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Pancreatic CancerAI-PANCNCT06638866

AI-powered Early Detection for Pancreatic Cancer Via Non-contrast CT in Opportunistic Screening Cohort

An observational study of Pancreatic Cancer and Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma, run by Changhai Hospital at 3 sites in China.

Recruiting

Looking for participants now. Contact the study team or a site below to ask about taking part.

Sites and contacts
Official record
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Trial summary

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) remains a therapeutic challenge with 5-year survival rates of 13%, primarily attributable to advanced-stage diagnosis (AJCC Stage III/IV in >80% of cases). Read more about this study

Who is it for?
Ages 18 years and olderHealthy volunteers can take part
What is being tested?
PDAC and Pancreatic precursor lesions
How many people
5,000 participants
Where
3 sitesChina
Study dates
3 Aug 2024to 31 Dec 2030
How long will I take part?
5 Years
Phase
Observational
Are there results?
Not yet: the study is under way

Key requirements

Who can take part, as listed by the sponsor. Only the study team can confirm whether you are eligible, so take this list to your doctor.

  • Ages 18 years and older
  • All sexes
  • Healthy volunteers accepted
  • Adult, Older adult

Study population: The study population included adults aged 18 years or older undergoing routine non-contrast chest and/or abdominal CT scans for non-pancreatic indications, while exclusion criteria comprised a history of pancreatic cancer, thoracic or abdominal surgery, acute pancreatitis within the past 6 months, or referral for evaluation of suspected or confirmed pancreatic cancer.

Who may be able to join

  • 1. Individuals undergoing routine non-contrast chest and/or abdominal CT scans for non-pancreatic indications.

Who cannot join

  • History of pancreatic cancer;
  • History of thoracic or abdominal surgery;
  • Acute pancreatitis within 6 months;
  • Patients referred for evaluation of suspected or confirmed pancreatic cancer.

Trial locations and contacts

3 sites in 1 country. Contact the study team or a site near you to ask about taking part.

Wang Bei Lei, M.D. contact

86-13774238083

lilly_wang@126.com

Guo Shi Wei, M.D. contact

86-18621500666

gestwa@163.com

China3 sites, 3 recruiting
  • Second Affiliated Hospital of Jiaxing University

    Jiaxing, Zhejiang, 314000

    Shen Yi Jue, M.D., 13605835645, dr.syj@163.com

    Shen Yi Jue, M.D.

    Recruiting
  • Yinzhou Hospital Affiliated to Medical School of Ningbo University

    Ningbo, Zhejiang, 315100

    Zhu Ke Lei, M.D., 13566636272, dr.zkl@163.com

    Zhu Ke Lei, M.D.

    Recruiting
  • Shanghai Changhai Hospital

    Shanghai, Shanghai Municipality, 200433

    Wang Beilei, M.D., 86-13774238083, lilly_wang@126.com

    Jin Gang, M.D.

    Recruiting

Other trials in China

About this study

Official title: Artificial Intelligence-based Health Information Management System and Key Technology Study of Early Screening and Hierarchical Diagnosis and Treatment of Pancreatic Cancer

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) remains a therapeutic challenge with 5-year survival rates of 13%, primarily attributable to advanced-stage diagnosis (AJCC Stage III/IV in >80% of cases). This prospective, observational, multi-center study will evaluate the performance of an AI-powered opportunistic screening system utilizing non-contrast computed tomography (NCCT) acquired during routine clinical encounters or health check-ups. The proposed AI model will perform automated detection of pancreatic parenchymal abnormalities, including PDAC and precursor lesions (intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms [IPMN], mucinous cystic neoplasms [MCN]). Algorithm-positive cases will be independently reviewed by two radiologists. Highly suspected individuals will undergo further diagnostic verification, including serological tests and multimodal imaging confirmation. Patients with confirmed positive diagnosis will receive multidisciplinary consultation and specialized treatment, whereas those with negative results will undergo at least one-year clinical follow-up. This study will quantitatively evaluate the AI system's performance, and aims to advance PDAC early detection, improve patient outcomes, and make it accessible in underserved populations.

Read the detailed description

PDAC is projected to become the second-leading cause of cancer mortality by 2030, with stage-specific survival disparities reaching 83.7% for stage IA versus 2.9% for stage IV disease. This dramatic survival gradient highlights the transformative potential of stage migration through early detection.

Screening-based early detection has demonstrated improved prognosis for PDAC patients; however, implementation faces dual challenges. he low incidence of PDAC renders population-wide screening cost-ineffective, while current screening methods are hampered by high false-positive rates and overdiagnosis risks. In this context, opportunistic screening has garnered attention for its unique implementation advantages. By leveraging existing imaging resources from routine clinical encounters or health check-ups, this approach obviates the need for additional screening infrastructure, potentially reducing healthcare resource consumption while effectively increasing screening coverage among high-risk populations.

Non-contrast computed tomography (NCCT), despite its widespread clinical application and operational convenience, is limited by suboptimal soft tissue resolution, resulting in insufficient sensitivity for early pancreatic lesions (≤2 cm), thus significantly constraining its utility in opportunistic screening. Recent advancements in AI technology have significantly impacted the field of medical image analysis. These techniques have enabled the automation of the detection of subtle pancreatic lesion features in large-scale imaging data, with the potential to enhance the accuracy and efficiency of early pancreatic cancer detection. In preliminary research, a deep learning-based model for pancreatic cancer detection was developed by our team. This model demonstrated the ability to accurately detect and classify pancreatic lesions on NCCT images, with excellent performance in multicenter validation studies. The model also exhibited strong generalizability when applied to chest CT scans. Therefore, AI-powered NCCT shows significant potential for application in hospital-based opportunistic screening programs and may become an effective tool for early pancreatic cancer detection. However, further research is required to fully explore and realize this potential.

This prospective, observational, multi-center study will evaluate the performance of an AI-powered opportunistic screening system utilizing NCCT acquired during routine clinical encounters or health check-ups. The deep learning-based detection system will perform automated identification of pancreatic lesions, including PDAC and precursor entities (intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms [IPMN], mucinous cystic neoplasms [MCN]). Algorithm-positive cases will be independently reviewed by two radiologists. Individuals with high suspicion after radiologists review will undergo further validation via serological tests (e.g., CA19-9, CEA) and imaging studies (e.g., contrast-enhanced CT, contrast-enhanced MRI, EUS-FNA). Participants with a confirmed positive diagnosis will undergo multidisciplinary consultation and specialized treatment, while those with a negative diagnosis will be followed clinically for at least one year.

The AI system's performance will be evaluated through three primary metrics: (1) Detection rate of PDAC and high-risk precursor lesions, defined as the proportion of histologically confirmed PDAC and precursor lesions (IPMN/MCN) meeting Sendai criteria among all participants undergoing CT screening. (2) Recall rate, defined as the proportion of individuals recalled for confirmatory testing after AI-positive screening and radiologist review among all participants undergoing CT screening. (3) Positive predictive value (PPV) defined as the proportion of histologically confirmed PDAC and high-risk precursor lesions among all AI-positive screening cases.

Institutional Collaboration: Led by Shanghai Changhai Hospital (PI: Gang Jin, MD) with five regional centers (Yinzhou Hospital, Jiaxing University Hospital, Lishui Central Hospital, Jingning County Hospital) and Alibaba DAMO Academy (technical support).

Being tested
PDAC, Pancreatic precursor lesions
Keywords
Early Screening, Early Diagnosis, Artificial Intelligence, Pancreatic Cancer, Pancreatic Lesion, PDAC, Non-contrast CT
Medical subject headings
Pancreatic Neoplasms, Disease

What participants receive

What participants receive. In a randomised study each person is assigned to one group by chance.

  • PDACDiagnostic test

    Participants with algorithm-identified PDAC will be independently reviewed by two radiologists. Those highly suspected will be recalled for further diagnostic evaluation, including serological tests (e.g., CA19-9, CEA) and imaging (e.g., contrast-enhanced CT/MRI, EUS-FNA). Participants with a confirmed positive diagnosis will undergo multidisciplinary consultation and specialized treatment, while those with a negative diagnosis will be followed clinically for at least one year.

  • Pancreatic precursor lesionsDiagnostic test

    Participants with algorithm-identified pancreatic precursor lesions will be independently reviewed by two radiologists. Those highly suspected will be recalled for further diagnostic evaluation, including serological tests (e.g., CA19-9, CEA) and imaging (e.g., contrast-enhanced CT/MRI, EUS-FNA). Participants with a confirmed positive diagnosis will undergo multidisciplinary consultation and specialized treatment, while those with a negative diagnosis will be followed clinically for at least one year.

Study groups in NCT06638866
Study groupRoleWhat they receive
AIgorithm-classified PDAC GroupParticipants who underwent non-contrast abdominal and/or chest CT scans and were preliminarily classified by the aIgorithm as PDAC.
Receives: Diagnostic Test: PDAC
AIgorithm-classified Pancreatic Precursor Lesions GroupParticipants who underwent non-contrast abdominal and/or chest CT scans and were preliminarily classified by the aIgorithm as pancreatic precursor lesions.
Receives: Diagnostic Test: Pancreatic precursor lesions

What is being measured

The primary outcome is the main question the study is designed to answer.

  1. Detection rate of PDAC

    Defined as the proportion of histologically confirmed PDAC among all participants undergoing CT screening.

    Measured: 3 years

  2. Detection rate of high-risk precursor lesions

    Defined as the proportion of histologically confirmed precursor lesions (IPMN/MCN) meeting Sendai criteria among all participants undergoing CT screening.

    Measured: 3 years

  3. PPV

    Defined as the proportion of histologically confirmed PDAC and high-risk precursor lesions among all AI-positive screening cases.

    Measured: 3 years

  4. Recall rate

    Defined as the proportion of individuals recalled for further validation via serological and imaging tests after AI-positive screening and radiologist review among all participants undergoing CT screening.

    Measured: 3 years

Secondary outcomes (2)
  1. Early-stage PDAC Proportion

    Defined as the proportion of histologically confirmed early-stage PDAC among all PDAC cases detected through CT screening.

    Measured: 3 years

  2. Survival time

    Defined as the survival time of patients with PDAC or precursor lesions detected through screening.

    Measured: 5 years

Timeline

From the start of the study to its completion; the mark is today. Estimated dates are the sponsor’s plan.

  1. First posted15 Oct 2024
  2. Study start3 Aug 2024
  3. Primary completion31 Dec 2029 (estimated)
  4. Study completion31 Dec 2030 (estimated)

Resources

More details

For doctors and researchers: how the study is designed, who runs it, and its registry IDs.

Study design
Study type
Observational
Observational model
Cohort
Time perspective
Prospective
Enrolment
5,000 participants (estimated)
Target duration
5 Years
IDs, dates and publications
ClinicalTrials.gov ID
NCT06638866
Sponsor's protocol ID
AI-PANC-1
Other IDs
202401063, 202440208, 20511101200
Acronym
AI-PANC
Status last verified
Mar 2025
First submitted
9 Oct 2024
Last updated
19 Mar 2025
Results posted
No
Data monitoring committee
Yes
FDA-regulated drug
No
FDA-regulated device
No
Individual data sharing
No

Publications

  • Chu LC, Park S, Kawamoto S, Wang Y, Zhou Y, Shen W, Zhu Z, Xia Y, Xie L, Liu F, Yu Q, Fouladi DF, Shayesteh S, Zinreich E, Graves JS, Horton KM, Yuille AL, Hruban RH, Kinzler KW, Vogelstein B, Fishman EK. Application of Deep Learning to Pancreatic Cancer Detection: Lessons Learned From Our Initial Experience. J Am Coll Radiol. 2019 Sep;16(9 Pt B):1338-1342. doi: 10.1016/j.jacr.2019.05.034. No abstract available.

    PubMed 31492412
  • Ardila D, Kiraly AP, Bharadwaj S, Choi B, Reicher JJ, Peng L, Tse D, Etemadi M, Ye W, Corrado G, Naidich DP, Shetty S. End-to-end lung cancer screening with three-dimensional deep learning on low-dose chest computed tomography. Nat Med. 2019 Jun;25(6):954-961. doi: 10.1038/s41591-019-0447-x. Epub 2019 May 20.

    PubMed 31110349
  • Mizrahi JD, Surana R, Valle JW, Shroff RT. Pancreatic cancer. Lancet. 2020 Jun 27;395(10242):2008-2020. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30974-0.

    PubMed 32593337
  • Pereira SP, Oldfield L, Ney A, Hart PA, Keane MG, Pandol SJ, Li D, Greenhalf W, Jeon CY, Koay EJ, Almario CV, Halloran C, Lennon AM, Costello E. Early detection of pancreatic cancer. Lancet Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2020 Jul;5(7):698-710. doi: 10.1016/S2468-1253(19)30416-9. Epub 2020 Mar 2.

    PubMed 32135127
  • Young MR, Abrams N, Ghosh S, Rinaudo JAS, Marquez G, Srivastava S. Prediagnostic Image Data, Artificial Intelligence, and Pancreatic Cancer: A Tell-Tale Sign to Early Detection. Pancreas. 2020 Aug;49(7):882-886. doi: 10.1097/MPA.0000000000001603.

    PubMed 32675784
  • Stoffel EM, Brand RE, Goggins M. Pancreatic Cancer: Changing Epidemiology and New Approaches to Risk Assessment, Early Detection, and Prevention. Gastroenterology. 2023 Apr;164(5):752-765. doi: 10.1053/j.gastro.2023.02.012. Epub 2023 Feb 18.

    PubMed 36804602
  • Kenner B, Chari ST, Kelsen D, Klimstra DS, Pandol SJ, Rosenthal M, Rustgi AK, Taylor JA, Yala A, Abul-Husn N, Andersen DK, Bernstein D, Brunak S, Canto MI, Eldar YC, Fishman EK, Fleshman J, Go VLW, Holt JM, Field B, Goldberg A, Hoos W, Iacobuzio-Donahue C, Li D, Lidgard G, Maitra A, Matrisian LM, Poblete S, Rothschild L, Sander C, Schwartz LH, Shalit U, Srivastava S, Wolpin B. Artificial Intelligence and Early Detection of Pancreatic Cancer: 2020 Summative Review. Pancreas. 2021 Mar 1;50(3):251-279. doi: 10.1097/MPA.0000000000001762.

    PubMed 33835956
  • Klein AP. Pancreatic cancer epidemiology: understanding the role of lifestyle and inherited risk factors. Nat Rev Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2021 Jul;18(7):493-502. doi: 10.1038/s41575-021-00457-x. Epub 2021 May 17.

    PubMed 34002083
  • US Preventive Services Task Force; Owens DK, Davidson KW, Krist AH, Barry MJ, Cabana M, Caughey AB, Curry SJ, Doubeni CA, Epling JW Jr, Kubik M, Landefeld CS, Mangione CM, Pbert L, Silverstein M, Simon MA, Tseng CW, Wong JB. Screening for Pancreatic Cancer: US Preventive Services Task Force Reaffirmation Recommendation Statement. JAMA. 2019 Aug 6;322(5):438-444. doi: 10.1001/jama.2019.10232.

    PubMed 31386141
  • Cao K, Xia Y, Yao J, Han X, Lambert L, Zhang T, Tang W, Jin G, Jiang H, Fang X, Nogues I, Li X, Guo W, Wang Y, Fang W, Qiu M, Hou Y, Kovarnik T, Vocka M, Lu Y, Chen Y, Chen X, Liu Z, Zhou J, Xie C, Zhang R, Lu H, Hager GD, Yuille AL, Lu L, Shao C, Shi Y, Zhang Q, Liang T, Zhang L, Lu J. Large-scale pancreatic cancer detection via non-contrast CT and deep learning. Nat Med. 2023 Dec;29(12):3033-3043. doi: 10.1038/s41591-023-02640-w. Epub 2023 Nov 20.

    PubMed 37985692

Questions about this trial

What is this clinical trial studying?

An observational study of Pancreatic Cancer and Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma, run by Changhai Hospital at 3 sites in China.

The full registered description is in the About this study section and the official record.

Who may be eligible to take part?

The sponsor lists 1 inclusion and 4 exclusion criteria. Eligibility is decided by the study team after screening, so read the full criteria and contact a listed site.

Is this clinical trial currently recruiting?

The record says: looking for participants now, as of the sponsor's last update on 19 Mar 2025. Status can change between updates, so confirm with the study contact before making plans.

Where is the study taking place?

The record lists 3 sites in China. Whether a site is taking part right now should be confirmed with that site. See every site.

What are the possible benefits and risks?

They depend on the study and the treatment, and no study can promise a benefit. The study team explains the known risks during informed consent, before anyone joins; the record itself does not list them.

Are results available for this study?

This study is still under way. Results are not available in the source record yet.

How can a doctor refer a patient or contact the research team?

Contact Wang Bei Lei, M.D. (86-13774238083, lilly_wang@126.com), or a site near the patient. AzTrials does not enrol participants or take referrals.

What does the primary outcome measure?

Detection rate of PDAC (time frame: 3 years). The study lists 4 primary outcomes in all. It is what the study was designed to measure, not a finding.

Where can I read the original study information?

On the ClinicalTrials.gov record for NCT06638866, which also lists 10 linked publications.

Does a listing mean the treatment is approved or proven to work?

No. A listing means the study is registered. It does not show that the treatment is safe, works, or is approved by a regulator.

How often is this information updated?

AzTrials copies changed records from ClinicalTrials.gov every night and reloads the whole registry every week. The sponsor last updated this record on 19 Mar 2025.

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