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Esophageal Squamous Cell CarcinomapCR-ESCCNCT07181850

Predicting Pathological Complete Response in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Using a Multimodal Model Integrating Clinical, Radiomics, and Deep Learning Features

An observational study of Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma and Pathological Complete Response, run by Nanjing Medical University at 1 site in China.

Completed

Finished. The study has ended and is not enrolling. Results may be posted on the official record.

Official record
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Trial summary

This multicenter, retrospective cohort study reviews the medical records and CT scans of adults with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) who received neoadjuvant immunotherapy plus chemotherapy before surgery at three hospitals in China. Read more about this study

Who is it for?
Ages 18 years and older
What is being tested?
Standard-of-Care Neoadjuvant Immunochemotherapy (nIT+nCT)
How many people
363 participants
Where
1 siteChina
Study dates
1 Jan 2019to 31 Jul 2025
Phase
Observational
Are there results?
None posted in the registry

Key requirements

Who can take part, as listed by the sponsor. Only the study team can confirm whether you are eligible, so take this list to your doctor.

  • Ages 18 years and older
  • All sexes
  • No healthy volunteers
  • Adult, Older adult

Study population: Adults with biopsy-confirmed ESCC treated at three participating centers in China. Patients received standard neoadjuvant chemo-immunotherapy (e.g., camrelizumab with paclitaxel and cisplatin or carboplatin), had pre-treatment venous-phase chest CT within 14 days, and underwent R0 resection 6-8 weeks post-therapy. pCR status was determined from surgical pathology. Sites include: The Affiliated Huai'an No. 1 People's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University; Nanjing Medical University Affiliated Cancer Hospital \& Jiangsu Cancer Hospital \& Jiangsu Institute of Cancer Research; and Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital.

Who may be able to join

  • Biopsy-confirmed esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Locally advanced disease per AJCC 8th ed. (cT1N1-T3N0-3M0) on contrast-enhanced CT.
  • Completed standardized neoadjuvant chemo-immunotherapy (e.g., paclitaxel + cisplatin/carboplatin with camrelizumab every 2-3 weeks) prior to surgery.
  • High-quality venous-phase chest CT (slice thickness ≤5 mm) obtained within 14 days before therapy start.
  • Underwent R0 resection 6-8 weeks after therapy. Availability of a definitive postoperative pathology report to ascertain pCR status.

Who cannot join

  • Non-squamous histology; distant metastasis (M1); synchronous malignancies. Inadequate imaging quality (no venous phase, slice thickness >5 mm, severe artifacts, or incomplete tumor visualization).
  • Did not complete the full treatment course or had missing endpoints (e.g., no pathological response record or lost to follow-up).

Trial locations and contacts

1 site in 1 country.

China1 site
  • The Affiliated Huai'an No. 1 People's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University

    Huai'an, Jiangsu, 223000

Other trials in China

About this study

Official title: Integration of Clinical, Radiomics, and 2.5D Deep Learning-Based Multiple Instance Learning Features for Predicting Pathological Complete Response in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Following Neoadjuvant Immunotherapy and Chemotherapy: A Multicenter Comparative Study

This multicenter, retrospective cohort study reviews the medical records and CT scans of adults with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) who received neoadjuvant immunotherapy plus chemotherapy before surgery at three hospitals in China. The goal is to develop and validate a computer-assisted model that predicts which patients achieve a pathological complete response (pCR)-meaning no residual tumor is found at surgery-after preoperative treatment. Accurate pCR prediction may help clinicians personalize care and avoid unnecessary treatments in likely non-responders.

The study includes 363 patients. For each patient, routinely collected clinical information and preoperative venous-phase chest CT images were analyzed. From CT images, both radiomics features and features learned by a "2.5D" deep learning approach with multiple-instance learning (MIL) were extracted. These were combined with clinical variables to create a multimodal prediction model. Model performance will be evaluated using standard metrics and validated in internal and external cohorts.

Read more

Patients typically received two cycles of taxane-platinum chemotherapy (paclitaxel with cisplatin or carboplatin) combined with camrelizumab every 2-3 weeks before surgery; CT scans were performed within 14 days prior to starting therapy. Surgery (R0 resection) was performed 6-8 weeks after treatment, and pCR was determined by the postoperative pathology report.

This is an observational study; no treatments are assigned by protocol. The study was approved by the Ethics Committee of Nanjing Medical University, with informed consent waived due to the retrospective design.

Read the detailed description

Design and Setting. Multicenter, retrospective cohort study conducted at three affiliated hospitals in China. A total of 363 consecutive ESCC patients met eligibility criteria and were split into a training cohort (n=107), internal validation cohort (n=45), and two external test cohorts (n=129 and n=82).

Population. Inclusion criteria: biopsy-confirmed ESCC; locally advanced disease by AJCC 8th edition (cT1N1-T3N0-3M0) on contrast-enhanced CT; completion of standardized neoadjuvant chemo-immunotherapy; availability of high-quality venous-phase chest CT (slice thickness ≤5 mm) within 14 days before therapy; R0 resection 6-8 weeks post-treatment; and a definitive postoperative pathology report documenting pCR. Key exclusions: non-squamous histology, distant metastasis, synchronous malignancies, poor/no venous-phase imaging, slice thickness >5 mm, severe artifacts, incomplete tumor visualization, incomplete treatment, or missing endpoints.

Neoadjuvant Regimen and Imaging. Patients generally received two cycles of taxane-platinum chemotherapy (paclitaxel plus cisplatin or carboplatin) combined with camrelizumab every 2-3 weeks prior to surgery. CT imaging was standardized to venous-phase contrast with 1-5 mm slices; scans without venous phase or >5 mm thickness were excluded. Tumor volumes were delineated by two radiologists; disagreements were adjudicated by a senior radiologist, and features were harmonized via resampling and intensity normalization.

Feature Extraction and Modeling. The pipeline integrated: (1) clinical variables; (2) conventional CT radiomics features (shape, first-order, GLCM, GLRLM, GLSZM, etc.); and (3) 2.5D deep learning slice embeddings aggregated to the patient level using multiple-instance learning (MIL). The 2.5D approach uses adjacent slices in axial/sagittal/coronal planes with ResNet backbones; attention-based MIL plus histogram/BoW-TF-IDF descriptors summarized slice-level predictions. Feature selection used univariate filters, correlation screening, mRMR, and LASSO before training classifiers (logistic regression, SVM, Random Forest, Extra-Trees, LightGBM).

Outcomes and Analysis.

Primary outcome: pCR at surgery (yes/no).

Secondary outcomes: model performance (AUC, sensitivity, specificity, PPV/NPV, calibration) and clinical utility by decision-curve analysis; disease-free survival by Kaplan-Meier analysis.

Ethics. Approved by the Ethics Committee of Nanjing Medical University; informed consent was waived given the retrospective design and use of de-identified data.

Being tested
Standard-of-Care Neoadjuvant Immunochemotherapy (nIT+nCT)
Keywords
Deep Learning, Multiple Instance Learning (MIL)
Medical subject headings
Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

What participants receive

What participants receive. In a randomised study each person is assigned to one group by chance.

  • Standard-of-Care Neoadjuvant Immunochemotherapy (nIT+nCT)Other

    Adults with biopsy-confirmed ESCC received standard neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy before surgery (e.g., camrelizumab with paclitaxel plus cisplatin or carboplatin, typically 2 cycles every 2-3 weeks). Treatments were routine clinical care at participating centers and were not assigned by study protocol; this record captures the exposure for observational modeling of pathological complete response (pCR). Surgery (R0) occurred ~6-8 weeks after therapy.

Study groups in NCT07181850
Study groupRoleWhat they receive
ESCC nIT+nCT Surgical Resection Cohort (Multicenter, China)Adults with biopsy-confirmed esophageal squamous cell carcinoma treated at three centers in China who received standardized neoadjuvant immunotherapy plus taxane-platinum chemotherapy (e.g., camrelizumab with paclitaxel and cisplatin or carboplatin) before surgery. Pre-treatment venous-phase chest CT (1-5 mm slices) within 14 days of therapy start was analyzed to extract radiomics and 2.5D deep-learning/MIL features. All patients underwent R0 resection 6-8 weeks post-therapy; pathological complete response (pCR) was determined on surgical specimens. This is an observational cohort used to build and externally validate a multimodal model predicting pCR; no biospecimens are retained and no treatments are assigned by protocol.
Receives: Other: Standard-of-Care Neoadjuvant Immunochemotherapy (nIT+nCT)

What is being measured

The primary outcome is the main question the study is designed to answer.

  1. Pathological Complete Response (pCR) at Surgery

    pCR is defined as no residual viable tumor in the resected specimen (esophagus and regional lymph nodes) after neoadjuvant immunotherapy plus chemotherapy. pCR status is determined from the postoperative surgical pathology report. This is an observational cohort; treatments were standard-of-care and not assigned by protocol. pCR is abstracted from medical records for all eligible patients.

    Measured: At time of surgery after neoadjuvant therapy (~6-8 weeks post-treatment).

Secondary outcomes (1)
  1. Diagnostic Performance of the Multimodal Model for Predicting pCR

    Discrimination and diagnostic accuracy of the combined clinical+radiomics+2.5D MIL model to predict pathological complete response (AUC with 95% CI, sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV). Thresholds selected in training (e.g., Youden's J) are applied unchanged to validation and external cohorts; performance is computed on patient-level predictions.

    Measured: From baseline CT (≤14 days before therapy start) to surgery (≈6-8 weeks post-therapy); analysis performed at study completion.

Timeline

From the start of the study to its completion; the mark is today. Estimated dates are the sponsor’s plan.

  1. First posted18 Sep 2025
  2. Study start1 Jan 2019
  3. Primary completion1 Dec 2024
  4. Study completion31 Jul 2025

Resources

More details

For doctors and researchers: how the study is designed, who runs it, and its registry IDs.

Study design
Study type
Observational
Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Retrospective
Enrolment
363 participants (actual)
IDs, dates and publications
ClinicalTrials.gov ID
NCT07181850
Sponsor's protocol ID
KY-2024-373-01
Other IDs
81903992
Acronym
pCR-ESCC
Status last verified
Sep 2025
First submitted
25 Aug 2025
Last updated
18 Sep 2025
Results posted
No
Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
Individual data sharing
No: IPD will not be shared because the study received ethics approval with a waiver of informed consent for retrospective use within participating centers, and broad external sharing was not contemplated. In addition, raw imaging data pose re-identification risks, and cross-institutional data-sharing agreements are not in place.

Publications

  • Fan L, Yang Z, Chang M, Chen Z, Wen Q. CT-based delta-radiomics nomogram to predict pathological complete response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients. J Transl Med. 2024 Jun 18;22(1):579. doi: 10.1186/s12967-024-05392-4.

    PubMed 38890720
  • Liu Y, Wang Y, Wang X, Xue L, Zhang H, Ma Z, Deng H, Yang Z, Sun X, Men Y, Ye F, Men K, Qin J, Bi N, Wang Q, Hui Z. MR radiomics predicts pathological complete response of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy: a multicenter study. Cancer Imaging. 2024 Jan 23;24(1):16. doi: 10.1186/s40644-024-00659-x.

    PubMed 38263134
  • Guo X, Chen C, Zhao J, Wang C, Mei X, Shen J, Lv H, Han Y, Wang Q, Lv J, Chen H, Yan X, Liu Z, Zhang Z, Zhong Q, Jiang Y, Xu L, Li X, Qian D, Ma D, Ye M, Wang C, Wang Z, Lin J, Tian Z, Leng X, Li Z. Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy vs Chemoimmunotherapy for Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma. JAMA Surg. 2025 May 1;160(5):565-574. doi: 10.1001/jamasurg.2025.0220.

    PubMed 40105813
  • Zheng Y, Liang G, Yuan D, Liu X, Ba Y, Qin Z, Shen S, Li Z, Sun H, Liu B, Gao Q, Li P, Wang Z, Liu S, Zhu J, Wang H, Ma H, Liu Z, Zhao F, Zhang J, Zhang H, Wu D, Qu J, Ma J, Zhang P, Ma W, Yan M, Yu Y, Li Q, Zhang J, Xing W. Perioperative toripalimab plus neoadjuvant chemotherapy might improve outcomes in resectable esophageal cancer: an interim analysis of a phase III randomized clinical trial. Cancer Commun (Lond). 2024 Oct;44(10):1214-1227. doi: 10.1002/cac2.12604. Epub 2024 Sep 2.

    PubMed 39221992

Questions about this trial

What is this clinical trial studying?

An observational study of Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma and Pathological Complete Response, run by Nanjing Medical University at 1 site in China.

The full registered description is in the About this study section and the official record.

Who may be eligible to take part?

The sponsor lists 4 inclusion and 2 exclusion criteria. Eligibility is decided by the study team after screening, so read the full criteria and contact a listed site.

Is this clinical trial currently recruiting?

The record says: finished, as of the sponsor's last update on 18 Sep 2025. Status can change between updates, so confirm with the study contact before making plans.

Where is the study taking place?

The record lists 1 site in China. Whether a site is taking part right now should be confirmed with that site. See every site.

What are the possible benefits and risks?

They depend on the study and the treatment, and no study can promise a benefit. The study team explains the known risks during informed consent, before anyone joins; the record itself does not list them.

Are results available for this study?

The study is completed, but results are not available in the source record. That does not mean the treatment did or did not work.

How can a doctor refer a patient or contact the research team?

The record lists no contact. The official record names the sponsor, who can be asked directly. AzTrials does not enrol participants or take referrals.

What does the primary outcome measure?

Pathological Complete Response (pCR) at Surgery (time frame: At time of surgery after neoadjuvant therapy (~6-8 weeks post-treatment).). It is what the study was designed to measure, not a finding.

Where can I read the original study information?

On the ClinicalTrials.gov record for NCT07181850, which also lists 4 linked publications.

Does a listing mean the treatment is approved or proven to work?

No. A listing means the study is registered. It does not show that the treatment is safe, works, or is approved by a regulator.

How often is this information updated?

AzTrials copies changed records from ClinicalTrials.gov every night and reloads the whole registry every week. The sponsor last updated this record on 18 Sep 2025.

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