Heart FailureNCT06449079
The PICM Risk Prediction Study - Application of AI to Pacing
An observational study of Heart Failure and Pacemaker-Induced Cardiomyopathy, run by Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust at 3 sites in United Kingdom.
Trial summary
Development of pacing induced cardiomyopathy (PICM) is correlated to a high morbidity as signified by an increase in heart failure admissions and mortality. At present a lack of data leads to a failure to identify patients who are at risk of PICM and would benefit from pre-selection to physiological pacing. Read more about this study
- Who is it for?
- Ages 18 years and older
- Conditions the study is for
- Heart Failure, Pacemaker-Induced Cardiomyopathy, Pacemaker Complication
- What is being tested?
- Machine learning
- How many people
- 10,000 participants
- Where
- 3 sitesUnited Kingdom
- Study dates
- 30 Jul 2024to 30 Oct 2026
- Phase
- Observational
- Are there results?
- Not yet: the study is under way
Key requirements
Who can take part, as listed by the sponsor. Only the study team can confirm whether you are eligible, so take this list to your doctor.
- Ages 18 years and older
- All sexes
- No healthy volunteers
- Adult, Older adult
Study population: All patients who received a pacemaker at GSTT and RBH in the last 10 years and all patients who received a pacemaker at KCH and ICH in the last 3 years.
Who may be able to join
- All patients who received a pacing device (VVI, DDD, ICD, leadless pacemaker) from the GSTT/RBH/KCH/ICH database in the last 10 years (from 01/01/2014)
- All patients who are >18 years old.
- Male and Female
Who cannot join
- Patients who did not receive a pacing device (VVI, DDD, ICD, leadless pacemaker)
- All patients <18 years old
- Patients with congenital heart disease
- Patients who have received artificial heart valves or underwent cardiac bypass surgery
- Patients who did not have an echocardiogram after receiving a pacing device
Trial locations and contacts
3 sites in 1 country. Contact the study team or a site near you to ask about taking part.
United Kingdom3 sites
Guys' and St Thomas' Hospital NHS Trust
London, SE1 7EH
Aldo Rinaldi, MD, MBBS, FRCP, FHRS, aldo.rinaldi@gstt.nhs.uk
Sandra Howell, MBBS, MSc, MSc, sandra.howell@gstt.nhs.uk
Kings' College London Healthcare Trust
London, SE5 9RS
Francis Murgatroyd, francis.murgatroyd@nhs.net
Imperial College London Healthcare Trust
London, W12 0HS
Steven Niederer, MPhil, PhD, s.niederer@imperial.ac.uk
About this study
Official title: Predictive Risk Algorithm for Development of Right Ventricular Pacing Induced Cardiomyopathy - a Step Towards Personalized Pacemaker Lead Deployment
Development of pacing induced cardiomyopathy (PICM) is correlated to a high morbidity as signified by an increase in heart failure admissions and mortality. At present a lack of data leads to a failure to identify patients who are at risk of PICM and would benefit from pre-selection to physiological pacing. In the light of the foregoing, there is an urgent need for novel non-invasive detection techniques which would aid risk stratification, offer a better understanding of the prevalence and incidence of PICM in individuals with pacing devices and the contribution of additional risk factors.
Read the detailed description
Retrospective review of patient characteristics including 12 lead resting electrocardiograms and imaging data (CMR, CT, echo, CXR and fluoroscopy of pacing leads) of patients with right sided ventricular pacing lead due to symptomatic bradycardia, who developed pacing induced cardiomyopathy (or need for CRT upgrade) versus patients who did not using supervised machine learning methods. Development of personalised predictive pacing algorithm to improve right ventricular lead placement, such as conduction system pacing or pre-emptive implantation of an additional left ventricular lead to prevent left ventricular dilatation and pacemaker-induced cardiomyopathy (PICM) with heart failure (left ventricular ejection fraction <50% by Simpson method), hospitalisation or death with the use of the retrospective patient data through machine learning.
- Being tested
- Machine learning
- Medical subject headings
- Heart Failure
What participants receive
What participants receive. In a randomised study each person is assigned to one group by chance.
Machine learningOther
Analysis of data with machine learning methods
| Study group | Role | What they receive |
|---|---|---|
| Pacing induced cardiomyopathy | Patients who received a pacing device and developed pacing induced cardiomyopathy Receives: Other: Machine learning | |
| Non-pacing induced cardiomyopathy | Patients who received a pacing device and did not develop pacing induced cardiomyopathy Receives: Other: Machine learning |
What is being measured
The primary outcome is the main question the study is designed to answer.
Primary aim
Number of risk factors in participants who developed pacing induced cardiomyopathy
Measured: 2.5 years
Secondary outcomes (6)
Secondary aim
- To establish, through the GSTT/RBH/KCH/ICH RV-paced study population the prevalence of pacemaker induced cardiomyopathy (PICM)
Measured: 2.5 years
Tertiary aim
- To establish, through the GSTT/RBH/KCH/ICH RV-paced study population the incidence of PCIM 2. To establish, through the GSTT/RBH/KCH/ICH RV-paced study population the incidence of PCIM
Measured: 2.5 years
Quarternary aim
3.• To establish mortality of PICM
Measured: 2.5 years
Quinary aim
- To establish the morbidity of PICM
Measured: 2.5 years
Senary aims
5.• To include predictive value for pacing induced cardiomyopathy risk with combination of imaging data of right ventricular lead position or leadless pacemaker position
Measured: 2.5 years
Septenary aim
6.• To include predictive value for pacing induced cardiomyopathy risk with combination of imaging data of myocardial pathology from echocardiogram and cardiac MRI
Measured: 2.5 years
Timeline
From the start of the study to its completion; the mark is today. Estimated dates are the sponsor’s plan.
- First posted7 Jun 2024
- Study start30 Jul 2024 (estimated)
- Primary completion30 Oct 2026 (estimated)
- Study completion30 Oct 2026 (estimated)
Resources
- Official record on ClinicalTrials.govThe registry entry this page is built from, with its full change history.
- Other trials for Heart FailureStudies of the same condition, open and under way.
- More trials run by Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation TrustThe sponsor's other registered studies.
- What the trial phases meanHow a treatment moves from first tests in people to approval.
More details
For doctors and researchers: how the study is designed, who runs it, and its registry IDs.
Study design
- Study type
- Observational
- Observational model
- Other
- Time perspective
- Retrospective
- Enrolment
- 10,000 participants (estimated)
Sponsor and investigators
- Lead sponsor
- Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust
- Sponsor type
- University, hospital or other
- Collaborators
- Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, King's College Hospital NHS Trust
- Responsible party
- Sponsor
IDs, dates and publications
- ClinicalTrials.gov ID
- NCT06449079
- Sponsor's protocol ID
- 333705
- Status last verified
- Jun 2024
- First submitted
- 25 Mar 2024
- Last updated
- 7 Jun 2024
- Results posted
- No
- Data monitoring committee
- Yes
- FDA-regulated drug
- No
- FDA-regulated device
- No
- Individual data sharing
- No
Study at a glance
From the registry record, last updated by the sponsor on 7 Jun 2024. Recruitment status is as the sponsor reported it: confirm with the study team.
- Official title
- Predictive Risk Algorithm for Development of Right Ventricular Pacing Induced Cardiomyopathy - a Step Towards Personalized Pacemaker Lead Deployment
- ClinicalTrials.gov ID
- NCT06449079
- Acronym / sponsor ID
- 333705
- Study type
- Observational
- Recruitment status
- Not yet recruiting
- Enrolment
- 10,000 participants (estimated)
- Lead sponsor
- Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation TrustUniversity, hospital or other
- Collaborators
- Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, King's College Hospital NHS Trust
- Study start
- 30 Jul 2024 (estimated)
- Primary completion
- 30 Oct 2026 (estimated)
- Study completion
- 30 Oct 2026 (estimated)
- First posted
- 7 Jun 2024 (actual)
- Results
- Not posted in the source record
Clinical summary
The research question as the sponsor registered it. This describes what the study plans to test, not what it found.
Development of pacing induced cardiomyopathy (PICM) is correlated to a high morbidity as signified by an increase in heart failure admissions and mortality. At present a lack of data leads to a failure to identify patients who are at risk of PICM and would benefit from pre-selection to physiological pacing. In the light of the foregoing, there is an urgent need for novel non-invasive detection techniques which would aid risk stratification, offer a better understanding of the prevalence and incidence of PICM in individuals with pacing devices and the contribution of additional risk factors.
Detailed description
Retrospective review of patient characteristics including 12 lead resting electrocardiograms and imaging data (CMR, CT, echo, CXR and fluoroscopy of pacing leads) of patients with right sided ventricular pacing lead due to symptomatic bradycardia, who developed pacing induced cardiomyopathy (or need for CRT upgrade) versus patients who did not using supervised machine learning methods. Development of personalised predictive pacing algorithm to improve right ventricular lead placement, such as conduction system pacing or pre-emptive implantation of an additional left ventricular lead to prevent left ventricular dilatation and pacemaker-induced cardiomyopathy (PICM) with heart failure (left ventricular ejection fraction <50% by Simpson method), hospitalisation or death with the use of the retrospective patient data through machine learning.
Study design
- Observational model
- Other
- Time perspective
- Retrospective
- Number of arms
- 2
| Arm | Type | Receives |
|---|---|---|
| Pacing induced cardiomyopathy | – | Other: Machine learningPatients who received a pacing device and developed pacing induced cardiomyopathy |
| Non-pacing induced cardiomyopathy | – | Other: Machine learningPatients who received a pacing device and did not develop pacing induced cardiomyopathy |
Who may qualify
- Ages
- 18 years and older
- Sex
- All
- Healthy volunteers
- Not accepted
- Age groups
- Adult, Older adult
- Study population
- All patients who received a pacemaker at GSTT and RBH in the last 10 years and all patients who received a pacemaker at KCH and ICH in the last 3 years.
Key inclusion criteria (3 listed)
- All patients who received a pacing device (VVI, DDD, ICD, leadless pacemaker) from the GSTT/RBH/KCH/ICH database in the last 10 years (from 01/01/2014)
- All patients who are >18 years old.
- Male and Female
Key exclusion criteria (5 listed)
- Patients who did not receive a pacing device (VVI, DDD, ICD, leadless pacemaker)
- All patients <18 years old
- Patients with congenital heart disease
- Patients who have received artificial heart valves or underwent cardiac bypass surgery
- Patients who did not have an echocardiogram after receiving a pacing device
Eligibility is decided by the study team after screening; this overview does not establish that a patient qualifies. Full inclusion and exclusion criteria.
Interventions
| Intervention | Type | Arms |
|---|---|---|
| Machine learningAnalysis of data with machine learning methods | Other | Non-pacing induced cardiomyopathy, Pacing induced cardiomyopathy |
Primary outcome
Primary aim
Time frame: 2.5 years
Number of risk factors in participants who developed pacing induced cardiomyopathy
6 secondary outcomes
Secondary aim
Time frame: 2.5 years
Tertiary aim
Time frame: 2.5 years
Quarternary aim
Time frame: 2.5 years
Quinary aim
Time frame: 2.5 years
Senary aims
Time frame: 2.5 years
Septenary aim
Time frame: 2.5 years
Results and safety
This study is still under way. Results are not available in the source record yet.
Research links
- Official record on ClinicalTrials.govLast updated by the sponsor 7 Jun 2024.
- Individual participant dataSharing planned: No
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Referral and contact
AzTrials does not enrol participants or take referrals. Contact the study team or a site listed below; they decide who can take part.
3 sites in 1 country: see every site and its status.
Questions about this trial
What is this clinical trial studying?
An observational study of Heart Failure and Pacemaker-Induced Cardiomyopathy, run by Guy's and St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust at 3 sites in United Kingdom.
The full registered description is in the About this study section and the official record.
Who may be eligible to take part?
The sponsor lists 3 inclusion and 5 exclusion criteria. Eligibility is decided by the study team after screening, so read the full criteria and contact a listed site.
Is this clinical trial currently recruiting?
The record says: opening soon, as of the sponsor's last update on 7 Jun 2024. Status can change between updates, so confirm with the study contact before making plans.
Where is the study taking place?
The record lists 3 sites in United Kingdom. Whether a site is taking part right now should be confirmed with that site. See every site.
What are the possible benefits and risks?
They depend on the study and the treatment, and no study can promise a benefit. The study team explains the known risks during informed consent, before anyone joins; the record itself does not list them.
Are results available for this study?
This study is still under way. Results are not available in the source record yet.
How can a doctor refer a patient or contact the research team?
Each site lists its own contact: choose the nearest one under Trial locations. AzTrials does not enrol participants or take referrals.
What does the primary outcome measure?
Primary aim (time frame: 2.5 years). It is what the study was designed to measure, not a finding.
Where can I read the original study information?
Does a listing mean the treatment is approved or proven to work?
No. A listing means the study is registered. It does not show that the treatment is safe, works, or is approved by a regulator.
How often is this information updated?
AzTrials copies changed records from ClinicalTrials.gov every night and reloads the whole registry every week. The sponsor last updated this record on 7 Jun 2024; AzTrials last refreshed its copy on 6 Nov 2026.