Pancreatic Fibrosis as a Prognostic Factor

Hypothesis The degree of fibrotic changes according to the histological examination can be comparable to the degree of fibrosis of the pancreas identified by non-invasive radiology and laboratory diagnostic methods.

Aim To identify the relationship between the degree of fibrosis in the pancreas assessed by the histological examination and a complex of non-invasive radiology and laboratory diagnostic procedures.

Materials and methods Study design Prospective single-center observational study Inclusion Criteria

• age 18-99 years
• pre-planned pancreatic resection
• consent of the patient to participate in the study Exclusion Criteria
• inability to sign informed voluntary consent at the time of an inclusion to the study
• the impossibility of obtaining clinical data, data of instrumental, laboratory studies, and histological examination of the material obtained during surgical treatment.

Variables

The following parameters will be registered in the case report form (CRF) of the patient:

• demographic (sex, date of birth, age at the time of diagnosis)
• anthropometric (height, body weight, body mass index, waist circumference, hips circumference, weight loss during last 1 and 6 months)
• past medical history:
• comorbidities
• history of cholangitis
• history of bile duct drainage
• type of drainage
• type for planned surgery
• in CP:
• history of CP in years
• history of smoking and alcohol consumption
• Buchler classification for calcifying pancreatitis [10]
• M-ANNHEIM classification [11]
• reversible and irreversible complications according to M-ANNHEIM classification
• functional activity of the pancreas:
• PEI, pancreatic enzyme replacement therapy (start date, dose per day)
• type 3 diabetes mellitus (date of diagnosis, treatment received)
• bowel preparation before surgery
• characteristics of the underlying disease according to radiology examination
• thickness of the head, body, tail of the pancreas
• main pancreatic duct (MPD) width
• calcifications in the MPD and lateral branches
• assessment of the pancreas according to the Cambridge classification [12]
• thickness of the medial wall of the duodenum
• localization of the mass
• the largest size of the mass
• diameter of the common bile duct
• the largest size of regional lymph nodes
• involvement of arteries and veins
• ROI density without contrast, HU
• ROI density in the pancreatic phase, HU
• ROI density in the portal phase, HU
• AORTA density without contrast, HU
• AORTA density in the pancreatic phase, HU
• AORTA density in the portal phase, HU
• normalized contrast ratio of the tumor in the pancreatic phase
• normalized contrast ratio of the tumor in the portal phase
• contrast ratio, L/E
• gradient median
• laboratory:
• complete blood count (WBC, LYM, NEU, RBC, Hb, Hct, PLT)
• biochemical blood test (total protein, albumin, bilirubin, bilirubin fractions, cholesterol, iron, amylase, lipase, C-reactive protein, blood glucose, HbA1c)
• C-peptide,
• metalloproteinases (MMP) - MMP-1 and MMP-9
• hyaluronic acid,
• transforming growth factor β-1,
• fibronectin
• interleukin-10, interleukin-36
• elastase feces-1
• tumor markers: cancer embryonic antigen, CA 19-9
• bacteriological examination of bile with bacteriology analysis
• bacteriological examination of feces with bacteriology analysis
• scales
• for proximal resections:
• Fistula Risk Score [13]
• Updated Alternative Fistula Risk Score; ua-FRS [14]
• Pancreatic fistula prediction scale according to CT data [15]
• for distal resections: --- Preoperative distal fistula risk score (D-FRS) [16]
• intraoperative risk scale for the development of distal pancreatic fistula (D-FRS) [16]
• ECOG [17]
• ASA [18]
• surgery data
• surgery and intraoperative parameters:
• date of operation
• kind of operation
• operation time
• an instrument that has intersected the pancreas
• subjective assessment of pancreatic density by the surgeon
• Soft/dense
• Density from 1-5
• the width of the pancreas along the line of intersection
• MPD width along the intersection line
• number of drainages
• type of drainages
• during the formation of pancreatoenteroanastomosis:
• reconstruction type
• single or double layer anastomosis
• invagination anastomosis - yes/no
• U-shaped suture - yes / no
• implanting the pancreatic duct into the jejunum - yes / no
• for distal resection:
• stump cover - yes/no
• cover material
• postoperative complications
• pancreatic fistula
• type of pancreatic fistula according to the ISGPS classification [19]
• bleeding
• source of bleeding
• intra-abdominal/intraluminal
• ISGPS classification of bleeding [19]
• severity of complications according to the Clavien-Dindo scale [20]
• acute fluid collections according to the ISGPS classification
• use of octreotide postoperatively
• repeated interventions --- intervention type
• data of bacteriological examination of the drainages discharge
• number of days in the hospital
• readmission to hospital
• mortality
• morphological parameters
• findings accurately mapped on the surgical material acquired during macroscopic examination
• findings accurately mapped on the surgical material acquired during microscopic examination;
• the severity of fibrotic changes according to the results of a complete assessment of intra- and perilobular fibrosis;
• characteristics of fibrotic changes depending on the disease of the pancreas (cancer, pancreatitis, cystic lesions, etc.)
• degree of perilobular/intralobular fibrosis in points with its summation
• main pancreatic duct diameter
• protein plug obstruction of ducts lumen
• duct metaplasia
• inflammation
• nerve columns

Study design After signing the informed consent, past medical history data, blood, and stool tests will be collected. Multi-slice computed tomography (CT) with intravenous bolus injection of a contrast agent should be performed on an Aquilion CXL 128, 128-row CT scanner with a reconstruction algorithm with a slice thickness of 1 mm and a reconstruction step of 1 mm using non-ionic radiopaque agents with an iodine content of 370 mg/ml or 350 mg/ml. Radiopaque agents will be administered at a rate of 3.5 ml/sec, in a volume of up to 100 ml, depending on the patient's body weight. The CT examination will be carried out as standard; it is a multiphase protocol that includes non-contrast study, arterial, late arterial or pancreatic, venous, and delayed phases, with standard time distribution.

Non-invasive diagnosis of pancreatic fibrosis will be performed by assessing the contrast ratio based on sequential densitometry of the head, body and tail of the pancreas and blood in the aorta at the level of the pancreas. X-ray density measurements will be carried out in the native, late arterial, and venous phases.

X-ray density will be measured in Hounsfield units in a limited area of 0.2-0.8 cm2. The results for individual areas of the pancreas in each patient with this technique will be summarized as means and medians. The measurements will be taken by an abdominal CT radiologist with more than 5 years of experience.

In addition, a non-invasive assessment of the microvasculature based on the calculation of the median of the contrast gradient is planned to apply for patients with a need for differential diagnosis. Calculations will also be carried out based on the results of CT.

For accurate mapping of findings in the pancreas, dissection of the samples will be carried out with mandatory photo fixation. The dissection of the organ complex will be conducted according to the technique described by O.V. Paklina and G.R. Setdikova depending on the neoplastic process location. [21]

For the study, several sections of the pancreas will be studied:

1. Areas with macroscopically preserved architectonics/lobularity of the gland;
2. Areas with partial erasure of the pancreas pattern;
3. Areas with macroscopically visible fibrotic changes.

All samples will be taken into different cassettes with precise labeling and fixation on a macro photo. The material will be fixed in a 10% buffered formalin solution, then carried out according to the standard method. Serial 3 µm thick paraffin sections will be stained with hematoxylin and eosin.

The degree of fibrotic changes will be assessed in points separately for intra- and perilobular fibrosis. Changes in the ductal system, the presence of inflammatory elements, and their severity (scattered, nodular, etc.), changes in the vascular bed and nerve trunks will also be evaluated.

Statistical data analysis Evaluation of quantitative parameters for compliance with the normal distribution will be performed using the Shapiro-Wilk test.

For describing quantitative parameters that have a normal distribution, the obtained data are combined into variational series in which the calculation of arithmetic means (M) and standard deviations (SD), borders of the 95% confidence interval (95% CI) will be carried out.

Sets of quantitative indicators, the distribution of which differs from the normal, will be described using the values of the median (Me) and the lower and upper quartiles (Q1-Q3). Nominal parameters will be described with absolute values and percentages.

When comparing means in normally distributed populations of quantitative data, Student's t-test will be calculated. The acquired Student's t-test values will be evaluated by comparison with critical values. Differences in parameters will be considered statistically significant at a significance level of p<0.05.

To compare independent populations in cases with no signs of a normal distribution, the Mann-Whitney U-test will be used.

Comparison of nominal data is carried out using Pearson's χ2 test, which allows assessing the significance of differences between the actual number of outcomes or qualitative characteristics of the sample falling into each category and the theoretical number that can be expected in the studied groups if the null hypothesis is true.

The Wilcoxon W-test will be used to analyze differences between two compared paired samples. In this case, the value of the parameter change will be calculated for each patient.

In order to study the relationship between phenomena represented by quantitative data, the distribution of which differed from normal, a non-parametric Spearman rank correlation coefficient method will be used.

As a quantitative measure of the effect when comparing relative indicators, the odds ratio (OR) will be used, defined as the ratio of the probability of an event occurring in a group exposed to a risk factor to the probability of an event occurring in a control group. The odds ratio is calculated based on the resulting contingency tables.