Diagnosing Asthma With Clinically Accessible, Non-invasive, and Efficient Tests: a Child-inclusive Translational Investigation

Background Asthma is a common inflammatory airway disease affecting 11% of Canadians. However, its diagnosis remains a significant challenge Spirometry is the first-line diagnostic test, aimed at detecting reversible bronchial obstruction. However, this test yields false-negative results in 40% of cases. The gold standard for diagnosis is the bronchial provocation test; in fact, 80% of patients with a positive provocation test had a normal spirometry result. However, this test requires a lengthy procedure and must be conducted in a hospital setting, making access difficult. Consequently, this leads to both over- and underdiagnosis.

Thus, it is necessary to explore other effective diagnostic methods. Fractional exhaled nitric oxide (FeNO) and blood eosinophil count (BEC) are biomarkers of type 2 inflammation in asthma. Elevated levels are associated with a worse prognosis but also predict a better response to inhaled corticosteroids. These biomarkers have demonstrated diagnostic utility in specialized contexts. However they remain rarely used and lack validation in primary care in Canada, especially in children under 12.

Hypothesis Measuring blood eosinophils and FeNO is a practical and precise diagnostic strategy for children with suspected asthma in primary care when spirometry results are inconclusive.

Objectives This prospective observational study aims to estimate and validate the diagnostic performance of type 2 inflammatory biomarkers, FeNO and/or BEC, in children aged 6 to <18 years referred by primary care providers for suspected asthma with inconclusive pre- and post-bronchodilator spirometry. Additionally, an exploratory analysis will assess inflammatory proteins (alarmins, type 2 cytokines, and chemokines) in serum and nasal epithelial fluid. These objectives will contribute to improving our knowledge of the mechanistic and operational value of type 2 inflammatory biomarkers in an under-studied population.

Methods In parallel with the DIVE study (NCT05992519; Nagano #2023-4791), the investigators propose extending the research to pediatric populations through this twin study (DIVE2), which involves 123 participants aged 6 to <18 years with non-diagnostic pre- and post-bronchodilator spirometry, referred from primary care for bronchial provocation testing. Before this test, participants will have their FeNO measured, undergo a blood test (for BEC, allergy testing, and inflammatory proteins), and nasosorption will be performed. The target sample size of 123 is powered at 90% to calculate the area under the curve (AUC) for three receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, with an AUC ≥ 0.7, which is significantly different from the null hypothesis (AUC = 0.5), using a conservatively corrected two-sided α error of < 0.016, assuming a positive/negative case ratio of 2.

These ROC curves will be developed based on the gold standard, bronchial provocation with methacholine (dose causing a 20% drop in FEV1 (DP20) <400 mcg. In line with our institutional procedures, the investigators will not apply the European DP20 threshold of ≤200 mcg but will analyze the impact of other thresholds.

Outcomes :

The primary analysis will assess the diagnostic performance of these biomarkers by calculating the ROC and AUC for FeNO, EOS, and their combination.

The exploratory outcomes are:

• Evaluation of the effectiveness of biomarkers as a diagnostic tool based on diagnostic delay and costs compared to methacholine challenges
• Analysis of biomarker levels in asthmatic patients at the time of diagnosis according to the ORACLE model, for stratification (https://www.oraclescore.com/fr)
• Univariate and multivariate modelling between eosinophils, FeNO, and inflammatory proteins in serum and nasal epithelial fluid (alarmins Thymic stromal lymphopoetin (TSLP) and IL-33; type-2 cytokines IL-4, -5, -13; chemokines eotaxin-3 and thymus activating regulatory cytokine (TARC), prostaglandine-D2 (PGD2), leukotriene-E4 (LTE4), interféron-gamma, tumour necrosis factor alpha (TNF-α))
• Evaluation of participants' and referring physicians' perception of biomarker measurement in relation to asthma diagnosis.
• Longitudinal follow-up of participants to assess medication, symptoms, quality of life, and exacerbations.
• The environmental impact of diagnostic delays due to unnecessary inhaler prescriptions and usage.

Feasibility The University Hospital Centre of Sherbrooke (CHUS), University Hospital Centre of Sainte Justine (CHUSJ), and Montreal Children's Hospital have a waiting list of over 1,300 methacholine challenge tests requested by primary care providers for pediatric patients.

Expected Results: the investigators expect to show type 2 biomarkers such as FeNO and BEC are a practical and effective alternative for diagnosing asthma in primary care particularly when access to standard tests is limited. The investigators expect to strengthen the mechanistic understanding of type 2 inflammatory asthma.

Impact: The investigators aim to provide scientific evidence that biomarkers such as FeNO and blood eosinophils can enhance and accelerate the diagnostic process for children aged 6 to <18 years. Due to their mechanistic, prognostic, and theranostic value, early detection of these biomarkers will allow for the timely initiation of appropriate treatment, ultimately improving asthma management, particularly in the pediatric population. This approach is expected to positively impact the reduction of overdiagnosis and underdiagnosis, benefiting prognosis, quality of life, and offering economic and ecological advantages.