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Colon CancerMARBLENCT07673393

Improving Prognostication in Colon Cancer

An observational study of Colon Cancer and Colon Adenocarcinoma, run by Universitaire Ziekenhuizen KU Leuven.

Not yet recruiting

Opening soon. The study is approved but enrolment has not started yet. Sites may already take enquiries.

Sites and contacts
Official record

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Trial summary

The goal of this study is to test better ways to predict if cancer will return after surgery in adults (18+) who have been diagnosed with stage II or III colon cancer. The main questions it aims to answer are: Can computer programs (Artificial Intelligence) and special blood tests give more accurate information about… Read more about this study

Who is it for?
Ages 18 years and older
Conditions the study is for
Colon Cancer, Colon Adenocarcinoma
What is being tested?
Blood draw for the laboratory assessment
How many people
400 participants
Where
No sites listed yet
Study dates
Sep 2026to Sep 2033
Phase
Observational

Key requirements

Who can take part, as listed by the sponsor. Only the study team can confirm whether you are eligible, so take this list to your doctor.

  • Ages 18 years and older
  • All sexes
  • No healthy volunteers
  • Adult, Older adult

Study population: The MARBLE study focuses on a target population of approximately 400 adult participants with pathologically confirmed Stage II or III colon cancer. To achieve this enrollment, the study plans to screen up to 500 patients who are receiving standard-of-care surgical treatment for suspected localized colon cancer.

Who may be able to join

  • Voluntary written informed consent of the participant or their legally authorized representative has been obtained prior to any screening procedures.
  • Male and female participants, at least 18 years of age at the time of signing the Informed Consent Form (ICF).
  • Newly diagnosed primary colon tumor clinically and/or histologically consistent with localized colon adenocarcinoma and planned for curative-intent surgical resection.
  • Clinical stage compatible with non-metastatic disease at time of screening and considered eligible for standard curative-intent management according to investigator assessment.
  • WHO (ECOG) performance status ≤ 3 at baseline.

Who cannot join

  • Participant has been diagnosed with metastatic disease (Stage IV)
  • Participant has been diagnosed with rectal cancer
  • Participant has been diagnosed with synchronous primary colon tumors (i.e., presence of two or more primary colon tumors detected simultaneously at diagnosis)
  • Participant has received prior systemic therapy (chemotherapy, targeted therapy, immunotherapy, or radiotherapy) for colon cancer
  • Participation in an interventional Study with an investigational medicinal product (IMP) or device within 30 days prior to inclusion.
  • Participant had prior history of colon cancer requiring systemic treatment or major colorectal oncologic surgery.
  • Any severe, uncontrolled, or life-threatening medical condition that, in the opinion of the investigator, could interfere with study participation, interpretation of study assessments, or pose excessive risk to the participant (e.g. severe cardiac, hepatic, renal, or uncontrolled infectious disease).

Trial locations and contacts

No sites are listed yet. Contact the study team or a site near you to ask about taking part.

Gertjan Rasschaert, Medical doctor contact

+32 16 34 37 91

gertjan.rasschaert@uzleuven.be

About this study

Official title: Improving Prognostication of Localised Colon Cancer by Combining Liquid Biopsy and Histology: a Multicentric, Prospective Study

The goal of this study is to test better ways to predict if cancer will return after surgery in adults (18+) who have been diagnosed with stage II or III colon cancer.

The main questions it aims to answer are:

Read more
  • Can computer programs (Artificial Intelligence) and special blood tests give more accurate information about the risk of cancer returning than the methods doctors use today?
  • Does combining these new tests help doctors better understand which patients really need chemotherapy and which do not?

Researchers will compare the new computer and blood tests to the standard hospital methods used now to see if the new way is more accurate in predicting the cancer's behavior

Participants will:

  • Sign a form saying they agree to take part in the study
  • Have their standard surgery to remove the tumor
  • Give a few extra teaspoons of blood during their regular, scheduled hospital visits
  • Allow researchers to scan and study a small piece of the tumor that was already removed during surgery
  • Continue with their normal hospital check-ups for up to five years so researchers can track their health
Read the detailed description

The MARBLE study is a prospective, multicentric, single-arm exploratory trial designed to integrate novel tissue- and blood-based prognostic modalities to improve risk stratification for patients with Stage II and III colon cancer. The study evaluates three primary prognostic modalities:

  • Pathological Tumor-Node-Metastasis (pTNM) staging
  • Machine Learning (ML) Histopathology: A validated graph neural network model analyzes digitized hematoxylin and eosin (H\&E) stained slides to generate survival predictions and predict regional gene expression independent of pTNM stage
  • Multi-modal ctDNA Assay: An in-house circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) assay that moves beyond mutation detection by profiling epigenomic markers and genome-wide fragmentomic patterns in cell-free DNA (cfDNA) to enhance sensitivity for minimal residual disease (MRD).

Study Design and Workflow Participants are stratified post-surgery into four treatment-related groups (A-D) that reflect real-world standard-of-care (SoC) pathways rather than randomized arms:

  • Group A: Low-risk Stage II (no adjuvant chemotherapy).
  • Group B/C: Intermediate to high-risk Stage II/III (3-6 months of adjuvant chemotherapy).
  • Group D: High-risk Stage III (6 months of chemotherapy), featuring intensified longitudinal sampling every 6 months for 36 months post-treatment to capture MRD dynamics.

Statistical Approach The primary analysis involves comparing mono-modal and multi-modal risk models to evaluate their prognostic performance for Time to Recurrence (TTR).

Technical evaluation will utilize Cox proportional hazards models, assessing discrimination via ΔC-index, model fit through likelihood ratio testing, and clinical utility using Net Reclassification Improvement (NRI). The study also quantifies the lead time between molecular (ctDNA) and radiological recurrence.

Being tested
Blood draw for the laboratory assessment
Medical subject headings
Colonic Neoplasms

What participants receive

What participants receive. In a randomised study each person is assigned to one group by chance.

  • Blood draw for the laboratory assessmentOther

    Study-specific blood samples for ctDNA analysis are collected between three and eleven times per participant, performed exclusively during routine standard-of-care venipunctures to ensure minimal risk and burden.

What is being measured

The primary outcome is the main question the study is designed to answer.

  1. Time to Recurrence (TTR)

    The primary outcome measure for the MARBLE study is Time to Recurrence (TTR). This variable is defined as the time interval from the date of curative-intent surgery to the date of the first documented colon cancer recurrence, whether local or distant.

    Measured: Up to 5 years (the maximum follow-up period for recurrence and survival from the date of surgery or end of adjuvant chemotherapy)

Timeline

From the start of the study to its completion; the mark is today. Estimated dates are the sponsor’s plan.

  1. First posted29 Jun 2026
  2. Study startSep 2026 (estimated)
  3. Primary completionSep 2033 (estimated)
  4. Study completionSep 2033 (estimated)

Resources

More details

For doctors and researchers: how the study is designed, who runs it, and its registry IDs.

Study design
Study type
Observational
Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrolment
400 participants (estimated)
IDs, dates and publications
ClinicalTrials.gov ID
NCT07673393
Sponsor's protocol ID
S72061
Acronym
MARBLE
Status last verified
Jun 2026
First submitted
22 Jun 2026
Last updated
29 Jun 2026
Results posted
No
Data monitoring committee
No
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
Individual data sharing
No: There are currently no plans to share de-identified individual participant data with the general public. This is to ensure the strict protection of participant confidentiality and the security of personal health information as required by the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) and Belgian law

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