Hypotension Predictive Index Effect on Intraoperative Hypotension During Pancreatic Surgery.

Intraoperative hypotension (IOH) is a relatively common event during surgery, occurring suddenly and often without any warning sign. Predicting IOH would help clinicians to set up a rapid response, reducing the number of hypotensive events and overall time of hypotension.

Historically the management of IOH has been reactive, despite the introduction of advanced arterial waveform analysis systems providing a number of cardiovascular parameters (arterial pressure, cardiac output, dynamic indices) which allow advanced intraoperative hemodynamic monitoring (FloTrac™, Edwards Lifesciences Corp., Irvine, USA). This changed when continuous blood pressure wave static and dynamic features extraction combined with Machine-Learning approach proved informative in identifying specific signatures associated with impending exhaustion of compensatory mechanisms. By fitting these features in a mathematical model it became available an easy-to-interpret Hypotension Predictive Index (Acumen™ HPI - Edwards Lifesciences, Irvine, CA), which can predict IOH up to 15 minutes prior to the clinical event. The HPI is expressed in a range from 0 to 100, the higher the number, the higher the probability and the shorter the time of occurrence of the hypotensive event. Therefore, combining arterial waveform analysis and HPI may provide timely prediction and goal-directed treatment plans based on the specific mechanism underlying IOH, such as relative hypovolemia, temporary vasoplegia or decreased inotropism.

Several studies have shown that IOH has a great impact on postoperative outcomes and tight control of blood pressure may be important especially in patients undergoing major surgery. These patients are often frail and bear greater risks of developing organ dysfunction, mainly renal insufficiency and myocardial injury. Futier et al. reported a 25% risk reduction of postoperative organ dysfunction when IOH is properly treated during surgery. Further, prospective studies showed that the use of HPI both decreased the total time of hypotension in non-cardiac surgery and reduced post-operative complications and hospital length-of-stay.

These studies addressed application of HPI in mixed cohorts of the population (orthopedic surgery, neurosurgery, general and vascular surgery, ENT surgery), but the duration and type of surgery are certainly two major factors affecting the occurrence and the severity of IOH. Among non-cardiac operations, major pancreatic surgery is generally complex and long-lasting. In our center roughly 180 patients undergo major pancreatic surgery every year and in our experience these patients are often debilitated and have reduced physiological reserve at the time of surgery. In addition, post-operative complications including bleeding, sepsis, bilio-digestive fistulas, acute kidney injury are common in this setting. For these reasons, the investigators believe that patients undergoing major pancreatic surgery represent an excellent model to evaluate the efficacy of HPI compared to the FloTrac™ alone as they can benefit from advanced hemodynamic monitoring and IOH prediction tools.

The aim of this study is to assess whether patients undergoing pancreatic surgery benefit from early prediction and goal-directed treatment of IOH using the HPI software compared to a goal-directed hemodynamic approach using the FloTrac™ monitoring system. The investigators plan to study the occurrence of IOH with and without the use of HPI in comparison with a FloTrac™ monitoring system. Furthermore, the study aims to evaluate if HPI software inclusion in an intraoperative hemodynamic management protocol leads to improved intraoperative cardiovascular stability and better clinical outcomes. Finally, the investigators want to explore whether the improved clinical experience using HPI predictive model correlates with the degree of IOH by analyzing data from patients managed only with this technology over time.

STUDY DESIGN AND POPULATION

This is a retrospective observational before-and-after study planned to analyze data from about 60 elective patients undergoing major open pancreatic surgery. Only patients that already signed an informed consent including perioperative data utilization for previous ongoing clinical studies will be considered for the analysis.

Continuous blood pressure waveform after the insertion of an arterial line (radial artery was the preferred choice) was monitored in all patients after anesthesia induction. Until March 2022 patients were monitored using the FloTracTM waveform analysis alone, while from April 2022 to present, patients' hemodynamics were managed using the HPI software. The investigators will compare two cohorts (Flotrac group vs. HPI group) to evaluate the impact of the latter technology on IOH. Mean arterial pressure will be defined as the main variable describing the perfusion pressure, while the cardiac index will be considered as an index of oxygen delivery (assuming hemoglobin and pulmonary gas-exchange in normal ranges).

PRIMARY OUTCOME

The primary outcome will be a significant difference in the time-weighted average (TWA) of MAP < 65mmHg between the two groups. TWA calculation will be made according to the following formula: TWA = (depth of hypotension (mmHg) below a MAP of 65 mmHg × time in minutes spent below a MAP of 65 mmHg) / (total duration of surgery expressed in minutes).

SAMPLE SIZE CALCULATION \& STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

In line with the published literature, the investigators hypothesized that the HPI software-based strategy could reduce the mean TWA-MAP < 65mmHg by approximately 50%. For sample size calculation, the investigators considered 1 mmHg as the reference value of TWA-MAP < 65mmHg for patients managed with the FlotracTM system (unpublished raw data extrapolated from a cohort of 10 patients). To detect a significant difference in TWA-MAP <65 mmHg between the HPI and the Flotrac group of 0.5 mmHg with a standard deviation of 0.4 mmHg, the study requires a sample size of 14 cases for each group to achieve a 90% power and 5% significance level (two-tailed). The sample size calculation was performed with Statulator statistical calculator. Due to the observational nature of the study, the protocol plans to enroll more patients if available.

Descriptive statistics of baseline demographic and clinical data will be carried out as follows: continuous variables will be expressed as mean ± SD or median and IQR depending on the respective normality of distribution. Categorical variables will be expressed as absolute value and percentage.

Statistical differences in primary and secondary outcomes will be analyzed using unpaired Student's t-test or Mann-Whitney test, depending on the respective normality of distribution. Chi-square or Fisher exact tests will be used for the comparison of discrete variables. A multivariate analysis will be conducted utilizing regression models. The P critical value will be set at 0.05. Statistical analysis will be performed with Stata and SPSS softwares. Graphs will be drawn with Prism Graphpad software.