policlinico San Donato.
Who may be able to join
- age above 18 years;
- signed informed consent.
Who cannot join
- medical conditions limiting expected survival to <1 year;
- patients with significant uncontrolled or unstable medical condition (heart failure or angina pectoris class NYHA III-IV, cardiac surgery in the previous 30 days, left ventricular ejection fraction <30%, severe chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, myocardial infarction in the previous 30 days, coronary heart disease with revascularization indication, that is, the common trunk or more than two coronary vessels);
- tracheostomy;
- paralysis of the laryngeal nerve contralateral to the carotid stenosis;
- women of childbearing potential;
- inability to give informed consent;
- patients presenting contraindications to perform a CTA examination of neck vessels with contrast medium;
- patients with medical history of stroke/TIA within the previous 6 months.
Trial locations and contacts
1 site in 1 country.
About this study
Carotid artery stenosis due to atherosclerotic plaques accounts for an important cause of ischemic stroke. Current research seeks to risk stratify asymptomatic patients by characterizing rupture-prone plaques. Currently no single imaging modality can reliably identify those plaques before surgery. Recently, the 3D ultrasound (US) and the assessment of the mechanical stress on the vessel wall have been proposed as non-invasive tools that could play a role in the diagnostic work-up. Data of histological validation, however, are still needed. In this research, 3D US, non-invasive elastography, Finite Element Analysis of computed tomography angiography images and the study of the autonomic cardiovascular control will be used to identify preoperatively the vulnerable plaque in patients undergoing carotid endarterectomy. The results will be compared to that of histology of the removed plaque, aiming to provide a validation to each method for a possible application in the daily practice.
- Conditions
- Carotid Artery Plaque, Diagnosis
- Being tested
- Carotid endarterectomy
- Keywords
- carotid stenosis, ultrasonic imaging, finite element analysis
- Medical subject headings
- Carotid Stenosis, Disease
What participants receive
What participants receive. In a randomised study each person is assigned to one group by chance.
Carotid endarterectomyProcedure or surgery
Patients who have a significant carotid stenosis and who undergo surgical carotid endarterectomy
What is being measured
The primary outcome is the main question the study is designed to answer.
Plaque vulnerability
To assess the correlation between the result of 3D US in identifying preoperatively the features of vulnerable plaque (plaque volume; presence of a lipidic core/intraplaque hemorrhage/plaque ulceration; fibrous cap thickness) and that of the histological analysis, in patients who will undergo CEA for a 70-99% carotid stenosis. To assess the correlation between the US-SE parameters to plaque vulnerability, as defined by the histological analysis.
Measured: Through study completion, an average of 3 years
Plaque vulnerability
To assess the state of the autonomic function and cardiovascular control in patients undergoing CEA and check if there is a relation with the histological analysis of the carotid plaque after CEA.
Measured: Through study completion, an average of 3 years
Plaque vulnerability
To develop software routines to process US B-mode and US-SE images; to determine the mechanical stress patterns on the vessel wall by the different types of carotid plaques through the FEA of preoperative CTA scans of the recruited patients, and their correlation with the plaque histology and 3D US images. relation with the histological analysis of the carotid plaque after CEA.
Measured: Through study completion, an average of 3 years
Timeline
From the start of the study to its completion; the mark is today. Estimated dates are the sponsor’s plan.
- First posted4 Oct 2022
- Study start15 Mar 2021
- Primary completion30 Sep 2023
- Study completion30 Sep 2023
Resources
- Official record on ClinicalTrials.govThe registry entry this page is built from, with its full change history.
- Publications (13)Papers the sponsor has linked to this study.
- Other trials for Carotid Artery PlaqueStudies of the same condition, open and under way.
- More trials run by IRCCS Policlinico S. DonatoThe sponsor's other registered studies.
- What the trial phases meanHow a treatment moves from first tests in people to approval.
More details
For doctors and researchers: how the study is designed, who runs it, and its registry IDs.
Study design
- Study type
- Observational
- Observational model
- Cohort
- Time perspective
- Cross-sectional
- Enrolment
- 100 participants (actual)
Sponsor and investigators
- Lead sponsor
- IRCCS Policlinico S. Donato
- Sponsor type
- University, hospital or other
- Collaborators
- University of Pavia, Ministry of Health, Italy
- Responsible party
- Principal investigator, Daniela Mazzaccaro, IRCCS Policlinico S. Donato
IDs, dates and publications
- ClinicalTrials.gov ID
- NCT05566080
- Sponsor's protocol ID
- GR-2018-12366862
- Acronym
- PREDICT
- Status last verified
- Dec 2023
- First submitted
- 28 Sep 2022
- Last updated
- 28 Dec 2023
- Results posted
- No
- Data monitoring committee
- Yes
- FDA-regulated drug
- No
- FDA-regulated device
- No
- Individual data sharing
- Undecided
Publications
Kolos I, Troitskiy A, Balakhonova T, Shariya M, Skrypnik D, Tvorogova T, Deev A, Boytsov S; Aggressive Medical Treatment Evaluation for Asymptomatic Carotid Artery Stenosis (AMTEC) Study Group. Modern medical treatment with or without carotid endarterectomy for severe asymptomatic carotid atherosclerosis. J Vasc Surg. 2015 Oct;62(4):914-22. doi: 10.1016/j.jvs.2015.05.005.
PubMed 26410046Spence JD. Endarterectomy vs. stenting vs. medical therapy. Int J Stroke. 2016 Jul;11(5):500-1. doi: 10.1177/1747493016643552. Epub 2016 Apr 11.
PubMed 27256474Gupta A, Baradaran H, Schweitzer AD, Kamel H, Pandya A, Delgado D, Dunning A, Mushlin AI, Sanelli PC. Carotid plaque MRI and stroke risk: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Stroke. 2013 Nov;44(11):3071-7. doi: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.113.002551. Epub 2013 Aug 29.
PubMed 23988640Huibers A, de Borst GJ, Wan S, Kennedy F, Giannopoulos A, Moll FL, Richards T. Non-invasive Carotid Artery Imaging to Identify the Vulnerable Plaque: Current Status and Future Goals. Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg. 2015 Nov;50(5):563-72. doi: 10.1016/j.ejvs.2015.06.113. Epub 2015 Aug 19.
PubMed 26298222AlMuhanna K, Hossain MM, Zhao L, Fischell J, Kowalewski G, Dux M, Sikdar S, Lal BK. Carotid plaque morphometric assessment with three-dimensional ultrasound imaging. J Vasc Surg. 2015 Mar;61(3):690-7. doi: 10.1016/j.jvs.2014.10.003. Epub 2014 Dec 9.
PubMed 25499716Mahmood B, Ewertsen C, Carlsen J, Nielsen MB. Ultrasound Vascular Elastography as a Tool for Assessing Atherosclerotic Plaques - A Systematic Literature Review. Ultrasound Int Open. 2016 Nov;2(4):E106-E112. doi: 10.1055/s-0042-115564. Epub 2016 Oct 13.
PubMed 27896334Tsekouras NS, Katsargyris A, Skrapari I, Bastounis EE, Georgopoulos S, Klonaris C, Bakoyiannis C, Bastounis EA. The role of carotid plaque echogenicity in baroreflex sensitivity. J Vasc Surg. 2011 Jul;54(1):93-9. doi: 10.1016/j.jvs.2010.11.121. Epub 2011 Mar 31.
PubMed 21458208Ricotta JJ, Aburahma A, Ascher E, Eskandari M, Faries P, Lal BK; Society for Vascular Surgery. Updated Society for Vascular Surgery guidelines for management of extracranial carotid disease. J Vasc Surg. 2011 Sep;54(3):e1-31. doi: 10.1016/j.jvs.2011.07.031.
PubMed 21889701Heart rate variability: standards of measurement, physiological interpretation and clinical use. Task Force of the European Society of Cardiology and the North American Society of Pacing and Electrophysiology. Circulation. 1996 Mar 1;93(5):1043-65. No abstract available.
PubMed 8598068Pagani M, Montano N, Porta A, Malliani A, Abboud FM, Birkett C, Somers VK. Relationship between spectral components of cardiovascular variabilities and direct measures of muscle sympathetic nerve activity in humans. Circulation. 1997 Mar 18;95(6):1441-8. doi: 10.1161/01.cir.95.6.1441.
PubMed 9118511van Engelen A, Wannarong T, Parraga G, Niessen WJ, Fenster A, Spence JD, de Bruijne M. Three-dimensional carotid ultrasound plaque texture predicts vascular events. Stroke. 2014 Sep;45(9):2695-701. doi: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.114.005752. Epub 2014 Jul 17.
PubMed 25034714Sadat U, Li ZY, Young VE, Graves MJ, Boyle JR, Warburton EA, Varty K, O'Brien E, Gillard JH. Finite element analysis of vulnerable atherosclerotic plaques: a comparison of mechanical stresses within carotid plaques of acute and recently symptomatic patients with carotid artery disease. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry. 2010 Mar;81(3):286-9. doi: 10.1136/jnnp.2009.190363. Epub 2009 Nov 25.
PubMed 19939857Simel DL, Samsa GP, Matchar DB. Likelihood ratios with confidence: sample size estimation for diagnostic test studies. J Clin Epidemiol. 1991;44(8):763-70. doi: 10.1016/0895-4356(91)90128-v.
PubMed 1941027
Study at a glance
From the registry record, last updated by the sponsor on 28 Dec 2023. Recruitment status is as the sponsor reported it: confirm with the study team.
- Official title
- Preoperative Identification of the Histologically "Vulnerable" Plaque Using Non-invasive Imaging, Biomechanical Assessment and Baroreflex Evaluation in Patients With Severe Carotid Stenosis
- ClinicalTrials.gov ID
- NCT05566080
- Acronym / sponsor ID
- PREDICT / GR-2018-12366862
- Conditions
- Carotid Artery Plaque, Diagnosis
- Keywords
- carotid stenosis, ultrasonic imaging, finite element analysis
- Study type
- Observational
- Recruitment status
- Completed
- Enrolment
- 100 participants (actual)
- Lead sponsor
- IRCCS Policlinico S. DonatoUniversity, hospital or other
- Collaborators
- University of Pavia, Ministry of Health, Italy
- Study start
- 15 Mar 2021 (actual)
- Primary completion
- 30 Sep 2023 (actual)
- Study completion
- 30 Sep 2023 (actual)
- First posted
- 4 Oct 2022 (actual)
- Results
- Not posted in the source record
Clinical summary
The research question as the sponsor registered it. This describes what the study plans to test, not what it found.
Carotid artery stenosis due to atherosclerotic plaques accounts for an important cause of ischemic stroke. Current research seeks to risk stratify asymptomatic patients by characterizing rupture-prone plaques. Currently no single imaging modality can reliably identify those plaques before surgery. Recently, the 3D ultrasound (US) and the assessment of the mechanical stress on the vessel wall have been proposed as non-invasive tools that could play a role in the diagnostic work-up. Data of histological validation, however, are still needed. In this research, 3D US, non-invasive elastography, Finite Element Analysis of computed tomography angiography images and the study of the autonomic cardiovascular control will be used to identify preoperatively the vulnerable plaque in patients undergoing carotid endarterectomy. The results will be compared to that of histology of the removed plaque, aiming to provide a validation to each method for a possible application in the daily practice.
Study design
- Observational model
- Cohort
- Time perspective
- Cross-sectional
Who may qualify
- Ages
- 18 years and older
- Sex
- All
- Age groups
- Adult, Older adult
- Study population
- Patients undergoing CEA for a 70-99% asymptomatic stenosis according to ECST measurement of the internal carotid artery at Unit of Vascular Surgery, IRCCS Policlinico San Donato.
Key inclusion criteria (2 listed)
- age above 18 years;
- signed informed consent.
Key exclusion criteria (8 listed)
- medical conditions limiting expected survival to <1 year;
- patients with significant uncontrolled or unstable medical condition (heart failure or angina pectoris class NYHA III-IV, cardiac surgery in the previous 30 days, left ventricular ejection fraction <30%, severe chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, myocardial infarction in the previous 30 days, coronary heart disease with revascularization indication, that is, the common trunk or more than two coronary vessels);
- tracheostomy;
- paralysis of the laryngeal nerve contralateral to the carotid stenosis;
- women of childbearing potential;
Eligibility is decided by the study team after screening; this overview does not establish that a patient qualifies. Full inclusion and exclusion criteria.
Interventions
| Intervention | Type | Arms |
|---|---|---|
| Carotid endarterectomyPatients who have a significant carotid stenosis and who undergo surgical carotid endarterectomy | Procedure or surgery | – |
Primary outcome
Plaque vulnerability
Time frame: Through study completion, an average of 3 years
To assess the correlation between the result of 3D US in identifying preoperatively the features of vulnerable plaque (plaque volume; presence of a lipidic core/intraplaque hemorrhage/plaque ulceration; fibrous cap thickness) and that of the histological analysis, in patients who will undergo CEA for a 70-99% carotid stenosis. To assess the correlation between the US-SE parameters to plaque vulnerability, as defined by the histological analysis.
Plaque vulnerability
Time frame: Through study completion, an average of 3 years
To assess the state of the autonomic function and cardiovascular control in patients undergoing CEA and check if there is a relation with the histological analysis of the carotid plaque after CEA.
Plaque vulnerability
Time frame: Through study completion, an average of 3 years
To develop software routines to process US B-mode and US-SE images; to determine the mechanical stress patterns on the vessel wall by the different types of carotid plaques through the FEA of preoperative CTA scans of the recruited patients, and their correlation with the plaque histology and 3D US images. relation with the histological analysis of the carotid plaque after CEA.
Results and safety
The study is completed, but results are not available in the source record. That does not mean the treatment did or did not work.
Research links
- Official record on ClinicalTrials.govLast updated by the sponsor 28 Dec 2023.
- Background: PubMed 26410046Kolos I, Troitskiy A, Balakhonova T, Shariya M, Skrypnik D, Tvorogova T, Deev A, Boytsov S; Aggressive Medical Treatment Evaluation for Asymptomatic Carotid Artery Stenosis (AMTEC) Study Group. Modern medical treatment with or without carotid endarterectomy for severe asymptomatic carotid atherosclerosis. J Vasc Surg. 2015 Oct;62(4):914-22. doi: 10.1016/j.jvs.2015.05.005.
- Background: PubMed 27256474Spence JD. Endarterectomy vs. stenting vs. medical therapy. Int J Stroke. 2016 Jul;11(5):500-1. doi: 10.1177/1747493016643552. Epub 2016 Apr 11.
- Background: PubMed 23988640Gupta A, Baradaran H, Schweitzer AD, Kamel H, Pandya A, Delgado D, Dunning A, Mushlin AI, Sanelli PC. Carotid plaque MRI and stroke risk: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Stroke. 2013 Nov;44(11):3071-7. doi: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.113.002551. Epub 2013 Aug 29.
- Background: PubMed 26298222Huibers A, de Borst GJ, Wan S, Kennedy F, Giannopoulos A, Moll FL, Richards T. Non-invasive Carotid Artery Imaging to Identify the Vulnerable Plaque: Current Status and Future Goals. Eur J Vasc Endovasc Surg. 2015 Nov;50(5):563-72. doi: 10.1016/j.ejvs.2015.06.113. Epub 2015 Aug 19.
- Background: PubMed 25499716AlMuhanna K, Hossain MM, Zhao L, Fischell J, Kowalewski G, Dux M, Sikdar S, Lal BK. Carotid plaque morphometric assessment with three-dimensional ultrasound imaging. J Vasc Surg. 2015 Mar;61(3):690-7. doi: 10.1016/j.jvs.2014.10.003. Epub 2014 Dec 9.
- Background: PubMed 27896334Mahmood B, Ewertsen C, Carlsen J, Nielsen MB. Ultrasound Vascular Elastography as a Tool for Assessing Atherosclerotic Plaques - A Systematic Literature Review. Ultrasound Int Open. 2016 Nov;2(4):E106-E112. doi: 10.1055/s-0042-115564. Epub 2016 Oct 13.
- Background: PubMed 21458208Tsekouras NS, Katsargyris A, Skrapari I, Bastounis EE, Georgopoulos S, Klonaris C, Bakoyiannis C, Bastounis EA. The role of carotid plaque echogenicity in baroreflex sensitivity. J Vasc Surg. 2011 Jul;54(1):93-9. doi: 10.1016/j.jvs.2010.11.121. Epub 2011 Mar 31.
- Background: PubMed 21889701Ricotta JJ, Aburahma A, Ascher E, Eskandari M, Faries P, Lal BK; Society for Vascular Surgery. Updated Society for Vascular Surgery guidelines for management of extracranial carotid disease. J Vasc Surg. 2011 Sep;54(3):e1-31. doi: 10.1016/j.jvs.2011.07.031.
- Background: PubMed 8598068Heart rate variability: standards of measurement, physiological interpretation and clinical use. Task Force of the European Society of Cardiology and the North American Society of Pacing and Electrophysiology. Circulation. 1996 Mar 1;93(5):1043-65. No abstract available.
- Background: PubMed 9118511Pagani M, Montano N, Porta A, Malliani A, Abboud FM, Birkett C, Somers VK. Relationship between spectral components of cardiovascular variabilities and direct measures of muscle sympathetic nerve activity in humans. Circulation. 1997 Mar 18;95(6):1441-8. doi: 10.1161/01.cir.95.6.1441.
- Background: PubMed 25034714van Engelen A, Wannarong T, Parraga G, Niessen WJ, Fenster A, Spence JD, de Bruijne M. Three-dimensional carotid ultrasound plaque texture predicts vascular events. Stroke. 2014 Sep;45(9):2695-701. doi: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.114.005752. Epub 2014 Jul 17.
- Background: PubMed 19939857Sadat U, Li ZY, Young VE, Graves MJ, Boyle JR, Warburton EA, Varty K, O'Brien E, Gillard JH. Finite element analysis of vulnerable atherosclerotic plaques: a comparison of mechanical stresses within carotid plaques of acute and recently symptomatic patients with carotid artery disease. J Neurol Neurosurg Psychiatry. 2010 Mar;81(3):286-9. doi: 10.1136/jnnp.2009.190363. Epub 2009 Nov 25.
- Individual participant dataSharing planned: Undecided
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Referral and contact
AzTrials does not enrol participants or take referrals. Contact the study team or a site listed below; they decide who can take part. This study is not recruiting at the moment.
The record lists no contact. Use the official record to reach the sponsor.
1 site in 1 country: see every site and its status.
Questions about this trial
What is this clinical trial studying?
An observational study of Carotid Artery Plaque and Diagnosis, run by IRCCS Policlinico S. Donato at 1 site in Italy.
The full registered description is in the About this study section and the official record.
Who may be eligible to take part?
The sponsor lists 2 inclusion and 8 exclusion criteria. Eligibility is decided by the study team after screening, so read the full criteria and contact a listed site.
Is this clinical trial currently recruiting?
The record says: finished, as of the sponsor's last update on 28 Dec 2023. Status can change between updates, so confirm with the study contact before making plans.
Where is the study taking place?
The record lists 1 site in Italy. Whether a site is taking part right now should be confirmed with that site. See every site.
What are the possible benefits and risks?
They depend on the study and the treatment, and no study can promise a benefit. The study team explains the known risks during informed consent, before anyone joins; the record itself does not list them.
Are results available for this study?
The study is completed, but results are not available in the source record. That does not mean the treatment did or did not work.
How can a doctor refer a patient or contact the research team?
The record lists no contact. The official record names the sponsor, who can be asked directly. AzTrials does not enrol participants or take referrals.
What does the primary outcome measure?
Plaque vulnerability (time frame: Through study completion, an average of 3 years). The study lists 3 primary outcomes in all. It is what the study was designed to measure, not a finding.
Where can I read the original study information?
On the ClinicalTrials.gov record for NCT05566080, which also lists 13 linked publications.
Does a listing mean the treatment is approved or proven to work?
No. A listing means the study is registered. It does not show that the treatment is safe, works, or is approved by a regulator.
How often is this information updated?
AzTrials copies changed records from ClinicalTrials.gov every night and reloads the whole registry every week. The sponsor last updated this record on 28 Dec 2023.