PolytraumaNCT06323096
Development of Clinical Decision Support System for Severe Patients With Polytrauma
An observational study of Polytrauma, run by Semey State Medical University at 1 site in Kazakhstan.
Trial summary
The goal of this observational study is to develop a Clinical Decision Support System for severe patients with polytrauma. The main questions it aims to answer are: Is it possible to predict the development of systemic inflammatory response syndrome for the next 24 h after admission? Is it possible to predict the… Read more about this study
- Who is it for?
- Ages 28 years and older
- Conditions the study is for
- Polytrauma
- How many people
- 500 participants
- Where
- 1 siteKazakhstan
- Study dates
- 1 Dec 2020to 31 Dec 2024
- Phase
- Observational
- Are there results?
- None posted in the registry
Key requirements
Who can take part, as listed by the sponsor. Only the study team can confirm whether you are eligible, so take this list to your doctor.
- Ages 28 years and older
- All sexes
- No healthy volunteers
- Adult, Older adult
Study population: According to the World Health Organization (WHO forecast, by 2030 trauma is one of the five leading causes of death. In the Republic of Kazakhstan, road traffic injuries rank 7th among all causes of death (14.7 [the 10-year average is 16.9] per 100,000 population per year). Considering geographical and epidemiological factors, we chose two regional medical centers and the National Scientific Center of Traumatology and Orthopedics in the Republic of Kazakhstan, providing emergency medical care to patients with polytrauma (the serviced population is 610,000, 1,135,000, and 1,400,000 people, respectively).
Who may be able to join
- Availability of informed consent, signed by the patient or his legal representative;
- Patients over 18 years of age;
- Expanded criteria of the new Berlin definition of polytrauma: patients who comply with three conditions:
- Presence of damage to one area of the body with an AIS score ≥3 points.
- Presence of damage to ≥2 areas of the body with an AIS score of ≥2.
- Presence of ≥1 physiological risk factors and/or primary hospitalization in the ICU.
- Completeness of the medical record in terms of laboratory and instrumental studies and protocol of therapeutic and surgical treatment.
Who cannot join
- Refusal to participate in the study at any stage.
- Death within one hour after hospitalization.
- Missing data.
- Patients who seek primary care 24 hours after injury.
- Patients requiring transfer between profiles and hospitals for implementation of rehabilitation or other stages of therapy.
- Patients with prematurely interrupted treatment.
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- Trauma combined with suffocation, drowning, frostbite, electrical trauma, or chemical and/or thermal burns.
- Patients with pathological fractures.
- Pregnant women.
- Cases with predominantly severe craniocephalic (GCS <7 points) or spinal injury (deep paresis and plegias).
Trial locations and contacts
1 site in 1 country.
Kazakhstan1 site, 1 recruiting
- Recruiting
Emergency Hospital
Semey, Abai, 071400
Alexander Prokazyuk, MD, +77071891849, prokazyuk.md@yandex.ru
About this study
Official title: Разработка системы поддержки принятия клинических решений для тяжелых больных с политравмой
The goal of this observational study is to develop a Clinical Decision Support System for severe patients with polytrauma. The main questions it aims to answer are:
- Is it possible to predict the development of systemic inflammatory response syndrome for the next 24 h after admission?
- Is it possible to predict the development of blood loss >25% of blood volume for the next 24 h after admission?
- Is it possible to predict the development of acute traumatic coagulopathy for the next 24 h after admission?
- Is it possible to predict the development of pneumonia in polytrauma patients?
- Is it possible to predict the outcome in polytrauma patients?
No intervention is planned for this study.
Read the detailed description
This study aimed to develop a Clinical Decision Support System for the management of severe polytrauma patients at the early inpatient care stage.
Scientific Hypothesis: It is assumed that the use of a clinical decision Support System at the stage of early inpatient care may reduce the mortality rate and adverse outcomes in severe patients with polytrauma.
Study setting The study is planned as a multicenter, non-interventional study, with participation from clinics providing inpatient trauma care for patients with polytrauma. The participating clinics will be selected based on their ability to provide access to a large and diverse population of patients with polytrauma. The research subgroup will be determined by clinics in compliance with the necessary ethical standards. The study will be conducted both retrospectively and prospectively, with data collection spanning a period of at least two years. Retrospective data will be collected from patients' medical records, including information on patient demographics, injury characteristics, diagnostic tests, and treatment modalities. Prospective data will be obtained through standardized patient interviews and clinical assessments, including patient-reported outcomes, clinical measures of physical and psychological functioning, and healthcare utilization. All participating clinics will be required to comply with the rules of medical ethics and deontology as well as local regulations governing access to personal data. In addition, researchers will be required to obtain informed consent from patients or their legal representatives before collecting any data for the study.
Obtained data:
Gender, Age, AIS code for every registered injury, NISS, Vitals on Admission (pulse rate, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, respiratory rate), Complete Blood Count on Admission (Red Blood Cells, Hematocrit, Hemoglobin, Platelets, White Blood Cells), biochemical analysis of blood on admission (total protein, total bilirubin, glucose, urea, creatinine), Blood Coagulation test (Activated Partial Thromboplastin Time, International Normalized Ratio, Fibrinogen), amount of total transfused blood and plasma packs, presence of complications (systemic inflammatory response syndrome, shock, severe hemorrhage [>25% of blood loss], acute traumatic coagulopathy, respiratory distress, pneumonia), length of stay in hospital, length of stay in the intensive care unit, and outcome at hospital discharge.
Additional Data Generation After the initial data were collected, additional fields will be created and calculated. These fields include the AIS field, which will be split into nine fields for each body region, with each field recording the square root of the sum of severity scores for that region; values for MCV, MCH, and MCHC, which will be calculated using the corresponding formulas; the "initial iron deficiency anemia" field, which will be calculated based on the initial MCV value; the "post-hemorrhagic anemia" field, which is calculated based on the initial hemoglobin level and relationship with initial iron deficiency anemia.
Informed Consent will be obtained by a research member who is an emergency/traumatology/ICU doctor, who was trained and explained to all the details of the current study. Consent will be obtained on patient admission to the hospital. Written Consent will be obtained from the patient or his/her legal representative if the patient is temporarily or completely disabled.
Recruitment will be started for every participating clinic separately during their recruitment periods, as defined by personal agreements. The main research clinic (Hospital of Emergency Aid, Semey, the Republic of Kazakhstan) has been participating in the recruitment process since December 1, 2020.
The reason for the recruitment end is the achievement of the minimum sample size by the research group or cancellation of participation in the trial.
The research group will collect a minimum sample size of data that will be used in the process of developing ML models. All the data were divided into training and test samples. Any record with less than 10% missing variables will have missing values imputed, whereas records with more than 10% missing variables will be excluded. Furthermore, additional data will be generated as outlined in the Eligibility Criteria section.
The selected features will be used to predict the following endpoints: the presence of complications (such as systemic inflammatory response syndrome, severe hemorrhage [>25% of blood loss], acute traumatic coagulopathy, respiratory distress, and pneumonia), and the outcome at hospital discharge.
All the developed models will be used for further CDSS development.
Confidentiality No identifiable patient information, such as names, IDs, phone numbers, emails, or addresses, will be collected. All information collected in accordance with the eligibility criteria will be transferred to trial participants via authorized access. After the study ends, any access not related to further work, such as statistical analysis or publications, will be blocked by the main researcher.
- Conditions
- Polytrauma
- Keywords
- severe polytrauma, clinical decision support system
- Medical subject headings
- Multiple Trauma
What participants receive
What participants receive. In a randomised study each person is assigned to one group by chance.
| Study group | Role | What they receive |
|---|---|---|
| Polytrauma with SIRS | No intervention(s) to be administered. | |
| Polytrauma with Bloodloss | No intervention(s) to be administered. | |
| Polytrauma with ATC | No intervention(s) to be administered. | |
| Polytrauma with Pneumonia | No intervention(s) to be administered. |
What is being measured
The primary outcome is the main question the study is designed to answer.
Prediction of SIRS
Rate of SIRS prediction in the 24 h after admission using the developed CDSS.
Measured: By the end of January 2024
Rate of ATC prediction in the 24 h after admission using the developed CDSS.
Rate of ATC prediction in the 24 h after admission using the developed CDSS.
Measured: By the end of January 2024
Rate of hemorrage prediction in the 24 h after admission using the developed CDSS.
Rate of hemorrage prediction in the 24 h after admission using the developed CDSS.
Measured: By the end of January 2024
Rate of pneumonia prediction using the developed CDSS.
Rate of pneumonia prediction within all period of admission using the developed CDSS.
Measured: By the end of January 2024
Timeline
From the start of the study to its completion; the mark is today. Estimated dates are the sponsor’s plan.
- First posted21 Mar 2024
- Study start1 Dec 2020
- Primary completion1 Sep 2024 (estimated)
- Study completion31 Dec 2024 (estimated)
Resources
- Official record on ClinicalTrials.govThe registry entry this page is built from, with its full change history.
- Publications (1)Papers the sponsor has linked to this study.
- Other trials for PolytraumaStudies of the same condition, open and under way.
- What the trial phases meanHow a treatment moves from first tests in people to approval.
More details
For doctors and researchers: how the study is designed, who runs it, and its registry IDs.
Study design
- Study type
- Observational
- Observational model
- Case-control
- Time perspective
- Other
- Enrolment
- 500 participants (estimated)
Sponsor and investigators
- Lead sponsor
- Semey State Medical University
- Sponsor type
- University, hospital or other
- Collaborators
- Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Republic of Kazakhstan
- Responsible party
- Principal investigator, Alexander Prokazyuk, Semey State Medical University
IDs, dates and publications
- ClinicalTrials.gov ID
- NCT06323096
- Sponsor's protocol ID
- AR13067824
- Status last verified
- Mar 2024
- First submitted
- 14 Mar 2024
- Last updated
- 21 Mar 2024
- Results posted
- No
- Data monitoring committee
- Yes
- FDA-regulated drug
- No
- FDA-regulated device
- No
Publications
Prokazyuk A, Tlemissov A, Zhanaspayev M, Aubakirova S, Mussabekov A. Development and validation of a machine learning-based model to assess probability of systemic inflammatory response syndrome in patients with severe multiple traumas. BMC Med Inform Decis Mak. 2024 Aug 27;24(1):235. doi: 10.1186/s12911-024-02640-x.
PubMed 39192291
Study at a glance
From the registry record, last updated by the sponsor on 21 Mar 2024. Recruitment status is as the sponsor reported it: confirm with the study team.
- Official title
- Разработка системы поддержки принятия клинических решений для тяжелых больных с политравмой
- ClinicalTrials.gov ID
- NCT06323096
- Acronym / sponsor ID
- AR13067824
- Conditions
- Polytrauma
- Keywords
- severe polytrauma, clinical decision support system
- Study type
- Observational
- Recruitment status
- Unknown status
- Enrolment
- 500 participants (estimated)
- Lead sponsor
- Semey State Medical UniversityUniversity, hospital or other
- Collaborators
- Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Republic of Kazakhstan
- Study start
- 1 Dec 2020 (actual)
- Primary completion
- 1 Sep 2024 (estimated)
- Study completion
- 31 Dec 2024 (estimated)
- First posted
- 21 Mar 2024 (actual)
- Results
- Not posted in the source record
Clinical summary
The research question as the sponsor registered it. This describes what the study plans to test, not what it found.
The goal of this observational study is to develop a Clinical Decision Support System for severe patients with polytrauma. The main questions it aims to answer are:
- Is it possible to predict the development of systemic inflammatory response syndrome for the next 24 h after admission?
- Is it possible to predict the development of blood loss >25% of blood volume for the next 24 h after admission?
- Is it possible to predict the development of acute traumatic coagulopathy for the next 24 h after admission?
- Is it possible to predict the development of pneumonia in polytrauma patients?
- Is it possible to predict the outcome in polytrauma patients?
No intervention is planned for this study.
Detailed description
This study aimed to develop a Clinical Decision Support System for the management of severe polytrauma patients at the early inpatient care stage.
Scientific Hypothesis: It is assumed that the use of a clinical decision Support System at the stage of early inpatient care may reduce the mortality rate and adverse outcomes in severe patients with polytrauma.
Study setting The study is planned as a multicenter, non-interventional study, with participation from clinics providing inpatient trauma care for patients with polytrauma. The participating clinics will be selected based on their ability to provide access to a large and diverse population of patients with polytrauma. The research subgroup will be determined by clinics in compliance with the necessary ethical standards. The study will be conducted both retrospectively and prospectively, with data collection spanning a period of at least two years. Retrospective data will be collected from patients' medical records, including information on patient demographics, injury characteristics, diagnostic tests, and treatment modalities. Prospective data will be obtained through standardized patient interviews and clinical assessments, including patient-reported outcomes, clinical measures of physical and psychological functioning, and healthcare utilization. All participating clinics will be required to comply with the rules of medical ethics and deontology as well as local regulations governing access to personal data. In addition, researchers will be required to obtain informed consent from patients or their legal representatives before collecting any data for the study.
Obtained data:
Gender, Age, AIS code for every registered injury, NISS, Vitals on Admission (pulse rate, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, respiratory rate), Complete Blood Count on Admission (Red Blood Cells, Hematocrit, Hemoglobin, Platelets, White Blood Cells), biochemical analysis of blood on admission (total protein, total bilirubin, glucose, urea, creatinine), Blood Coagulation test (Activated Partial Thromboplastin Time, International Normalized Ratio, Fibrinogen), amount of total transfused blood and plasma packs, presence of complications (systemic inflammatory response syndrome, shock, severe hemorrhage [>25% of blood loss], acute traumatic coagulopathy, respiratory distress, pneumonia), length of stay in hospital, length of stay in the intensive care unit, and outcome at hospital discharge.
Additional Data Generation After the initial data were collected, additional fields will be created and calculated. These fields include the AIS field, which will be split into nine fields for each body region, with each field recording the square root of the sum of severity scores for that region; values for MCV, MCH, and MCHC, which will be calculated using the corresponding formulas; the "initial iron deficiency anemia" field, which will be calculated based on the initial MCV value; the "post-hemorrhagic anemia" field, which is calculated based on the initial hemoglobin level and relationship with initial iron deficiency anemia.
Informed Consent will be obtained by a research member who is an emergency/traumatology/ICU doctor, who was trained and explained to all the details of the current study. Consent will be obtained on patient admission to the hospital. Written Consent will be obtained from the patient or his/her legal representative if the patient is temporarily or completely disabled.
Recruitment will be started for every participating clinic separately during their recruitment periods, as defined by personal agreements. The main research clinic (Hospital of Emergency Aid, Semey, the Republic of Kazakhstan) has been participating in the recruitment process since December 1, 2020.
The reason for the recruitment end is the achievement of the minimum sample size by the research group or cancellation of participation in the trial.
The research group will collect a minimum sample size of data that will be used in the process of developing ML models. All the data were divided into training and test samples. Any record with less than 10% missing variables will have missing values imputed, whereas records with more than 10% missing variables will be excluded. Furthermore, additional data will be generated as outlined in the Eligibility Criteria section.
The selected features will be used to predict the following endpoints: the presence of complications (such as systemic inflammatory response syndrome, severe hemorrhage [>25% of blood loss], acute traumatic coagulopathy, respiratory distress, and pneumonia), and the outcome at hospital discharge.
All the developed models will be used for further CDSS development.
Confidentiality No identifiable patient information, such as names, IDs, phone numbers, emails, or addresses, will be collected. All information collected in accordance with the eligibility criteria will be transferred to trial participants via authorized access. After the study ends, any access not related to further work, such as statistical analysis or publications, will be blocked by the main researcher.
Study design
- Observational model
- Case-control
- Time perspective
- Other
- Number of arms
- 4
| Arm | Type | Receives |
|---|---|---|
| Polytrauma with SIRS | – | –No intervention(s) to be administered. |
| Polytrauma with Bloodloss | – | –No intervention(s) to be administered. |
| Polytrauma with ATC | – | –No intervention(s) to be administered. |
| Polytrauma with Pneumonia | – | –No intervention(s) to be administered. |
Who may qualify
- Ages
- 28 years and older
- Sex
- All
- Healthy volunteers
- Not accepted
- Age groups
- Adult, Older adult
- Study population
- According to the World Health Organization (WHO forecast, by 2030 trauma is one of the five leading causes of death. In the Republic of Kazakhstan, road traffic injuries rank 7th among all causes of death (14.7 [the 10-year average is 16.9] per 100,000 population per year). Considering geographical and epidemiological factors, we chose two regional medical centers and the National Scientific Center of Traumatology and Orthopedics in the Republic of Kazakhstan, providing emergency medical care to patients with polytrauma (the serviced population is 610,000, 1,135,000, and 1,400,000 people, respectively).
Key inclusion criteria (7 listed)
- Availability of informed consent, signed by the patient or his legal representative;
- Patients over 18 years of age;
- Expanded criteria of the new Berlin definition of polytrauma: patients who comply with three conditions:
- Completeness of the medical record in terms of laboratory and instrumental studies and protocol of therapeutic and surgical treatment.
Key exclusion criteria (10 listed)
- Refusal to participate in the study at any stage.
- Death within one hour after hospitalization.
- Missing data.
- Patients who seek primary care 24 hours after injury.
- Patients requiring transfer between profiles and hospitals for implementation of rehabilitation or other stages of therapy.
Eligibility is decided by the study team after screening; this overview does not establish that a patient qualifies. Full inclusion and exclusion criteria.
Primary outcome
Prediction of SIRS
Time frame: By the end of January 2024
Rate of SIRS prediction in the 24 h after admission using the developed CDSS.
Rate of ATC prediction in the 24 h after admission using the developed CDSS.
Time frame: By the end of January 2024
Rate of ATC prediction in the 24 h after admission using the developed CDSS.
Rate of hemorrage prediction in the 24 h after admission using the developed CDSS.
Time frame: By the end of January 2024
Rate of hemorrage prediction in the 24 h after admission using the developed CDSS.
Rate of pneumonia prediction using the developed CDSS.
Time frame: By the end of January 2024
Rate of pneumonia prediction within all period of admission using the developed CDSS.
Results and safety
Results are not available in the source record.
Research links
- Official record on ClinicalTrials.govLast updated by the sponsor 21 Mar 2024.
- Derived from this study: PubMed 39192291Prokazyuk A, Tlemissov A, Zhanaspayev M, Aubakirova S, Mussabekov A. Development and validation of a machine learning-based model to assess probability of systemic inflammatory response syndrome in patients with severe multiple traumas. BMC Med Inform Decis Mak. 2024 Aug 27;24(1):235. doi: 10.1186/s12911-024-02640-x.
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Referral and contact
AzTrials does not enrol participants or take referrals. Contact the study team or a site listed below; they decide who can take part. This study is not recruiting at the moment.
1 site in 1 country: see every site and its status.
Questions about this trial
What is this clinical trial studying?
An observational study of Polytrauma, run by Semey State Medical University at 1 site in Kazakhstan.
The full registered description is in the About this study section and the official record.
Who may be eligible to take part?
The sponsor lists 7 inclusion and 10 exclusion criteria. Eligibility is decided by the study team after screening, so read the full criteria and contact a listed site.
Is this clinical trial currently recruiting?
The record says: status not confirmed, as of the sponsor's last update on 21 Mar 2024. Status can change between updates, so confirm with the study contact before making plans.
Where is the study taking place?
The record lists 1 site in Kazakhstan. Whether a site is taking part right now should be confirmed with that site. See every site.
What are the possible benefits and risks?
They depend on the study and the treatment, and no study can promise a benefit. The study team explains the known risks during informed consent, before anyone joins; the record itself does not list them.
Are results available for this study?
Results are not available in the source record.
How can a doctor refer a patient or contact the research team?
Each site lists its own contact: choose the nearest one under Trial locations. AzTrials does not enrol participants or take referrals.
What does the primary outcome measure?
Prediction of SIRS (time frame: By the end of January 2024). The study lists 4 primary outcomes in all. It is what the study was designed to measure, not a finding.
Where can I read the original study information?
On the ClinicalTrials.gov record for NCT06323096, which also lists 1 linked publication.
Does a listing mean the treatment is approved or proven to work?
No. A listing means the study is registered. It does not show that the treatment is safe, works, or is approved by a regulator.
How often is this information updated?
AzTrials copies changed records from ClinicalTrials.gov every night and reloads the whole registry every week. The sponsor last updated this record on 21 Mar 2024.